ExcelsiorUtrecht

Excelsior v Utrecht result

Full-time · Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht

Eredivisie ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Excelsior · Utrecht · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht — Excelsior won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 491 landed (95% range 64.4–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Excelsior beat Utrecht 5–0 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 26 April. Utrecht are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Excelsior, every meeting checked.

The goals

Excelsior led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Excelsior: Noah Naujoks (11’, assisted by Derensili Sanches Fernandes), Derensili Sanches Fernandes (36’, assisted by Gyan de Regt; 55’, assisted by Arthur Zagré), Irakli Yegoian (69’) and Lennard Hartjes (90’). Matisse Didden (31’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noah Naujoks’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Excelsior 3.31, Utrecht 0.84, from 18 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. van der Eijk showed three yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Utrecht: Matisse Didden (29’), Matisse Didden (31’) and Gjivai Zechiël (64’).

What it changes

Excelsior move up from 15th to 14th (31 league matches played).

Utrecht move down from seventh to eighth (31 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior) 14.5, Noah Naujoks (Excelsior) 9.0 and Arthur Zagré (Excelsior) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Excelsior next travel to Feyenoord on 21 November 2026.

Utrecht next host Cambuur on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Excelsior: Feyenoord v Excelsior, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v Cambuur, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht · Eredivisie
  • Referee: S. van der Eijk
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Excelsior 0 · draws 3 · Utrecht 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Excelsior 0W 2D 3L · Utrecht 3W 1D 1L

Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.25 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.38 yellows
Referee · S. van der Eijk
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameExcelsior for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: S. van der Eijk — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 21 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel28882460 min1073.9 /90411.5 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.57/7

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Widell30902694 min311 /90291 /90280.9 /901314.4 /90210.7 /9020.1 /90
I. Bronkhorst29782274 min461.8 /90271.1 /9090.4 /901415.6 /90301.2 /9060.2 /90
R. Meissen29762212 min271.1 /90431.7 /90241 /90783.2 /90150.6 /9040.2 /90
A. Zagré25812013 min482.1 /90251.1 /9090.4 /90974.3 /90301.3 /9070.3 /90
L. Schouten1563951 min222.1 /90141.3 /9060.6 /90474.4 /90111 /9010.1 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Widell n 890
0.43/0
0.53/1
S. El Karouani
G. de Regt n 881.4
0.11/0
0.85/1
—
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
1.56/4
0.54/0
—
R. Meissen n 872.9
0.32/0
0.52/1
S. El Karouani
D. Sanches Fernandes n 885.8
1.67/4
1.35/4
—
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.95/2
G. de Regt n 881.4
0.64/0
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
1.85/5
R. Meissen n 872.9
1.26/1
D. Sanches Fernandes n 885.8
1.26/3
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jerolldino Armantrading20511015 min00 /9000 /90171.5 /9030.3 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
M. van Duinen1340518 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
S. Włodarczyk1156615 min20.3 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
S. Mitrovic734235 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90
M. Jonathans632190 min10.5 /9000 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9041.9 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.42/1
00/0
G. de Regt n 881.4
1.56/3
0.83/1
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
R. Meissen n 872.9
00/0
00/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 885.8
1.26/2
0.54/0
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
00/0
0.11/0
G. de Regt n 881.4
00/0
0.11/0
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
0.11/0
00/0
R. Meissen n 872.9
00/0
00/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 885.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Utrecht

Utrecht Goalkeeper

Utrecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Barkas36883177 min1283.6 /90461.3 /9010 /90
M. Brouwer671426 min163.4 /9071.5 /9000 /90
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 890
47/7

Utrecht Defensive

Utrecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. El Karouani38843192 min962.7 /90290.8 /9090.3 /901785 /90561.6 /9070.2 /90
M. van der Hoorn29822376 min281.1 /90271 /90271 /901315 /90240.9 /9010 /90
N. Viergever29802327 min301.2 /90240.9 /90220.9 /90793.1 /90220.9 /9030.1 /90
S. Horemans27872338 min441.7 /90331.3 /9050.2 /90903.5 /90170.7 /9020.1 /90
M. Didden26842188 min311.3 /90241 /90210.9 /901124.6 /90291.2 /9040.2 /90
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Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Engwanda n 889.5
0.63/2
0.43/0
—
S. El Karouani n 889.9
1.55/5
1.47/3
R. Meissen
G. Zechiël n 888.9
0.94/2
14/2
—
V. Barkas n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
2.45/5
4.48/7
—
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Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 889.5
2.98/8
S. El Karouani n 889.9
2.88/8
G. Zechiël n 888.9
1.86/5
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
1.74/3
D. de Wit n 890
2.36/4
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Utrecht Attacking

Utrecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Miguel Rodríguez31662052 min50.2 /9000 /90441.9 /90221 /90261.1 /90271.2 /90
S. Haller21571200 min10.1 /9030.2 /90211.6 /9070.5 /90151.1 /9040.3 /90
A. Blake21561168 min20.2 /9020.2 /90241.8 /90120.9 /90161.2 /90161.2 /90
D. Min1951974 min30.3 /9000 /90201.8 /9050.5 /90100.9 /90121.1 /90
A. Stepanov1071705 min40.5 /9010.1 /90192.4 /9091.1 /9050.6 /9081 /90
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Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 889.5
00/0
00/0
S. El Karouani n 889.9
1.54/4
0.42/1
G. Zechiël n 888.9
0.95/2
0.85/1
V. Barkas n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
3.16/4
1.14/1
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Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 889.5
00/0
00/0
S. El Karouani n 889.9
00/0
00/0
G. Zechiël n 888.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
V. Barkas n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ExcelsiorUtrecht
59%Possession41%
3.31Expected goals (xG)0.84
18Shots10
9Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box7
3Corners2
3Offsides1
12Fouls8
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
3Saves4
529Passes360
87%Pass accuracy77%

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000007.5
C. Widell9000000107.6
L. Schouten9000000107.9
A. Zagré9001113207.6
L. Hartjes9010110108
G. de Regt9001101006.6
R. Meissen8500001206.9
N. Naujoks8510523308.2
Irakli Yegoian7610211207.3
D. Sanches Fernandes76213231010
E. Hansson6300111006.7
S. Włodarczyk sub2700111006.3
I. Bronkhorst sub1400001007.2
A. Carlén sub1400000006.7
Giulliano Cairo sub900000206.3
S. Janssen sub900000006.6

Utrecht Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Barkas9000000004.9
N. Vesterlund9000001305.9
M. van der Hoorn9000001106
A. Engwanda9000000406.9
D. de Wit9000110206.5
Ángel Alarcón8000210106.3
Y. Cathline8000211006.6
G. Zechiël72001031Y6.7
S. El Karouani4500000206.5
A. Stepanov4100000006.5
M. Didden31000000RY4.9
S. Horemans sub4900000105.7
Emeka Adeile sub4500000005.9
C. Bozdoğan sub1800000206.9
J. Karlsson sub1000000106.3
D. Min sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Excelsior v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ExcelsiorLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
UtrechtDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Excelsior 0 · 3 draws · Utrecht 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-24 Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior
  • 2024-01-27 Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht
  • 2023-11-12 Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior
  • 2023-01-25 Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior
  • 2022-10-02 Excelsior 0–1 Utrecht
  • 2019-02-23 Utrecht 0–0 Excelsior
League standing · 2025/26
Excelsior#13 pos38 pts34 pl-13 GD
Utrecht#6 pos53 pts34 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Excelsior scored1.26
Utrecht scored1.62
Excelsior conceded1.65
Utrecht conceded1.24

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Excelsior v Utrecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Excelsior v Utrecht was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, Excelsior won 0, Utrecht won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Excelsior and Utrecht?
Recent form — Excelsior 0W 2D 3L; Utrecht 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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