Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin result

Full-time · Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin

Ekstraklasa · · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin — Raków Częstochowa won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Raków Częstochowa beat Motor Lublin 2–1 at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 11 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Motor Lublin out-shot Raków Częstochowa 16 to 15 and created the better chances, 1.79 xG to 1.02 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Motor Lublin: Kamil Lukoszek (34’, assisted by Ivo Rodrigues); Raków Częstochowa: Patryk Makuch (42’, assisted by Marko Bulat; 77’, assisted by Vladyslav Kochergin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Patryk Makuch’s goal on 77 minutes.

Discipline

Szymon Marciniak, Poland showed two yellow cards — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Raków Częstochowa: Karol Struski (31’) and Vladyslav Kochergin (81’).

What it changes

Raków Częstochowa stay 18th after this result (seven league matches played). Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raków Częstochowa have conceded 28 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Motor Lublin stay 15th after this result (eight league matches played). Motor Lublin have scored 17 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Motor Lublin have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Motor Lublin are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Patryk Makuch (Raków Częstochowa) 10.9, Kamil Lukoszek (Motor Lublin) 7.4 and Ivo Rodrigues (Motor Lublin) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Raków Częstochowa are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Motor Lublin, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Raków Częstochowa next host Pogon Szczecin on 2 November 2026.

Motor Lublin next travel to Cracovia Krakow on 30 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Raków Częstochowa: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Motor Lublin: Cracovia Krakow v Motor Lublin, Friday 30 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin · Ekstraklasa
  • Venue: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie · Czestochowa
  • Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Raków Częstochowa 2 · draws 2 · Motor Lublin 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Raków Częstochowa 0W 1D 4L · Motor Lublin 1W 1D 3L

Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.71 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.86 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.57 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2 yellows
Referee · Szymon Marciniak, Poland
21.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRaków Częstochowa for / againstLineMotor Lublin for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.71 for · 6.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
6.86 for · 10.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 5.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.29 for · 13.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland — 2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa Goalkeeper

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trelowski590450 min193.8 /90122.4 /9010.2 /90
W. Zolneczko19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90
Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 890
4.17/6

Raków Częstochowa Defensive

Raków Częstochowa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bogdan Racovitan690540 min50.8 /9050.8 /9091.5 /90223.7 /9061 /9010.2 /90
F. Tudor483330 min82.2 /9092.5 /9020.5 /90205.5 /9051.4 /9030.8 /90
Didí Gaucho459237 min93.4 /9062.3 /9010.4 /90238.7 /9083 /9020.8 /90
S. Svarnas348145 min10.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
J. Napieraj278156 min21.2 /9000 /9000 /9084.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
1.15/2
1.13/2
F. Luberecki
P. Makuch n 882.8
1.57/4
1.57/3
M. Ndiaye
M. Emreli n 681.5
1.14/2
0.63/0
Fábio Ronaldo
J. C. Silva n 878.6
0.74/1
2.36/4
—
V. Kochergin n 853.6
0.21/0
0.63/0
—
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Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
0.84/1
P. Makuch n 882.8
0.73/2
M. Emreli n 681.5
0.21/0
J. C. Silva n 878.6
1.96/4
V. Kochergin n 853.6
14/1
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Raków Częstochowa Attacking

Raków Częstochowa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Makuch683500 min20.4 /9000 /90152.7 /9061.1 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
M. Emreli682489 min30.6 /9010.2 /90162.9 /9071.3 /9081.5 /9081.5 /90
Tomasz Pieńko572362 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.2 /9041 /9020.5 /90
Adam Basse23774 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /90
J. C. Silva677459 min00 /9010.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9081.6 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 882.8
26/6
0.84/2
M. Emreli n 681.5
2.96/5
1.34/3
J. C. Silva n 878.6
0.75/0
0.43/0
V. Kochergin n 853.6
0.84/0
00/0
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Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
00/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 882.8
0.32/0
00/0
M. Emreli n 681.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
J. C. Silva n 878.6
0.32/0
0.43/0
V. Kochergin n 853.6
00/0
0.21/0
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Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin Goalkeeper

Motor Lublin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Mihai Popa590450 min102 /9081.6 /9000 /90
G. Tratnik290180 min73.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90
Motor Lublin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motor Lublin before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mihai Popa n 590
24/1
G. Tratnik n 890
4.38/8

Motor Lublin Defensive

Motor Lublin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Luberecki790630 min192.7 /9071 /9040.6 /90334.7 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
B. Bereszyński789622 min101.4 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90243.5 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
T. Santos677463 min173.3 /90112.1 /9020.4 /90295.6 /9061.2 /9000 /90
M. Bartoš590450 min51 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90265.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Tin Plavotić290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Motor Lublin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motor Lublin before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Luberecki n 890
14/3
0.96/1
Bogdan Racovitan
K. Czubak n 889.9
1.96/5
0.94/2
—
B. Bereszyński n 788.9
0.42/1
0.94/2
—
M. Ndiaye n 885.4
1.87/5
1.35/4
P. Makuch
Fábio Ronaldo n 863.6
0.92/1
1.86/3
M. Emreli
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Motor Lublin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motor Lublin before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Luberecki n 890
2.88/4
K. Czubak n 889.9
15/2
B. Bereszyński n 788.9
1.45/2
M. Ndiaye n 885.4
1.34/4
Fábio Ronaldo n 863.6
1.24/2
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Motor Lublin Attacking

Motor Lublin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Czubak790629 min50.7 /9000 /90223.1 /90111.6 /9091.3 /9040.6 /90
M. Ndiaye788617 min10.1 /9030.4 /90131.9 /9050.7 /9081.2 /9091.3 /90
Fábio Ronaldo765455 min00 /9000 /9071.4 /9051 /9081.6 /9091.8 /90
M. Łęgowski676453 min00 /9000 /9061.2 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Kikis582410 min00 /9000 /9081.8 /9030.7 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90
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Motor Lublin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motor Lublin before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Luberecki n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Czubak n 889.9
2.86/6
1.45/3
B. Bereszyński n 788.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
M. Ndiaye n 885.4
1.87/3
0.73/2
Fábio Ronaldo n 863.6
1.46/2
1.15/1
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Motor Lublin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motor Lublin before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Luberecki n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Czubak n 889.9
0.64/1
00/0
B. Bereszyński n 788.9
00/0
00/0
M. Ndiaye n 885.4
0.11/0
0.43/0
Fábio Ronaldo n 863.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Raków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
52%Possession48%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.79
15Shots16
7Shots on target5
8Shots off target6
0Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box11
8Corners4
0Offsides1
14Fouls16
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves5
464Passes425
84%Pass accuracy83%

Raków Częstochowa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trelowski9000000006.9
F. Tudor9000001307.7
Bogdan Racovitan9000100106.6
S. Svarnas9000100307
Tomasz Pieńko9000002106.6
O. Repka9000300206.3
P. Makuch9020331109.2
J. C. Silva8700210006.6
M. Emreli8700221006.3
M. Bulat7601214007.2
K. Struski61001000Y6.2
V. Kochergin sub29010030Y7.3
Adam Basse sub1400000006.5
M. Perović sub800000006.7
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo sub800000006.7

Motor Lublin Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Tratnik9000000007.2
B. Bereszyński9000001005.9
M. Bartoš9000111206.6
Y. Bourhane9000002106.9
Ivo Rodrigues9001002106.9
K. Czubak9000421106.3
Kamil Lukoszek8710214108
F. Luberecki8700000107
M. Ndiaye8000001006.3
M. Łęgowski8000100106.2
Fábio Ronaldo6200002006.9
M. Aïko sub2800210106.6
Rony Lopes sub1000001006.6
Kikis sub1000000106.9
Paskal Konrad Meyer sub800000106.7
M. Posmyk sub800100106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Raków CzęstochowaDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Motor LublinLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Raków Częstochowa 2 · 2 draws · Motor Lublin 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2025-10-05 Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Motor Lublin
  • 2024-12-07 Raków Częstochowa 2–2 Motor Lublin
  • 2024-07-21 Motor Lublin 0–2 Raków Częstochowa
League standing · 2026/27
Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts12 pl-12 GD
Motor Lublin#12 pos13 pts12 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Raków Częstochowa scored1.33
Motor Lublin scored1.42
Raków Częstochowa conceded2.33
Motor Lublin conceded1.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Raków Częstochowa and Motor Lublin?
In their last 4 meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 2, Motor Lublin won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Raków Częstochowa and Motor Lublin?
Recent form — Raków Częstochowa 0W 1D 4L; Motor Lublin 1W 1D 3L.

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