ExcelsiorNEC Nijmegen

Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen result

Full-time · Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Excelsior · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen — NEC Nijmegen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

NEC Nijmegen won 2–0 at Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday 4 April. NEC Nijmegen have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

NEC Nijmegen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — NEC Nijmegen: Bryan Linssen (30’, assisted by Darko Nejašmić) and Başar Önal (71’, assisted by Sami Ouaissa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bryan Linssen’s goal on 30 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Excelsior 0.72, NEC Nijmegen 1.32, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Bos showed no yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Excelsior move down from 15th to 16th (29 league matches played). Excelsior have scored 43 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Excelsior have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-most of the 23 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen move up from third to second (29 league matches played). NEC Nijmegen have scored 77 goals, the third-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 53 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs.

Excelsior are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Başar Önal (NEC Nijmegen) 8.3, Sami Ouaissa (NEC Nijmegen) 6.7 and Darko Nejašmić (NEC Nijmegen) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
  • Referee: A. Bos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Excelsior 2 · draws 1 · NEC Nijmegen 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Excelsior 0W 1D 4L · NEC Nijmegen 3W 1D 1L

Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 7
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 7.63
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · A. Bos
21.3 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameExcelsior for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
19.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 8 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: A. Bos — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel26882280 min1014 /90371.5 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.66/6

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Widell28902514 min301.1 /90291 /90281 /901154.1 /90210.8 /9020.1 /90
I. Bronkhorst27782095 min411.8 /90261.1 /9090.4 /901325.7 /90281.2 /9060.3 /90
R. Meissen27762043 min231 /90391.7 /90231 /90703.1 /90140.6 /9040.2 /90
A. Zagré23801847 min462.2 /90231.1 /9080.4 /90864.2 /90281.4 /9070.3 /90
L. Schouten1361799 min192.1 /90131.5 /9050.6 /90424.7 /9091 /9010.1 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Widell n 890
0.95/2
0.31/1
—
G. de Regt n 873.6
0.21/0
0.63/1
T. Chery
I. Bronkhorst n 879.3
1.77/3
0.95/1
—
R. Meissen n 874.3
0.53/0
0.63/1
—
D. Sanches Fernandes n 874.4
1.56/4
1.15/2
B. Önal
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
1.16/3
G. de Regt n 873.6
0.64/0
I. Bronkhorst n 879.3
24/4
R. Meissen n 874.3
1.16/1
D. Sanches Fernandes n 874.4
0.95/1
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jerolldino Armantrading20511015 min00 /9000 /90171.5 /9030.3 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
M. van Duinen1340518 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
S. Włodarczyk1156615 min20.3 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
S. Mitrovic734235 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90
M. Jonathans632190 min10.5 /9000 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9041.9 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.11/0
00/0
G. de Regt n 873.6
1.15/2
0.53/0
I. Bronkhorst n 879.3
0.64/0
0.11/0
R. Meissen n 874.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 874.4
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
00/0
00/0
G. de Regt n 873.6
00/0
0.52/1
I. Bronkhorst n 879.3
0.11/0
00/0
R. Meissen n 874.3
00/0
00/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 874.4
0.21/0
00/0
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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz26902340 min823.2 /90441.7 /9010 /90
J. Cillessen690540 min264.3 /9071.2 /9000 /90
R. Janse18484 min33.2 /9022.1 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 890
37/4
J. Cillessen n 890
4.48/8

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Kaplan28842358 min542.1 /90271 /90140.5 /902047.8 /90331.3 /9090.3 /90
B. Pereira21611278 min493.5 /90141 /9040.3 /901127.9 /90231.6 /9020.1 /90
E. Dasa20821649 min170.9 /90160.9 /9060.3 /90603.3 /9090.5 /9010.1 /90
P. Sandler20761528 min140.8 /90211.2 /9080.5 /90714.2 /90261.5 /9050.3 /90
Deveron Fonville19591120 min352.8 /9090.7 /9080.6 /90756 /9080.6 /9020.2 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 890
1.56/2
0.84/1
—
S. Ouaissa n 882.9
1.16/2
1.98/4
—
T. Chery n 887.6
0.43/0
0.84/1
G. de Regt
B. Önal n 878.8
0.11/0
1.36/2
D. Sanches Fernandes
B. Linssen n 866.5
1.56/2
0.21/0
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
1.98/5
S. Ouaissa n 882.9
1.56/3
T. Chery n 887.6
0.11/0
B. Önal n 878.8
0.75/0
B. Linssen n 866.5
0.21/0
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Chery29822365 min90.3 /9060.2 /90662.5 /90411.6 /90461.8 /90180.7 /90
B. Linssen29691990 min110.5 /9070.3 /90582.6 /90301.4 /90381.7 /9050.2 /90
Koki Ogawa23561283 min80.6 /9030.2 /90302.1 /90181.3 /90171.2 /9060.4 /90
N. Lebreton19621181 min50.4 /9060.5 /90292.2 /90191.4 /90221.7 /90171.3 /90
V. Misidjan1743724 min10.1 /9020.2 /9081 /9040.5 /90101.2 /9081 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
S. Ouaissa n 882.9
1.46/4
0.85/1
T. Chery n 887.6
2.36/5
1.46/4
B. Önal n 878.8
15/2
0.64/0
B. Linssen n 866.5
3.68/5
26/4
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
00/0
0.54/0
S. Ouaissa n 882.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Chery n 887.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
B. Önal n 878.8
0.32/0
00/0
B. Linssen n 866.5
0.73/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ExcelsiorNEC Nijmegen
45%Possession55%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.32
9Shots12
5Shots on target5
2Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box7
2Corners5
2Offsides2
8Fouls9
3Saves5
368Passes450
76%Pass accuracy82%

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000006.9
R. Meissen9000000306.9
C. Widell9000000006.5
L. Schouten9000000206.2
N. Naujoks9000001306.5
G. de Regt9000441106.9
I. Bronkhorst8900001306.7
D. Sanches Fernandes8900111206.9
A. Zagré7600100006.3
L. Hartjes7600000106.7
E. Hansson6000003007.2
Irakli Yegoian sub3000001006.6
S. Janssen sub1400000006.7
M. van Duinen sub1400100006.3
A. Carlén sub10000000–
S. Włodarczyk sub10000000–

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Crettaz9000000108.2
P. Sandler9000000007.3
S. Ouaissa9001421107.5
D. Nejašmić9001001107.2
K. Sano9000101006.9
T. Chery9000102006.2
N. Lebreton9000002006.9
Deveron Fonville8500000207.5
E. Dasa8100000207.2
B. Linssen8110211106.9
B. Önal8010112208.2
D. Proper sub1000000006.2
Danilo sub900110006.2
B. Pereira sub900000006.6
A. Kaplan sub900000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ExcelsiorLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Excelsior 2 · 1 draw · NEC Nijmegen 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior
  • 2024-05-06 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2023-08-13 NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior
  • 2023-02-19 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2022-10-08 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior
  • 2019-10-29 Excelsior 4–2 NEC Nijmegen
League standing · 2025/26
Excelsior#13 pos38 pts34 pl-13 GD
NEC Nijmegen#3 pos59 pts34 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Excelsior scored1.26
NEC Nijmegen scored2.26
Excelsior conceded1.65
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen?
In their last 6 meetings, Excelsior won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — Excelsior 0W 1D 4L; NEC Nijmegen 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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