Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia result

Full-time · Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia

Ekstraklasa · · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia — Jagiellonia won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.73 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Jagiellonia won 5–2 at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 30 August. Raków Częstochowa have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Jagiellonia led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Raków Częstochowa: Mahir Emreli (23’) and J. Jendryka (56’, assisted by Vladyslav Kochergin); Jagiellonia: Jesús Imaz (31’ pen), Nik Prelec (37’), Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (76’ pen), Ousmane Sow (78’, assisted by Nik Prelec) and Youssuf Sylla (89’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia’s goal on 76 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Raków Częstochowa 1.29, Jagiellonia 4.44, from 14 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Raków Częstochowa: Karol Struski (50’); Jagiellonia: Eryk Kozlowski (43’).

What it changes

Raków Częstochowa stay 18th after this result (four league matches played). Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raków Częstochowa have conceded 28 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Jagiellonia move up from sixth to fourth (four league matches played). Jagiellonia have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Jagiellonia have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Jagiellonia’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 6, across nine matches. Raków Częstochowa are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Jagiellonia are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (Jagiellonia) 8.1, Vladyslav Kochergin (Raków Częstochowa) 6.9 and Nik Prelec (Jagiellonia) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Raków Częstochowa next host Pogon Szczecin on 2 November 2026.

Jagiellonia next travel to Wieczysta Kraków on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Raków Częstochowa: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Jagiellonia: Wieczysta Kraków v Jagiellonia, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia · Ekstraklasa
  • Venue: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie · Czestochowa
  • Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Raków Częstochowa 2 · draws 1 · Jagiellonia 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Raków Częstochowa 1W 2D 2L · Jagiellonia 3W 1D 1L

Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.17 / 4
Corners
against 6 / 4.71 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.17 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 4.67 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 1.43
Cards
against 2.33 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
21.3 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRaków Częstochowa for / againstLineJagiellonia for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.17 for · 6 against n 6
9.5standard
4 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
8 for · 5.5 against n 6
19.5standard
10.43 for · 12.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.17 for · 4.67 against n 6
8.5standard
5.29 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 13.67 against n 6
21.5standard
15 for · 13.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.83 for · 2.33 against n 6
3.5standard
1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7

Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa Goalkeeper

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trelowski290180 min94.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
W. Zolneczko19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90
Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 887.1
3.46/5

Raków Częstochowa Defensive

Raków Częstochowa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bogdan Racovitan390270 min41.3 /9031 /9041.3 /90144.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
J. Napieraj278156 min21.2 /9000 /9000 /9084.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
Didí Gaucho274147 min53.1 /9053.1 /9010.6 /90169.8 /9074.3 /9021.2 /90
F. Tudor19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9011 /90
J. C. Silva390270 min82.7 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90279 /9031 /9000 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
1.15/2
1.24/2
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
O. Repka n 884.3
0.85/1
1.26/2
—
J. C. Silva n 878.5
0.74/1
2.46/5
—
P. Makuch n 869.6
1.36/2
1.16/1
K. Szmyt
M. Emreli n 373
0.82/0
0.41/0
K. Szmyt
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Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Repka n 884.3
1.76/4
J. C. Silva n 878.5
1.45/3
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
1.35/2
P. Makuch n 869.6
0.52/1
M. Emreli n 373
0.41/0
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Raków Częstochowa Attacking

Raków Częstochowa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Makuch380241 min20.7 /9000 /9072.6 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
M. Emreli373219 min10.4 /9010.4 /9072.9 /9041.6 /9052.1 /9052.1 /90
Tomasz Pieńko364193 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
J. C. Silva390270 min00 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9072.3 /90
O. Repka390270 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Repka n 884.3
0.74/1
0.11/0
J. C. Silva n 878.5
0.75/0
0.43/0
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 869.6
1.85/4
14/2
M. Emreli n 373
2.93/2
1.62/2
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Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. C. Silva n 878.5
0.32/0
0.64/0
O. Repka n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
00/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 869.6
0.32/0
00/0
M. Emreli n 373
0.41/0
0.41/0
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Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia Goalkeeper

Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sławomir Abramowicz390270 min72.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890
2.85/5

Jagiellonia Defensive

Jagiellonia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bernardo Vital390270 min31 /9031 /9010.3 /90144.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia390270 min72.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90144.7 /9082.7 /9020.7 /90
N. Wojtuszek386259 min31 /9041.4 /9031 /90155.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Y. Kobayashi375225 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9072.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Rodrigo Conceição345136 min42.6 /9032 /9010.7 /90106.6 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Jagiellonia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 885.4
2.58/7
0.85/1
Bogdan Racovitan
Bernardo Vital n 884
0.84/2
1.15/3
—
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
K. Szmyt n 887.5
0.95/2
0.83/1
M. Emreli
N. Wojtuszek n 888.6
14/3
0.85/1
—
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Jagiellonia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 885.4
2.17/5
Bernardo Vital n 884
0.75/0
K. Szmyt n 887.5
0.32/0
N. Wojtuszek n 888.6
2.87/4
Jesús Imaz n 883
0.85/1
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Jagiellonia Attacking

Jagiellonia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Nik Prelec343129 min21.4 /9000 /9053.5 /9032.1 /9032.1 /9000 /90
Y. Sylla260119 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
Jeremy Agbonifo23773 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Dimitris Rallis12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.1 /90
K. Szmyt388264 min00 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9031 /9072.4 /90
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Jagiellonia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bernardo Vital n 884
0.84/2
0.42/1
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 885.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Szmyt n 887.5
1.26/3
0.85/1
N. Wojtuszek n 888.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
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Jagiellonia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bernardo Vital n 884
0.32/0
00/0
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890
00/0
00/0
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 885.4
00/0
00/0
K. Szmyt n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
N. Wojtuszek n 888.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia
46%Possession54%
1.29Expected goals (xG)4.44
14Shots20
4Shots on target10
8Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box16
5Corners6
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
348Passes406
82%Pass accuracy86%

Raków Częstochowa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trelowski9000000006.3
Bogdan Racovitan9000001106.3
J. Jendryka9010320207.7
V. Kochergin9001003207.5
P. Makuch9000201107.2
M. Emreli9010421007.2
F. Tudor7100101107.2
K. Struski62000000Y6.3
Adin Molnar6200002006.9
Didí Gaucho4500000206.5
J. C. Silva4500000006.2
O. Repka sub4500001107.2
M. Perović sub4500001106.3
O. Kwiatkowski sub2800001106.5
L. Diaby-Fadiga sub2800200006.5
O. Kwiatkowski sub2800001106.5
A. Brorsson sub1900000005.9

Jagiellonia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sławomir Abramowicz9000000006.6
N. Wojtuszek9000000306.3
A. Konstantopoulos9000100207.2
Y. Kobayashi9000001106.2
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia9010222307
T. Romanczuk9000001207.7
Rodrigo Conceição8900111106.9
Nik Prelec8711111006.3
Eryk Kozlowski69001142Y6.2
K. Szmyt6900403206.2
Jesús Imaz4510322006.9
Sergio Lozano sub4500211107.2
H. Finndell sub2100000006.6
O. Sow sub2110110007.3
Y. Sylla sub910110007.3
K. Jozwiak sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Raków CzęstochowaDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
JagielloniaWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Raków Częstochowa 2 · 1 draw · Jagiellonia 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-13 Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia
  • 2025-11-02 Jagiellonia 1–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2025-05-10 Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Jagiellonia
  • 2024-11-10 Jagiellonia 2–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2023-12-10 Jagiellonia 4–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2023-07-22 Raków Częstochowa 3–0 Jagiellonia
League standing · 2026/27
Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts12 pl-12 GD
Jagiellonia#10 pos15 pts11 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Raków Częstochowa scored1.33
Jagiellonia scored1.27
Raków Częstochowa conceded2.33
Jagiellonia conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia?
In their last 6 meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 2, Jagiellonia won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia?
Recent form — Raków Częstochowa 1W 2D 2L; Jagiellonia 3W 1D 1L.

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