AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Morecambe result
Team pages: AFC Rushden & Diamonds · Morecambe
The model’s pre-match pick
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2–1 Morecambe — AFC Rushden & Diamonds won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
AFC Rushden & Diamonds beat Morecambe 2–1 at Hayden Road in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October. AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
AFC Rushden & Diamonds led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — AFC Rushden & Diamonds: M. Warburton (25’); Morecambe: J. Garner (50’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Garner’s goal on 50 minutes.
What it changes
AFC Rushden & Diamonds sit second on 12 points from four games with a goal difference of +7 (2026/27 so far). AFC Rushden & Diamonds have scored 10 goals, the 35th-most (shared) of the 280 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). AFC Rushden & Diamonds have conceded three goals, the 28th-fewest (shared) of the 280 clubs.
Morecambe sit 53rd on six points from three games with a goal difference of +4 (2026/27 so far). Morecambe have scored six goals, the 60th-most (shared) of the 280 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Morecambe have conceded two goals, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 280 clubs.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, AFC Rushden & Diamonds or Morecambe (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds next travel to Burton Albion on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for AFC Rushden & Diamonds: Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2–1 Morecambe · FA Cup
- Venue: Hayden Road · Rushden, Northamptonshire
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3W 0D 2L · Morecambe 2W 0D 3L
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2–1 Morecambe (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| 37% | Possession | 63% |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Morecambe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Morecambe?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Morecambe was Home or Away (odds 1.18 at Bet365).
- What is the recent form of AFC Rushden & Diamonds and Morecambe?
- Recent form — AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3W 0D 2L; Morecambe 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.