This Matchweek

PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen

PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen result

Full-time · PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie · · MAC³PARK Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PEC Zwolle · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen — NEC Nijmegen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.42 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 571 of 889 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

NEC Nijmegen won 3–1 at MAC³PARK Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 29 August. NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in the last six meetings with PEC Zwolle, every meeting checked.

The goals

NEC Nijmegen led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — NEC Nijmegen: Tjaronn Chery (5’ pen, 23’ pen) and Perr Schuurs (83’, assisted by Emre Mor); PEC Zwolle: Koen Kostons (45’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tjaronn Chery’s goal on 5 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: PEC Zwolle 2.03, NEC Nijmegen 1.94, from 9 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Joey Kooij, Netherlands showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — PEC Zwolle: Olivier Aertssen (90+2’); NEC Nijmegen: Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar (63’), Dušan Tadić (70’) and Tobias Storm (73’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tjaronn Chery (NEC Nijmegen) 13.0, Perr Schuurs (NEC Nijmegen) 4.6 and Sherel Floranus (PEC Zwolle) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

PEC Zwolle next travel to Telstar on 21 November 2026.

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PEC Zwolle: Telstar v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: MAC³PARK Stadion · Zwolle
  • Referee: Joey Kooij, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PEC Zwolle 0 · draws 2 · NEC Nijmegen 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: PEC Zwolle 1W 0D 4L · NEC Nijmegen 1W 1D 3L

PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 7.17
Corners
against 6 / 3.83 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.75 / 5.17
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 4.83 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.13 / 1.67
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.25 yellows
Referee · Joey Kooij, Netherlands
22.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePEC Zwolle for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5our book
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
7.17 for · 3.83 against n 6
Shots
10 for · 19 against n 8
19.5standard
19 for · 10.5 against n 6
Shots on target
3.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.17 for · 4.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11.83 against n 6
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.67 for · 1.5 against n 6

Referee: Joey Kooij, Netherlands — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 22.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle Goalkeeper

PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Schendelaar390270 min175.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Schendelaar n 890
3.67/5

PEC Zwolle Defensive

PEC Zwolle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Viergever390270 min20.7 /9031 /9041.3 /9031 /9010.3 /9000 /90
O. Aertssen390270 min124 /9041.3 /9031 /90134.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
S. Graves390270 min41.3 /9051.7 /9062 /90155 /9051.7 /9000 /90
D. van der Haar368204 min31.3 /9062.6 /9010.4 /9062.6 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Floranus15757 min11.6 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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PEC Zwolle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Graves n 890
1.15/2
0.52/2
Deveron Fonville
O. Aertssen n 889.1
15/3
0.84/1
Deveron Fonville
N. Viergever n 390
0.31/0
00/0
Deveron Fonville
J. Schendelaar n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
K. Kostons n 887.6
0.94/1
0.65/0
T. Chery
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PEC Zwolle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Aertssen n 889.1
38/6
N. Viergever n 390
0.72/0
S. Graves n 890
0.63/1
K. Kostons n 887.6
0.32/0
T. Sommer n 388.3
0.31/0
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PEC Zwolle Attacking

PEC Zwolle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Kostons389267 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9031 /9020.7 /9031 /90
I. Cissoko334101 min00 /9000 /9032.7 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9054.5 /90
T. Sommer388265 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
R. Thomas384253 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9031.1 /90
T. Oosting375226 min00 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9052 /9000 /90
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PEC Zwolle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Graves n 890
0.53/1
00/0
O. Aertssen n 889.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
N. Viergever n 390
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Schendelaar n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Kostons n 887.6
1.47/3
0.84/2
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PEC Zwolle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Viergever n 390
0.31/0
00/0
J. Schendelaar n 890
00/0
0.11/0
S. Graves n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Aertssen n 889.1
00/0
00/0
K. Kostons n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz390270 min72.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
N. Polster18585 min77.4 /9033.2 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 890
3.45/5

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Deveron Fonville488352 min92.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90317.9 /9030.8 /9000 /90
B. Pereira467268 min93 /9051.7 /9000 /90217.1 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
T. Storm383250 min41.4 /9031.1 /9000 /90196.8 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90
P. Sandler250100 min65.4 /9054.5 /9010.9 /901614.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Clement Bischoff n 490
0.31/0
1.84/2
—
Deveron Fonville n 887
0.95/2
0.96/1
N. Viergever
N. Lebreton n 888.1
2.27/5
2.48/7
—
T. Chery n 878.4
0.43/0
0.42/1
K. Kostons
D. Nejašmić n 880.1
0.64/0
13/2
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Clement Bischoff n 490
13/1
Deveron Fonville n 887
2.88/5
N. Lebreton n 888.1
2.97/5
T. Chery n 878.4
0.32/0
D. Nejašmić n 880.1
2.48/5
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Chery470281 min00 /9000 /9082.6 /9051.6 /9061.9 /9000 /90
Dušan Tadić465258 min00 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90144.9 /9010.3 /90
B. Linssen458230 min00 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
K. Sierhuis23467 min11.3 /9000 /9045.4 /9022.7 /9011.3 /9000 /90
Adam Tahaui12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90312.3 /9000 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Clement Bischoff n 490
1.33/2
0.51/1
Deveron Fonville n 887
0.11/0
00/0
N. Lebreton n 888.1
1.77/4
0.53/1
T. Chery n 878.4
2.47/5
1.45/3
D. Nejašmić n 880.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Clement Bischoff n 490
0.31/0
00/0
Deveron Fonville n 887
00/0
00/0
N. Lebreton n 888.1
0.31/1
00/0
T. Chery n 878.4
00/0
0.11/0
D. Nejašmić n 880.1
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
52%Possession48%
2.03Expected goals (xG)1.94
9Shots8
2Shots on target4
5Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box6
6Corners7
4Offsides0
17Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves1
375Passes338
69%Pass accuracy67%

PEC Zwolle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Schendelaar9000000005.2
O. Aertssen90000014Y6.7
S. Graves9000001106.9
N. Viergever9000000105.9
S. Floranus9000000405.9
R. Thomas9000100006.5
D. Mbayo9000110006.9
K. Kostons9010411005.9
T. Sommer8600101206.3
T. Oosting6400000006
Elias Sørensen6400000206.7
G. Reiziger sub2600000106.5
I. Cissoko sub2600000207.2
O. Velanas sub900000006.6

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Crettaz9000000006.3
T. Storm90000002Y6.5
N. Lebreton9000001106.7
Jamiro Monteiro9000001506.3
Dušan Tadić90000000Y6.2
T. Chery9020330008.3
B. Nuytinck8000000006.6
B. Linssen8000000106.7
Adam Tahaui6700100206.2
Clement Bischoff6700001006.2
Deveron Fonville4500000005.6
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar sub45000002Y7.2
W. Willumsson sub2300101006.9
E. Mor sub2301002006.9
P. Schuurs sub1010110007.9
B. Pereira sub1000000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PEC ZwolleLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PEC Zwolle 0 · 2 draws · NEC Nijmegen 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 NEC Nijmegen 2–1 PEC Zwolle
  • 2025-10-25 PEC Zwolle 2–2 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-01-11 PEC Zwolle 0–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-10-29 NEC Nijmegen 4–3 PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-08-24 NEC Nijmegen 1–0 PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-04-14 NEC Nijmegen 2–2 PEC Zwolle
League standing · 2026/27
PEC Zwolle#13 pos12 pts12 pl-11 GD
NEC Nijmegen#14 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
PEC Zwolle scored1.08
NEC Nijmegen scored1.55
PEC Zwolle conceded2
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.73

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen?
In their last 6 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 0, NEC Nijmegen won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — PEC Zwolle 1W 0D 4L; NEC Nijmegen 1W 1D 3L.

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