Sparta RotterdamExcelsior

Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior result

Full-time · Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior

Eredivisie · · Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior — Excelsior won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Excelsior won 3–2 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel in the Eredivisie on Sunday 17 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sparta Rotterdam out-shot Excelsior 18 to 16 and created the better chances, 1.76 xG to 0.95 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Excelsior led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Sparta Rotterdam: an own goal by Giannino Vianello (14’), Ayoni Santos (53’) and Milan Zonneveld (90’, assisted by T. Lauritsen); Excelsior: Arthur Zagré (50’) and Noah Naujoks (62’, assisted by Gyan de Regt).

Discipline

A. Lindhout showed four yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sparta Rotterdam: Vito van Crooij (40’), Julian Baas (54’), Teo Quintero (71’) and P. van Aanholt (89’).

What it changes

Sparta Rotterdam stay 10th after this result (34 league matches played).

Excelsior move up from 14th to 13th (34 league matches played).

Sparta Rotterdam are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Excelsior are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Excelsior have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Noah Naujoks (Excelsior) 7.8, Ayoni Santos (Sparta Rotterdam) 6.1 and Arthur Zagré (Excelsior) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sparta Rotterdam next travel to ADO Den Haag on 7 November 2026.

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sparta Rotterdam: ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam
  • Referee: A. Lindhout
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sparta Rotterdam 4 · draws 0 · Excelsior 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam 0W 2D 3L · Excelsior 2W 2D 1L

Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4
Corners
against 6.75 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 0.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.7 yellows
Referee · A. Lindhout
19.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSparta Rotterdam for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Lindhout — 2.7 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 19.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam Goalkeeper

Sparta Rotterdam — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Drommel33902970 min1384.2 /90591.8 /9020.1 /90
Sparta Rotterdam — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Drommel n 890
4.37/7

Sparta Rotterdam Defensive

Sparta Rotterdam — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Young33902970 min722.2 /90481.5 /90280.8 /901544.7 /90361.1 /9070.2 /90
Teo Quintero28872449 min632.3 /90311.1 /90331.2 /901615.9 /90341.2 /9080.3 /90
B. Martins Indi28852379 min240.9 /90311.2 /90200.8 /901033.9 /90311.2 /9060.2 /90
S. Sambo23721658 min382.1 /90201.1 /9090.5 /90894.8 /90201.1 /9060.3 /90
L. Martes14741031 min332.9 /90111 /9060.5 /90655.7 /90171.5 /9050.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sparta Rotterdam — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Lauritsen n 887.9
16/2
0.86/0
—
M. Young n 890
1.86/3
0.95/1
C. Widell
J. Drommel n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Kitolano n 878.9
0.95/1
2.37/5
—
M. van Bergen n 875.5
00/0
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
Sparta Rotterdam — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Lauritsen n 887.9
0.43/0
M. Young n 890
2.98/6
J. Kitolano n 878.9
26/5
M. van Bergen n 875.5
0.93/2
Teo Quintero n 890
2.57/5
See more players · Pro

Sparta Rotterdam Attacking

Sparta Rotterdam — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Lauritsen35883078 min130.4 /9050.1 /90601.8 /90270.8 /90491.4 /9080.2 /90
A. Oufkir1645715 min30.4 /9020.3 /90232.9 /90111.4 /9091.1 /90162 /90
C. Terho729205 min00 /9010.4 /9062.6 /9000 /9041.8 /9073.1 /90
M. Zonneveld433132 min10.7 /9000 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9000 /90
N. Þórisson42288 min00 /9011 /9044.1 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Sparta Rotterdam — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Lauritsen n 887.9
1.86/5
0.65/0
M. Young n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Drommel n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kitolano n 878.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
M. van Bergen n 875.5
2.55/5
1.24/3
See more players · Pro
Sparta Rotterdam — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Lauritsen n 887.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Drommel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Young n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kitolano n 878.9
00/0
00/0
M. van Bergen n 875.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel31882730 min1143.8 /90441.5 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.27/7

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Widell33902964 min331 /90341 /90321 /901464.4 /90240.7 /9020.1 /90
R. Meissen32772449 min311.1 /90481.8 /90240.9 /90903.3 /90240.9 /9040.1 /90
I. Bronkhorst30772302 min461.8 /90271.1 /9090.4 /901425.6 /90301.2 /9060.2 /90
A. Zagré28822283 min532.1 /90291.1 /9090.4 /901064.2 /90311.2 /9070.3 /90
L. Schouten18681221 min241.8 /90161.2 /9080.6 /90604.4 /90151.1 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Widell n 890
0.63/1
0.53/1
M. Young
G. de Regt n 886
0.43/0
0.96/1
—
R. Meissen n 872.3
1.64/3
0.63/1
—
D. Sanches Fernandes n 884.8
1.57/3
1.67/4
—
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
See more players · Pro
Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.96/1
G. de Regt n 886
0.32/0
R. Meissen n 872.3
1.77/3
D. Sanches Fernandes n 884.8
0.95/2
Irakli Yegoian n 879.3
2.16/5
See more players · Pro

Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jerolldino Armantrading20511015 min00 /9000 /90171.5 /9030.3 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
S. Włodarczyk1450700 min20.3 /9010.1 /90111.4 /9070.9 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90
M. van Duinen1340518 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
S. Mitrovic734235 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90
M. Jonathans632190 min10.5 /9000 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9041.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.94/2
0.31/1
G. de Regt n 886
1.88/4
0.94/1
R. Meissen n 872.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 884.8
1.97/4
1.26/2
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. de Regt n 886
0.11/0
0.32/0
R. Meissen n 872.3
00/0
0.21/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 884.8
0.74/1
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sparta RotterdamExcelsior
53%Possession47%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.95
18Shots16
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target9
7Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box6
5Corners2
2Offsides1
11Fouls15
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves3
420Passes383
81%Pass accuracy79%

Sparta Rotterdam Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Drommel9000000006.7
M. Young9000001106.9
Teo Quintero90001012Y6.3
A. Santos9010210107.7
V. van Crooij90000011Y6.7
T. Lauritsen9001212107.3
J. Kitolano7900110206.7
G. Vianello7100000106.2
S. Mito7100211106.6
S. Bakari4500000006.2
P. Clement4500000106.6
J. Baas sub45001020Y6.7
M. Zonneveld sub4510210007.2
P. van Aanholt sub19000010Y6.6
J. de Guzmán sub1900000106.9
J. Toornstra sub1100002007.2

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000006.6
C. Widell9000000006.3
L. Schouten9000000006.5
A. Zagré9010220107.7
L. Hartjes9000300307.2
Irakli Yegoian9000311306.6
G. de Regt9001101106.9
N. Naujoks8610114107.5
D. Sanches Fernandes8600301006.6
M. van Duinen7500001006.2
R. Meissen6400000106.6
I. Bronkhorst sub2600000006.5
Jerolldino Armantrading sub1500000106.6
A. Carlén sub1100000006.5
S. Włodarczyk sub1100000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sparta RotterdamDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
ExcelsiorLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sparta Rotterdam 4 · 0 draws · Excelsior 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2024-02-17 Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior
  • 2023-10-01 Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2023-03-05 Excelsior 1–4 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2023-01-14 Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Excelsior
  • 2018-01-21 Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior
League standing · 2025/26
Sparta Rotterdam#10 pos43 pts34 pl-22 GD
Excelsior#13 pos38 pts34 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Sparta Rotterdam scored1.18
Excelsior scored1.26
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.82
Excelsior conceded1.65

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sparta Rotterdam and Excelsior?
In their last 6 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 4, Excelsior won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sparta Rotterdam and Excelsior?
Recent form — Sparta Rotterdam 0W 2D 3L; Excelsior 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+