Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce prediction

Ekstraklasa · · KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce, Ekstraklasa on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 24 October 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Zaglebie Lubin host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 2 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Six of Zaglebie Lubin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Zaglebie Lubin’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Zaglebie Lubin have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.71. Zaglebie Lubin have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Zaglebie Lubin have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Four of Korona Kielce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in eight of Korona Kielce’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Korona Kielce have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.75. Korona Kielce have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Korona Kielce have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Zaglebie Lubin (seventh) and Korona Kielce (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Korona Kielce the stronger side, 95 rating points above Zaglebie Lubin (Korona Kielce 1592, Zaglebie Lubin 1497, after at least 222 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Zaglebie Lubin are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Korona Kielce. The most recent meeting, on 6 February 2026, finished Korona Kielce 1–2 Zaglebie Lubin.

Team news

Predicted Zaglebie Lubin XI (3-4-2-1): Z. Alomerovic, R. Yakuba, A. Ławniczak, M. Nalepa, F. Kocaba, D. Dąbrowski, J. Ćorluka, J. Sypek, S. Kerk, M. Grzybek, M. Reguła — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Reguła (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and J. Ćorluka (3.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Zaglebie Lubin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Zaglebie Lubin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Reguła averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. J. Ćorluka averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 638 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Korona Kielce XI (4-3-3): X. Dziekoński, S. Rubežić, A. Mosor, W. Długosz, M. Pięczek, P. Hellebrand, K. Jakubczyk, M. Remacle, M. Stępiński, C. Mena, M. Faßbender — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, W. Długosz (5.4 per match over 12 appearances, seven assists) and C. Mena (5.0 per match over six appearances, three goals) have been Korona Kielce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Korona Kielce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), W. Długosz averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 1065 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. C. Mena averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 384 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · KGHM Zaglebie Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Zaglebie Lubin 2 · draws 2 · Korona Kielce 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Zaglebie Lubin 2W 1D 2L · Korona Kielce 2W 0D 3L

Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameZaglebie Lubin for / againstLineKorona Kielce for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8

Zaglebie Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin Goalkeeper

Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Alomerovic1190990 min343.1 /9090.8 /9000 /90
J. Burić19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Alomerovic n 890
3.57/6
J. Burić n 890
3.57/5

Zaglebie Lubin Defensive

Zaglebie Lubin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Ławniczak12891072 min90.8 /90110.9 /90121 /90615.1 /9080.7 /9000 /90
M. Nalepa1090900 min30.3 /90121.2 /90101 /90535.3 /90101 /9020.2 /90
R. Yakuba985765 min172 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90505.9 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
D. Michalski961553 min40.7 /9091.5 /9050.8 /90223.6 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
D. Colina860479 min91.7 /9061.1 /9000 /90142.6 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
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Zaglebie Lubin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kocaba n 890.8
1.16/3
1.46/4
—
A. Ławniczak n 889
0.53/1
0.85/1
—
M. Reguła n 888.1
2.45/5
2.98/7
—
Z. Alomerovic n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
S. Kerk n 845.1
0.21/0
0.72/1
—
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Zaglebie Lubin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kocaba n 890.8
1.67/5
A. Ławniczak n 889
0.96/1
M. Reguła n 888.1
2.37/5
S. Kerk n 845.1
1.24/1
M. Nalepa n 890
0.42/1
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Zaglebie Lubin Attacking

Zaglebie Lubin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Reguła12881056 min30.3 /9000 /90302.6 /90131.1 /9090.8 /90191.6 /90
Filip Szymczak1053533 min00 /9000 /9081.4 /9030.5 /9030.5 /9061 /90
M. Kosidis642251 min10.4 /9000 /9062.2 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Mlinarić537187 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
L. Szabó337111 min10.8 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Zaglebie Lubin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kocaba n 890.8
0.65/0
0.11/0
A. Ławniczak n 889
1.66/3
0.64/1
M. Reguła n 888.1
2.78/7
1.36/3
Z. Alomerovic n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Kerk n 845.1
1.55/1
0.73/0
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Zaglebie Lubin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kocaba n 890.8
00/0
00/0
A. Ławniczak n 889
0.32/0
00/0
M. Reguła n 888.1
0.32/0
00/0
Z. Alomerovic n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Kerk n 845.1
0.52/0
00/0
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Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce Goalkeeper

Korona Kielce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
X. Dziekoński12911086 min272.2 /90161.3 /9010.1 /90
Korona Kielce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Korona Kielce before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
X. Dziekoński n 890
2.56/5

Korona Kielce Defensive

Korona Kielce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Długosz12891065 min342.9 /90161.4 /9010.1 /90645.4 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90
S. Rubežić1191996 min171.5 /90131.2 /9090.8 /90777 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90
A. Mosor1187962 min90.8 /9090.8 /90151.4 /90514.8 /9090.8 /9010.1 /90
M. Pięczek1185933 min131.3 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90242.3 /90121.2 /9000 /90
K. Sotiriou392276 min41.3 /9041.3 /9031 /90134.2 /9031 /9000 /90
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Korona Kielce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Korona Kielce before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
X. Dziekoński n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
P. Hellebrand n 889.4
0.85/1
1.67/6
—
W. Długosz n 887.5
0.52/2
1.46/3
—
M. Stępiński n 871.5
1.64/3
1.77/4
—
S. Rubežić n 890
0.94/2
0.63/2
—
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Korona Kielce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Korona Kielce before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Hellebrand n 889.4
1.87/4
W. Długosz n 887.5
3.18/7
M. Stępiński n 871.5
0.96/0
S. Rubežić n 890
28/7
A. Mosor n 890
15/3
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Korona Kielce Attacking

Korona Kielce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Stępiński1274893 min60.6 /9000 /90252.5 /90131.3 /90101 /9060.6 /90
M. Faßbender1055553 min30.5 /9000 /90152.4 /90101.6 /9040.7 /90111.8 /90
Daniel Bak525123 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /90
P. Hellebrand12901080 min00 /9000 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90100.8 /90100.8 /90
Kamil Jakubczyk1184926 min00 /9010.1 /9030.3 /9020.2 /90101 /9070.7 /90
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Korona Kielce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Korona Kielce before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
X. Dziekoński n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Hellebrand n 889.4
0.86/0
0.32/0
W. Długosz n 887.5
0.64/1
0.11/0
M. Stępiński n 871.5
2.77/6
1.66/3
S. Rubežić n 890
15/3
0.32/0
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Korona Kielce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Korona Kielce before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
X. Dziekoński n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Hellebrand n 889.4
00/0
00/0
W. Długosz n 887.5
00/0
0.64/1
M. Stępiński n 871.5
0.63/1
00/0
S. Rubežić n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Zaglebie LubinWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Korona KielceLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Zaglebie Lubin 2 · 2 draws · Korona Kielce 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-06 Korona Kielce 1–2 Zaglebie Lubin
  • 2025-08-01 Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Korona Kielce
  • 2025-03-16 Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Korona Kielce
  • 2024-09-15 Korona Kielce 2–0 Zaglebie Lubin
  • 2024-03-03 Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Korona Kielce
  • 2023-08-27 Korona Kielce 2–0 Zaglebie Lubin
League standing · 2026/27
Zaglebie Lubin#7 pos19 pts12 pl0 GD
Korona Kielce#9 pos18 pts12 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Zaglebie Lubin scored1.25
Korona Kielce scored1.17
Zaglebie Lubin conceded1.25
Korona Kielce conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce?
In their last 6 meetings, Zaglebie Lubin won 2, Korona Kielce won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce?
Recent form — Zaglebie Lubin 2W 1D 2L; Korona Kielce 2W 0D 3L.

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