Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze prediction

Ekstraklasa · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Gornik Zabrze · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze, Ekstraklasa on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Pogon Szczecin host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 17:00 UK).

The key numbers

Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Pogon Szczecin have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.13. Pogon Szczecin have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Pogon Szczecin have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Gornik Zabrze have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.00. Gornik Zabrze have scored 23 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Gornik Zabrze have conceded 12 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Pogon Szczecin (fourth) and Gornik Zabrze (second) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gornik Zabrze the stronger side, 110 rating points above Pogon Szczecin (Gornik Zabrze 1773, Pogon Szczecin 1663, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Pogon Szczecin.

Team news

Predicted Pogon Szczecin XI (4-2-3-1): V. Cojocaru, D. Keramitsis, A. Szalai, L. Willen, A. Riccio, D. Churlinov, P. Dziczek, P. Mukairu, J. Biegański, M. Wojciechowski, J. Sanchez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Mukairu (4.8 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Leo Borges (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Pogon Szczecin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pogon Szczecin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Mukairu averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1091 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Leo Borges averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 426 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Predicted Gornik Zabrze XI (4-3-3): P. Schulze, Josema, O. Zmrzly, E. Janža, R. Janicki, P. Bernardo, K. UrbaÅski, M. Højholt, S. Liseth, E. Prekop, J. Antiste — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michal Sacek (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and K. UrbaÅski (3.9 per match over 18 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Gornik Zabrze’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gornik Zabrze (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michal Sacek averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. K. UrbaÅski averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1423 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Head-to-head (last 6): Pogon Szczecin 3 · draws 0 · Gornik Zabrze 3 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Pogon Szczecin 3W 0D 2L · Gornik Zabrze 2W 3D 0L

Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.88

Corners

against 5.25 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.5

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Pogon Szczecin for / against	Line	Gornik Zabrze for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.63 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin Goalkeeper

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Valentin Cojocaru	12	901080 min	443.7 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Pogon Szczecin Defensive

Pogon Szczecin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Keramitsis	13	901170 min	201.5 /90	211.6 /90	70.5 /90	685.2 /90	161.2 /90	30.2 /90
A. Szalai	9	89799 min	30.3 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	212.4 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
B. Mendy	8	69549 min	71.1 /90	101.6 /90	00 /90	172.8 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
Lukas Willen	7	85593 min	111.7 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90	253.8 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
Hussein Ali	7	46322 min	41.1 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	102.8 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
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Pogon Szczecin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.4 7/2	1 5/3	—
P. Mukairu n 8	83.9	2.3 8/5	1.6 5/4	—
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2.3 6/4	1 5/2	—
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1 5/2	—
M. Wojciechowski n 8	80.4	1.4 7/3	2.1 6/5	—
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Pogon Szczecin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.9 6/5
P. Mukairu n 8	83.9	2.1 7/2
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2.4 8/5
M. Wojciechowski n 8	80.4	2.1 6/2
D. Churlinov n 8	82	0.7 4/1
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Pogon Szczecin Attacking

Pogon Szczecin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Sanchez	7	84587 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	152.3 /90	50.8 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90
J. Nsame	5	38189 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	52.4 /90	52.4 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
F. Cuic	4	43172 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.6 /90
R. Molnár	1	4444 min	00 /90	00 /90	24.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	24.1 /90
M. Agger	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90
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Pogon Szczecin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
P. Mukairu n 8	83.9	1.9 8/4	0.4 3/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Wojciechowski n 8	80.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Pogon Szczecin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	83.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Wojciechowski n 8	80.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze Goalkeeper

Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Schulze	18	901620 min	432.4 /90	181 /90	00 /90

Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Schulze n 8	90	1.9 5/4

Gornik Zabrze Defensive

Gornik Zabrze — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Janicki	17	901530 min	150.9 /90	201.2 /90	130.8 /90	915.4 /90	140.8 /90	50.3 /90
Josema	17	871485 min	291.8 /90	261.6 /90	70.4 /90	684.1 /90	171 /90	30.2 /90
E. Janža	14	881227 min	231.7 /90	161.2 /90	60.4 /90	533.9 /90	151.1 /90	40.3 /90
M. Sacek	12	871047 min	383.3 /90	232 /90	10.1 /90	615.2 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
Ondrej Zmrzly	11	77842 min	171.8 /90	131.4 /90	40.4 /90	343.6 /90	161.7 /90	10.1 /90
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Gornik Zabrze — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Maksym Khlan n 8	66.5	1.4 4/3	1.7 6/4	—
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.8 4/2	—
Josema n 8	90	1 6/2	0.6 3/2	—
K. UrbaÅski n 8	83.3	0.7 4/1	1.6 7/4	—
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Gornik Zabrze — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Maksym Khlan n 8	66.5	1.2 7/0
R. Janicki n 8	90	1.1 6/2
Josema n 8	90	1.5 6/4
K. UrbaÅski n 8	83.3	0.8 3/2
Paulo Bernardo n 8	73.5	2.3 6/3
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Gornik Zabrze Attacking

Gornik Zabrze — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sondre Liseth	15	49733 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	151.8 /90	81 /90	162 /90	91.1 /90
E. Prekop	13	50655 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	172.3 /90	71 /90	60.8 /90	71 /90
J. Antiste	8	53424 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	30.6 /90	61.3 /90	61.3 /90
Z. Inoussa	3	34101 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
Maksym Khlan	18	721304 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	463.2 /90	221.5 /90	191.3 /90	241.7 /90
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Gornik Zabrze — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maksym Khlan n 8	66.5	3.7 7/5	1.7 5/2
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.3 1/1
Josema n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
K. UrbaÅski n 8	83.3	1.2 5/3	0.7 4/1
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Gornik Zabrze — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maksym Khlan n 8	66.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Josema n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. UrbaÅski n 8	83.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Pogon SzczecinWWWLL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Gornik ZabrzeWDDDW

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Pogon Szczecin 3 · 0 draws · Gornik Zabrze 3 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-02-21 Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Pogon Szczecin
2025-08-17 Pogon Szczecin 0–3 Gornik Zabrze
2025-02-07 Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Gornik Zabrze
2024-08-02 Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Pogon Szczecin
2024-05-25 Pogon Szczecin 1–0 Gornik Zabrze
2023-12-01 Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Pogon Szczecin

League standing · 2026/27

Pogon Szczecin#4 pos24 pts13 pl+5 GD

Gornik Zabrze#2 pos31 pts14 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Pogon Szczecin scored1.54

Gornik Zabrze scored1.64

Pogon Szczecin conceded1.15

Gornik Zabrze conceded0.86

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze?: In their last 6 meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 3, Gornik Zabrze won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze?: Recent form — Pogon Szczecin 3W 0D 2L; Gornik Zabrze 2W 3D 0L.

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