Crewe v AFC Wimbledon prediction

FA Cup · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Alexandra Stadium

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crewe · AFC Wimbledon · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Crewe v AFC Wimbledon, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Crewe host AFC Wimbledon in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Crewe or AFC Wimbledon (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AFC Wimbledon are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. AFC Wimbledon are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Crewe, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Crewe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Crewe’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Crewe have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14.

Seven of AFC Wimbledon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of AFC Wimbledon’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, AFC Wimbledon have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.57.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AFC Wimbledon the stronger side, 195 rating points above Crewe (AFC Wimbledon 1712, Crewe 1517, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 February 2025, finished AFC Wimbledon 3–0 Crewe.

Team news

Predicted Crewe XI (4-2-3-1): T. Booth, L. Offord, L. Billington, J. Stephenson, K. Ure, J. Gibson, J. Tabiner, O. Lunt, M. Holíček, J. White, J. March — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Gibson (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Joshua March (3.7 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Crewe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crewe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Gibson averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1012 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Joshua March averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1265 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AFC Wimbledon XI (5-4-1): J. Bursik, R. Johnson, S. Seddon, A. Sasu, A. Yiadom, I. Ogundere, A. Smith, M. Hippolyte, O. Harrison, C. Maycock, J. Stockley — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josef Bursik (4.4 per match over nine appearances) and Jayden Stockley (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been AFC Wimbledon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AFC Wimbledon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josef Bursik averages 4.4 saves per 90 over 765 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last nine appearances. Jayden Stockley averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1109 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · FA Cup · Alexandra Stadium
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Crewe 0 · draws 5 · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Crewe 3W 0D 2L · AFC Wimbledon 0W 2D 3L

Crewe v AFC Wimbledon (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 5.63

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 2.63

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.25

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Crewe for / against	Line	AFC Wimbledon for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.13 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.63 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Crewe

Crewe Goalkeeper

Crewe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Booth	15	901350 min	483.2 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Crewe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Booth n 8	90	2.9 6/5

Crewe Defensive

Crewe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Offord	15	881313 min	161.1 /90	292 /90	80.5 /90	714.9 /90	161.1 /90	10.1 /90
L. Billington	15	851280 min	130.9 /90	171.2 /90	30.2 /90	503.5 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Stephenson	13	871133 min	131 /90	252 /90	50.4 /90	756 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90
R. Hutchinson	10	69687 min	222.9 /90	91.2 /90	20.3 /90	486.3 /90	81 /90	00 /90
Kyle Ure	9	60537 min	213.5 /90	101.7 /90	40.7 /90	315.2 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
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Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Booth n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
L. Offord n 8	90	1 6/2	1.4 5/3	—
L. Billington n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/1	—
J. Gibson n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0	—
J. March n 8	86.6	0.8 5/1	2.1 5/3	—
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Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Offord n 8	90	1 4/2
L. Billington n 8	90	1.3 5/3
J. Gibson n 8	69.3	1.1 5/2
J. March n 8	86.6	0.8 4/2
J. Tabiner n 8	70.5	0.5 3/0
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Crewe Attacking

Crewe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. March	14	871220 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	211.5 /90	50.4 /90	201.5 /90	50.4 /90
A. Thibaut	10	45451 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90
C. McNeill	10	40400 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	112.5 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90
J. Gibson	15	64967 min	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	252.3 /90	111 /90	161.5 /90	262.4 /90
J. Tabiner	14	62873 min	00 /90	40.4 /90	70.7 /90	10.1 /90	151.5 /90	101 /90
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Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Booth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Offord n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Billington n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
J. Gibson n 8	69.3	2.1 6/4	1.3 6/2
J. March n 8	86.6	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Booth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Offord n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Billington n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Gibson n 8	69.3	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. March n 8	86.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon Goalkeeper

AFC Wimbledon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
J. Bursik	8	90720 min	374.6 /90	30.4 /90
J. McDonnell	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	41.3 /90
N. Bishop	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	63 /90

AFC Wimbledon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Bursik n 8	90	4.6 8/6
J. McDonnell n 8	90	2.9 6/5
N. Bishop n 8	90	3.6 7/6

AFC Wimbledon Defensive

AFC Wimbledon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Seddon	13	901170 min	191.5 /90	191.5 /90	20.2 /90	624.8 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
R. Johnson	11	88968 min	60.6 /90	131.2 /90	70.7 /90	474.4 /90	121.1 /90	30.3 /90
A. Sasu	10	67668 min	91.2 /90	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	375 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
D. Sweeney	8	83664 min	131.8 /90	162.2 /90	101.4 /90	598 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90
I. Ogundere	8	80643 min	142 /90	60.8 /90	40.6 /90	324.5 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
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AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Seddon n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.4 3/0	—
A. Smith n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.4 7/3	—
J. Stockley n 8	87.5	2.2 7/5	2.1 7/6	—
M. Hippolyte n 8	88.9	1.4 7/3	1.3 6/2	—
C. Maycock n 8	61.1	0.7 3/1	0.6 2/1	—
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AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	1.3 5/2
A. Smith n 8	90	2.4 7/6
J. Stockley n 8	87.5	0.4 3/0
M. Hippolyte n 8	88.9	1.1 6/3
C. Maycock n 8	61.1	0.9 4/1
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AFC Wimbledon Attacking

AFC Wimbledon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Stockley	13	791030 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	312.7 /90	111 /90	90.8 /90	50.4 /90
Donnell McNeilly	4	31125 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	53.6 /90	10.7 /90
M. Browne	3	75225 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
H. Cornick	3	42127 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	42.8 /90	32.1 /90
Junior Nkeng	1	2323 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.9 /90	00 /90	13.9 /90	13.9 /90
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AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. Smith n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
J. Stockley n 8	87.5	2.7 7/7	1 4/4
M. Hippolyte n 8	88.9	1.6 7/5	0.3 2/0
C. Maycock n 8	61.1	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
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AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Seddon n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Smith n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stockley n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
M. Hippolyte n 8	88.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Maycock n 8	61.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crewe v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CreweWWWLL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

AFC WimbledonDLLLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Crewe 0 · 5 draws · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 2.17 goals/game

2025-02-11 AFC Wimbledon 3–0 Crewe
2025-01-28 Crewe 1–1 AFC Wimbledon
2024-03-23 Crewe 1–1 AFC Wimbledon
2023-09-16 AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Crewe
2023-01-07 Crewe 0–0 AFC Wimbledon
2022-10-25 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Crewe

Goals per game

Crewe scored1.6

AFC Wimbledon scored0.6

Crewe conceded2

AFC Wimbledon conceded2.4

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Crewe v AFC Wimbledon?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v AFC Wimbledon is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and AFC Wimbledon?: In their last 6 meetings, Crewe won 0, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and there were 5 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crewe and AFC Wimbledon?: Recent form — Crewe 3W 0D 2L; AFC Wimbledon 0W 2D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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