York v Northampton prediction

FA Cup · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · York Community Stadium

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for York v Northampton, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

York host Northampton in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is York to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Two of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%).

York have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of York’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of York’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, York have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.88.

Both teams scored in five of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Northampton have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.57.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have York the stronger side, 532 rating points above Northampton (York 1867, Northampton 1335, after at least 15 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished York 1–1 Northampton.

Team news

Predicted York XI (4-4-2): A. McNally, Z. Johnson, M. Kitching, R. Fallowfield, J. Grey, H. Boyes, A. Hunt, A. Read, O. Banks, O. Pearce, J. Malcolm — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Harry Boyes (4.8 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and six assists) and Alexander Newby (3.6 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and one assist) have been York’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for York (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harry Boyes averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1226 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Alexander Newby averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 835 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Donacien, J. Powell, J. Wormleighton, L. Evans, C. Lemonheigh-Evans, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, O. Dale, M. Warhurst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.4 per match over 12 appearances) and Janoi Donacien (3.2 per match over nine appearances) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 918 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Janoi Donacien averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 674 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · FA Cup · York Community Stadium
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): York 0 · draws 1 · Northampton 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: York 1W 2D 2L · Northampton 2W 1D 2L

York v Northampton (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.63 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.38

Corners

against 5.25 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	York for / against	Line	Northampton for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.88 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.88 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally	15	901350 min	422.8 /90	120.8 /90	10.1 /90

York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	3.2 7/6

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Kitching	14	881233 min	191.4 /90	90.7 /90	40.3 /90	473.4 /90	60.4 /90	20.1 /90
R. Fallowfield	13	75981 min	151.4 /90	252.3 /90	70.6 /90	353.2 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
Z. Johnson	12	851020 min	70.6 /90	121.1 /90	80.7 /90	494.3 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
J. King	9	40359 min	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	184.5 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
M. Williams	7	82573 min	71.1 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90	264.1 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	0.8 6/0	1.2 5/2	—
A. Hunt n 8	79	1 6/1	1.3 6/3	—
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	0.5 2/2	0.6 3/2	—
H. Boyes n 8	88.8	0.5 3/1	1.4 7/4	—
See more players · Pro

York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	0.5 3/1
A. Hunt n 8	79	2.3 8/2
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	1.4 6/3
H. Boyes n 8	88.8	1.6 7/5
J. Grey n 8	73.5	1.8 4/4
See more players · Pro

York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Pearce	15	861284 min	60.4 /90	40.3 /90	322.2 /90	120.8 /90	110.8 /90	40.3 /90
J. Grey	14	781094 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	161.3 /90	50.4 /90	131.1 /90	151.2 /90
J. Malcolm	9	27247 min	31.1 /90	00 /90	82.9 /90	72.6 /90	31.1 /90	41.5 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi	2	60120 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	32.3 /90	10.8 /90	32.3 /90
A. Hunt	15	761139 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	30.2 /90	241.9 /90	60.5 /90
See more players · Pro

York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	2.5 7/6	1.1 5/2
A. Hunt n 8	79	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
H. Boyes n 8	88.8	1.5 6/2	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
A. Hunt n 8	79	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Boyes n 8	88.8	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
See more players · Pro

Northampton

Northampton Goalkeeper

Northampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Jeacock	12	911089 min	252.1 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	2.4 6/4

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Moore	12	911089 min	70.6 /90	121 /90	80.7 /90	584.8 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90
J. Guthrie	12	911089 min	131.1 /90	181.5 /90	80.7 /90	675.5 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Maxwell	9	81726 min	131.6 /90	111.4 /90	10.1 /90	394.8 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Donacien	8	79629 min	223.1 /90	81.1 /90	40.6 /90	385.4 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
Joshua Alan Powell	5	69344 min	71.8 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90	143.7 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.6 2/2	—
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.6 4/1	—
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	1.8 8/4	1.9 8/5	—
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	1.2 5/3	1.4 6/2	—
See more players · Pro

Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Guthrie n 8	90	1.1 7/2
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 4/1
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	3.9 8/8
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	1.2 5/1
Matthew Warhurst n 8	61.8	1.1 4/2
See more players · Pro

Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Matthew Warhurst	10	60600 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	132 /90	50.8 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90
N. Opoku	7	55388 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90
O. Dale	6	79476 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	122.3 /90	61.1 /90	61.1 /90	81.5 /90
H. Saunders	6	59356 min	00 /90	00 /90	112.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90
E. List	4	35140 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	1.4 7/2	0.5 3/0
See more players · Pro

Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Moore n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind York v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

YorkDDWLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

NorthamptonLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

York 0 · 1 draw · Northampton 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-10-10 York 1–1 Northampton

Goals per game

York scored1.4

Northampton scored1

York conceded2

Northampton conceded0.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win York v Northampton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for York v Northampton is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between York and Northampton?: In their last 1 meetings, York won 0, Northampton won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of York and Northampton?: Recent form — York 1W 2D 2L; Northampton 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.