This Matchweek

Willem IIHeerenveen

Willem II v Heerenveen result

Full-time · Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen

Eredivisie · · Koning Willem II Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.48 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Willem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2 at Koning Willem II Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 30 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Willem II: Uriel van Aalst (61’, assisted by Nathan Tjoe-A-On) and Devin Haen (82’, assisted by Calvin Twigt); Heerenveen: Jacob Trenskow (64’, assisted by Dylan Vente) and Oliver Braude (77’, assisted by Levi Smans).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Devin Haen’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Willem II 1.70, Heerenveen 1.35, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands showed no yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Willem II move up from 18th to 15th (three league matches played).

Heerenveen stay ninth after this result (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jacob Trenskow (Heerenveen) 7.8, Calvin Twigt (Willem II) 7.4 and Nathan Tjoe-A-On (Willem II) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Heerenveen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Willem II.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Willem II next travel to Twente on 22 November 2026.

Heerenveen next travel to Groningen on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Willem II: Twente v Willem II, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Heerenveen: Groningen v Heerenveen, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion · Tilburg
  • Referee: Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Willem II 1 · draws 1 · Heerenveen 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heerenveen 1W 2D 2L

Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Willem IIHeerenveen
39%Possession61%
1.70Expected goals (xG)1.35
12Shots13
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box11
9Corners7
2Offsides2
9Fouls5
3Saves2
320Passes517
77%Pass accuracy87%

Willem II Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Karst de Leeuw9000000006.6
H. ter Avest9000101406.9
Finn Stam9000000006.5
Uriel van Aalst9010210107.3
J. Slory9000321206.3
Devin Haen9010221107.9
K. Boogaard8700100306.6
Nathan Tjoe-A-On8501001307.3
Calvin Twigt8501004207.5
E. Gürbüz6200100206.2
Justin Hoogma4500000006.6
M. Lemmens sub4500000106.7
Per van Loon sub2800000006.5
Alessandro Ciranni sub900000006.7
A. Et-Taïbi sub900000006.6
Thomas Verheydt sub30000000–

Heerenveen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Klaverboer9000000107.6
O. Braude9010321108.3
S. Kersten9000000106.5
M. Willemsen9000001006.9
V. Zagaritis9000000006.5
D. Proper9000001106.6
J. Trenskow9010224208.7
D. Vente9001003006.3
M. Rivera8500210005.9
N. Courtens6900101006.3
R. Meerveld6900000106.6
L. Smans sub2101001106.9
L. Brouwers sub2100200006.3
L. Oyen sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Willem II v Heerenveen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Willem II
HeerenveenDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Willem II 1 · 1 draw · Heerenveen 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-04-04 Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II
  • 2024-12-08 Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen
  • 2022-03-05 Willem II 0–0 Heerenveen
  • 2021-11-21 Heerenveen 2–1 Willem II
  • 2021-03-13 Willem II 3–1 Heerenveen
  • 2020-09-12 Heerenveen 2–0 Willem II
League standing · 2026/27
Willem II#18 pos3 pts12 pl-29 GD
Heerenveen#7 pos18 pts11 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Willem II scored0.92
Heerenveen scored1.73
Willem II conceded3.33
Heerenveen conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Willem II v Heerenveen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Willem II v Heerenveen was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.48 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Willem II and Heerenveen?
In their last 6 meetings, Willem II won 1, Heerenveen won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Willem II and Heerenveen?
Recent form — Heerenveen 1W 2D 2L.

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