PSV EindhovenUtrecht

PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht result

Full-time · PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht

Eredivisie · · Philips Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 557 of 869 times (64.1%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PSV Eindhoven beat Utrecht 4–3 at Philips Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 4 April. PSV Eindhoven have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

PSV Eindhoven came from behind: Utrecht led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: A. Stepanov (3’, assisted by N. Vesterlund), Gjivai Zechiël (13’, assisted by Ángel Alarcón) and J. Karlsson (82’, assisted by S. Haller); PSV Eindhoven: I. Saibari (21’, assisted by Ivan Perišić; 48’, assisted by Mauro Júnior), Guus Til (52’, assisted by I. Saibari) and Couhaib Driouech (90’, assisted by Joey Veerman).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Couhaib Driouech’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: PSV Eindhoven 3.48, Utrecht 1.36, from 19 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Gozubuyuk showed one yellow card — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Utrecht: N. Vesterlund (71’).

What it changes

PSV Eindhoven stay first after this result (29 league matches played). PSV Eindhoven have scored 101 goals, the second-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). PSV Eindhoven have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 23 clubs.

Utrecht stay seventh after this result (29 league matches played). Utrecht have scored 58 goals, the ninth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Utrecht have conceded 44 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 23 clubs.

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 29, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, I. Saibari (PSV Eindhoven) 14.9, Gjivai Zechiël (Utrecht) 7.9 and Joey Veerman (PSV Eindhoven) 6.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Utrecht, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

PSV Eindhoven next travel to Cambuur on 8 November 2026.

Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PSV Eindhoven: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Philips Stadion · Eindhoven
  • Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PSV Eindhoven 3 · draws 3 · Utrecht 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: PSV Eindhoven 2W 0D 3L · Utrecht 3W 2D 0L

PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.88 / 5
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.63 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.73 yellows
Referee · S. Gozubuyuk
21.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePSV Eindhoven for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
18.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
7.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Gozubuyuk — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.8 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven Goalkeeper

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Kovář38903420 min1173.1 /90531.4 /9000 /90
N. Schiks290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 890
3.27/5

PSV Eindhoven Defensive

PSV Eindhoven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Schouten38863261 min571.6 /90661.8 /90150.4 /901423.9 /90371 /9070.2 /90
S. Dest33832723 min672.2 /90170.6 /9060.2 /901856.1 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
Mauro Júnior32792535 min732.6 /90401.4 /9070.2 /901505.3 /90240.9 /9060.2 /90
Yarek Gasiorowski31742293 min301.2 /90431.7 /90261 /901014 /90220.9 /9030.1 /90
R. Flamingo26601567 min301.7 /90191.1 /90160.9 /90975.6 /90211.2 /9030.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kovář n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Schouten n 883.3
0.43/0
0.43/0
—
Joey Veerman n 878.8
0.73/2
0.64/0
S. El Karouani
I. Perišić n 881.1
0.63/1
0.43/0
—
S. Dest n 881.8
0.42/1
1.56/3
—
See more players · Pro
PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Schouten n 883.3
2.28/6
Joey Veerman n 878.8
38/6
I. Perišić n 881.1
1.87/5
S. Dest n 881.8
2.68/4
I. Saibari n 883.5
1.26/2
See more players · Pro

PSV Eindhoven Attacking

PSV Eindhoven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Til33742455 min150.5 /9050.2 /90481.8 /90311.1 /90431.6 /9040.1 /90
C. Driouech2736983 min60.5 /9040.4 /90312.8 /90141.3 /90222 /90111 /90
E. Bajraktarevic25441098 min50.4 /9010.1 /90242 /90161.3 /90181.5 /90191.6 /90
R. Pepi24521246 min120.9 /9010.1 /90372.7 /90272 /90141 /90141 /90
M. Boadu842334 min20.5 /9000 /90123.2 /9071.9 /9041.1 /9041.1 /90
See more players · Pro
PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kovář n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schouten n 883.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
Joey Veerman n 878.8
0.94/1
0.43/0
I. Perišić n 881.1
1.97/4
15/1
S. Dest n 881.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Kovář n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schouten n 883.3
00/0
00/0
Joey Veerman n 878.8
00/0
0.32/0
I. Perišić n 881.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
S. Dest n 881.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Utrecht

Utrecht Goalkeeper

Utrecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Barkas34882997 min1183.5 /90411.2 /9010 /90
M. Brouwer671426 min163.4 /9071.5 /9000 /90
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 890
3.97/7

Utrecht Defensive

Utrecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. El Karouani36843013 min912.7 /90290.9 /9080.2 /901695 /90501.5 /9060.2 /90
N. Viergever29802327 min301.2 /90240.9 /90220.9 /90793.1 /90220.9 /9030.1 /90
M. van der Hoorn27812196 min251 /90241 /90241 /901215 /90210.9 /9010 /90
S. Horemans26882279 min441.7 /90321.3 /9050.2 /90903.6 /90160.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Didden24842008 min261.2 /90231 /90210.9 /901034.6 /90281.3 /9040.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Engwanda n 889.4
0.63/2
0.43/0
—
S. El Karouani n 890
15/3
1.36/3
Joey Veerman
G. Zechiël n 889.3
15/2
14/2
—
V. Barkas n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
2.45/5
4.48/7
—
See more players · Pro
Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 889.4
3.18/8
S. El Karouani n 890
2.68/8
G. Zechiël n 889.3
1.96/6
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
1.74/3
N. Viergever n 869.4
15/1
See more players · Pro

Utrecht Attacking

Utrecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Miguel Rodríguez31662052 min50.2 /9000 /90441.9 /90221 /90261.1 /90271.2 /90
S. Haller21571200 min10.1 /9030.2 /90211.6 /9070.5 /90151.1 /9040.3 /90
A. Blake21561168 min20.2 /9020.2 /90241.8 /90120.9 /90161.2 /90161.2 /90
D. Min1951974 min30.3 /9000 /90201.8 /9050.5 /90100.9 /90121.1 /90
V. Jensen971642 min60.8 /9000 /90121.7 /9081.1 /9071 /9020.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 889.4
00/0
00/0
S. El Karouani n 890
1.14/3
0.11/0
G. Zechiël n 889.3
1.15/3
15/2
V. Barkas n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
3.16/4
1.14/1
See more players · Pro
Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 889.4
00/0
00/0
S. El Karouani n 890
00/0
0.11/0
G. Zechiël n 889.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
V. Barkas n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Rodríguez n 851.6
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PSV EindhovenUtrecht
63%Possession37%
3.48Expected goals (xG)1.36
19Shots12
8Shots on target7
6Shots off target2
5Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box9
8Corners3
1Offsides0
6Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves4
537Passes298
87%Pass accuracy71%

PSV Eindhoven Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Kovář9000000006.2
K. Sildillia9000300106.3
Yarek Gasiorowski9000001006.2
Mauro Júnior9001212106.9
Joey Veerman9001005107.7
P. Wanner9000000307.2
I. Saibari90213351010
G. Til8610210206.9
D. Man7400000107
I. Perišić7401001007.2
J. Schouten6500100406.9
R. Flamingo sub2500000006.3
C. Driouech sub1610220207.6
E. Bajraktarevic sub1600110006.2
R. Pepi sub1300000006.2

Utrecht Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Barkas9000000005.3
M. Didden9000000306.3
M. van der Hoorn9000000107.3
N. Vesterlund90011112Y6.7
A. Engwanda9000000406.7
G. Zechiël9010113107.9
S. El Karouani9000001307
Y. Cathline9000321207.2
Ángel Alarcón77–1––2206.7
A. Stepanov7710210107.2
Ángel Alarcón7701002206.7
S. Horemans5900001006.3
J. Karlsson sub3110220007.2
S. Haller sub1301001006.7
D. Min sub1300001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PSV EindhovenWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
UtrechtDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PSV Eindhoven 3 · 3 draws · Utrecht 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-21 Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2025-02-15 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Utrecht
  • 2024-12-01 Utrecht 2–5 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2024-01-21 Utrecht 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2023-08-12 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Utrecht
  • 2023-02-19 Utrecht 2–2 PSV Eindhoven
League standing · 2025/26
PSV Eindhoven#1 pos84 pts34 pl+56 GD
Utrecht#6 pos53 pts34 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
PSV Eindhoven scored2.97
Utrecht scored1.62
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.32
Utrecht conceded1.24

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 3, Utrecht won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PSV Eindhoven and Utrecht?
Recent form — PSV Eindhoven 2W 0D 3L; Utrecht 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+