Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze prediction

Ekstraklasa · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Gornik Zabrze · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze, Ekstraklasa on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Pogon Szczecin host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 17:00 UK).

The key numbers

Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Pogon Szczecin have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Pogon Szczecin have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.13. Pogon Szczecin have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Pogon Szczecin have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Gornik Zabrze have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. Gornik Zabrze have scored 21 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Gornik Zabrze have conceded 11 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Pogon Szczecin (fourth) and Gornik Zabrze (second) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gornik Zabrze the stronger side, 106 rating points above Pogon Szczecin (Gornik Zabrze 1769, Pogon Szczecin 1663, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Pogon Szczecin.

Team news

Predicted Pogon Szczecin XI (4-2-3-1): V. Cojocaru, D. Keramitsis, A. Szalai, L. Willen, B. Mendy, D. Churlinov, P. Mukairu, P. Dziczek, J. Biegański, K. Acosta, J. Sanchez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Mukairu (5.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Leo Borges (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Pogon Szczecin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pogon Szczecin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Mukairu averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Leo Borges averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 426 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Predicted Gornik Zabrze XI (4-3-3): P. Schulze, R. Janicki, Josema, E. Janža, O. Zmrzly, P. Bernardo, K. UrbaÅski, M. Højholt, S. Liseth, J. Antiste, E. Prekop — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michal Sacek (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and K. UrbaÅski (4.1 per match over 17 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Gornik Zabrze’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gornik Zabrze (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michal Sacek averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. K. UrbaÅski averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1362 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Head-to-head (last 6): Pogon Szczecin 3 · draws 0 · Gornik Zabrze 3 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Pogon Szczecin 4W 0D 1L · Gornik Zabrze 1W 4D 0L

Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 1 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.88

Corners

against 5 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.63

Cards

against 2.13 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Pogon Szczecin for / against	Line	Gornik Zabrze for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.75 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin Goalkeeper

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Valentin Cojocaru	12	901080 min	443.7 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Pogon Szczecin Defensive

Pogon Szczecin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Keramitsis	12	901080 min	161.3 /90	161.3 /90	70.6 /90	554.6 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90
A. Szalai	8	89709 min	30.4 /90	81 /90	20.3 /90	182.3 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
B. Mendy	8	69549 min	71.1 /90	101.6 /90	00 /90	172.8 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
Lukas Willen	6	84503 min	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	203.6 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
Hussein Ali	6	51305 min	41.2 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	82.4 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Pogon Szczecin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.4 7/2	1 5/3	—
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1 5/2	—
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	2.8 8/5	1.1 5/3	—
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2 6/4	0.9 4/2	—
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	1.3 6/3	2.2 6/5	—
See more players · Pro

Pogon Szczecin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.5 6/4
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	2.1 7/2
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2.9 8/6
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	2.2 6/2
D. Churlinov n 8	76.9	0.7 4/1
See more players · Pro

Pogon Szczecin Attacking

Pogon Szczecin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Sanchez	6	84501 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	101.8 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
J. Nsame	5	38189 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	52.4 /90	52.4 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
F. Cuic	4	43172 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.6 /90
M. Agger	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90
P. Mukairu	12	841005 min	20.2 /90	40.4 /90	201.8 /90	70.6 /90	80.7 /90	272.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Pogon Szczecin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	1.9 8/4	0.4 3/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Pogon Szczecin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze Goalkeeper

Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Schulze	17	901530 min	402.4 /90	181.1 /90	00 /90

Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Schulze n 8	90	1.8 5/3

Gornik Zabrze Defensive

Gornik Zabrze — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Janicki	17	901530 min	150.9 /90	201.2 /90	130.8 /90	915.4 /90	140.8 /90	50.3 /90
Josema	16	871395 min	271.7 /90	261.7 /90	70.5 /90	644.1 /90	171.1 /90	30.2 /90
E. Janža	13	871137 min	221.7 /90	151.2 /90	60.5 /90	493.9 /90	151.2 /90	30.2 /90
M. Sacek	12	871047 min	383.3 /90	232 /90	10.1 /90	615.2 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
Ondrej Zmrzly	10	75752 min	161.9 /90	121.4 /90	40.5 /90	303.6 /90	131.6 /90	10.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Gornik Zabrze — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.8 4/2	—
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Maksym Khlan n 8	66	1.5 5/3	1.5 6/3	—
Josema n 8	90	1.1 7/2	0.8 4/2	—
K. UrbaÅski n 8	86.9	0.9 5/2	1.6 7/4	—
See more players · Pro

Gornik Zabrze — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Janicki n 8	90	1.1 6/2
Maksym Khlan n 8	66	1.2 7/0
Josema n 8	90	1.4 6/3
K. UrbaÅski n 8	86.9	0.8 3/2
Paulo Bernardo n 8	75	2.6 6/4
See more players · Pro

Gornik Zabrze Attacking

Gornik Zabrze — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Maksym Khlan	17	711214 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	382.8 /90	171.3 /90	141 /90	231.7 /90
Peter	14	67931 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	201.9 /90	80.8 /90	161.5 /90	50.5 /90
Sondre Liseth	14	50704 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	141.8 /90	70.9 /90	162 /90	81 /90
E. Prekop	12	50594 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	152.3 /90	71.1 /90	60.9 /90	71.1 /90
J. Antiste	7	56395 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Gornik Zabrze — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.3 1/1
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maksym Khlan n 8	66	3.1 7/5	1.4 5/2
Josema n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
K. UrbaÅski n 8	86.9	1.4 6/4	0.6 4/1
See more players · Pro

Gornik Zabrze — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maksym Khlan n 8	66	0 0/0	0 0/0
Josema n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. UrbaÅski n 8	86.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Pogon Szczecin v Gornik Zabrze — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Pogon SzczecinWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Gornik ZabrzeDWDDD

Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Pogon Szczecin 3 · 0 draws · Gornik Zabrze 3 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-02-21 Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Pogon Szczecin
2025-08-17 Pogon Szczecin 0–3 Gornik Zabrze
2025-02-07 Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Gornik Zabrze
2024-08-02 Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Pogon Szczecin
2024-05-25 Pogon Szczecin 1–0 Gornik Zabrze
2023-12-01 Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Pogon Szczecin

League standing · 2026/27

Pogon Szczecin#4 pos24 pts12 pl+8 GD

Gornik Zabrze#2 pos28 pts13 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Pogon Szczecin scored1.67

Gornik Zabrze scored1.62

Pogon Szczecin conceded1

Gornik Zabrze conceded0.85

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze?: In their last 6 meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 3, Gornik Zabrze won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze?: Recent form — Pogon Szczecin 4W 0D 1L; Gornik Zabrze 1W 4D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.