Arsenal WAston Villa W

Arsenal W v Aston Villa W result

Full-time · Arsenal W 1–1 Aston Villa W

FA WSL · · Meadow Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arsenal W · Aston Villa W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Arsenal W 1–1 Aston Villa W — this FA WSL match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.22 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arsenal W and Aston Villa W drew 1–1 at Meadow Park in the FA WSL on Sunday 1 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Arsenal W out-shot Aston Villa W 28 to 1 and created the better chances, 2.69 xG to 0.13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Aston Villa W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Arsenal W: Alessia Russo (85’, assisted by Stina Blackstenius).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alessia Russo’s goal on 85 minutes.

Discipline

Megan Wilson showed no yellow cards — against 0.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Arsenal W stay sixth after this result (eight league matches played). Arsenal W have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Arsenal W have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Aston Villa W stay eighth after this result (eight league matches played). Aston Villa W have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Aston Villa W have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most of the 14 clubs.

Arsenal W are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Aston Villa W are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Arsenal W have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Emily Fox (Arsenal W) 7.0, Alessia Russo (Arsenal W) 6.3 and Akane Okuma (Aston Villa W) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Arsenal W next travel to Liverpool W on 8 November 2026.

Aston Villa W next host Manchester United W on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arsenal W: Liverpool W v Arsenal W, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa W: Aston Villa W v Manchester United W, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arsenal W 1–1 Aston Villa W · FA WSL
  • Venue: Meadow Park · Borehamwood, Hertfordshire
  • Referee: Megan Wilson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal W 4 · draws 1 · Aston Villa W 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arsenal W 2W 2D 1L · Aston Villa W 2W 2D 1L

Arsenal W 1–1 Aston Villa W (FA WSL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 4.25
over 8 matches
8.88 / 2.57
Corners
against 2.25 / 7.57 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.25 / 3.14
Shots on target
against 3 / 7.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.75 / 0.86
Cards
against 1.13 / 0.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
0.6 yellows
Referee · Megan Wilson
15.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArsenal W for / againstLineAston Villa W for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
4.25our book
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
8.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
9.5standard
2.57 for · 7.57 against n 7
Shots
19.88 for · 6.75 against n 8
19.5standard
7.71 for · 23.86 against n 7
Shots on target
6.25 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
3.14 for · 7.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
7.88 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
6.71 for · 6.86 against n 7
Cards shown
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
0.86 for · 0.57 against n 7

Referee: Megan Wilson — 0.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 15.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arsenal W

Arsenal W Goalkeeper

Arsenal W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Misa Rodriguez590450 min51 /9000 /9000 /90
Anneke Borbe290180 min73.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Misa19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /90
Arsenal W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Misa Rodriguez n 590
12/0
Anneke Borbe n 790.7
22/2

Arsenal W Defensive

Arsenal W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Leah Williamson790630 min40.6 /90142 /9010.1 /90162.3 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
Ona Batlle775527 min152.6 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90274.6 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Emily Fox685512 min50.9 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90315.4 /9030.5 /9000 /90
S. Catley487348 min20.5 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9082.1 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Lotte Wubben-Moy390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90165.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Arsenal W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Leah Williamson n 891.3
0.63/2
0.42/1
M. Harviken
Alessia Russo n 889.1
1.46/3
1.97/5
—
Georgia Stanway n 782.7
2.24/4
1.45/3
N. Maritz
Ona Batlle n 775.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Harviken
L. Baum n 773
0.94/1
1.27/0
—
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Arsenal W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leah Williamson n 891.3
0.53/1
Alessia Russo n 889.1
0.84/2
Georgia Stanway n 782.7
1.26/2
Ona Batlle n 775.3
2.65/5
L. Baum n 773
2.36/5
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Arsenal W Attacking

Arsenal W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alessia Russo789623 min20.3 /9010.1 /90213 /9081.2 /90142 /9081.2 /90
Stina Blackstenius641248 min00 /9000 /9082.9 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9051.8 /90
Caitlin Foord638226 min00 /9000 /9083.2 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9072.8 /90
C. Kelly339116 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /90
Georgia Stanway783579 min10.2 /9010.2 /90111.7 /9030.5 /90111.7 /9010.2 /90
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Arsenal W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leah Williamson n 891.3
0.73/2
0.11/0
Alessia Russo n 889.1
3.28/7
1.35/3
Georgia Stanway n 782.7
1.76/3
0.52/1
Ona Batlle n 775.3
0.92/1
0.21/0
L. Baum n 773
2.87/5
1.66/3
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Arsenal W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leah Williamson n 891.3
00/0
0.11/0
Alessia Russo n 889.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Georgia Stanway n 782.7
0.21/0
0.21/0
Ona Batlle n 775.3
00/0
00/0
L. Baum n 773
0.42/0
00/0
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Aston Villa W

Aston Villa W Goalkeeper

Aston Villa W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Akane Okuma790630 min415.9 /90–00 /90
Aston Villa W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Akane Okuma n 790
5.97/7

Aston Villa W Defensive

Aston Villa W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Harviken790630 min30.4 /9071 /9000 /90111.6 /9010.1 /9000 /90
O. Deslandes750350 min71.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90184.6 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
A. Patten690540 min91.5 /9040.7 /9000 /90183 /9030.5 /9000 /90
R. Imuran23161 min68.9 /9023 /9000 /90710.3 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Wilms790630 min101.4 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90192.7 /9020.3 /9000 /90
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Aston Villa W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Wilms n 890
0.43/0
0.42/1
—
M. Harviken n 790
0.11/0
0.32/0
Ona Batlle
Akane Okuma n 790
00/0
0.11/0
—
N. Maritz n 886.5
1.36/4
1.35/3
Georgia Stanway
A. Vangsgaard n 784.7
0.64/0
0.93/2
—
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Aston Villa W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Wilms n 890
1.54/3
M. Harviken n 790
0.42/1
N. Maritz n 886.5
1.36/3
A. Vangsgaard n 784.7
1.45/3
Justine Kielland n 767
1.55/1
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Aston Villa W Attacking

Aston Villa W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Vangsgaard785593 min30.5 /9010.2 /90162.4 /9071.1 /9020.3 /9071.1 /90
M. Hijikata644261 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
G. Mullet520101 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /90
M. McAulay448191 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9020.9 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Wilms790630 min10.1 /9000 /9050.7 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
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Aston Villa W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Wilms n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
M. Harviken n 790
0.11/0
00/0
Akane Okuma n 790
00/0
00/0
N. Maritz n 886.5
0.85/1
0.75/0
A. Vangsgaard n 784.7
2.46/4
1.14/1
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Aston Villa W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Wilms n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Akane Okuma n 790
00/0
0.11/0
M. Harviken n 790
00/0
00/0
N. Maritz n 886.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Vangsgaard n 784.7
0.52/1
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Arsenal WAston Villa W
65%Possession35%
2.69Expected goals (xG)0.13
28Shots1
8Shots on target1
12Shots off target0
8Blocked shots0
20Shots inside the box1
10Corners0
0Offsides5
3Fouls5
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Saves7
584Passes338

Arsenal W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Misa Rodriguez9000000006.5
Ona Batlle9000401107
Leah Williamson9000001107.4
Georgia Stanway9000522207.2
Caitlin Foord9000413306.4
Alessia Russo9010513008.2
K. Cooney-Cross8300201206.5
S. Catley7000101107.1
Emily Fox4500203307.4
L. Baum4500211006.7
G. Reuteler4500111106.9
Kim Little2000112206.7
Élisa de Almeida2000000006.6
Stina Blackstenius701001006.8

Aston Villa W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Akane Okuma9000000008.5
A. Patten9000000206.4
M. Harviken9000000106.8
O. Deslandes9000000306.4
O. Jean-François9000000206.5
N. Maritz9000000406.1
L. Kendall8100000106.3
L. Wilms7001001106.7
A. Vangsgaard7000000106
Justine Kielland5800000306.2
M. Taylor3200000006.3
M. Hijikata2000000106.6
L. Parker2000000005.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal W v Aston Villa W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Arsenal WDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Aston Villa WDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arsenal W 4 · 1 draw · Aston Villa W 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Aston Villa W 0–3 Arsenal W
  • 2025-09-27 Arsenal W 1–1 Aston Villa W
  • 2025-04-30 Aston Villa W 5–2 Arsenal W
  • 2024-12-08 Arsenal W 4–0 Aston Villa W
  • 2024-03-24 Aston Villa W 1–3 Arsenal W
  • 2023-10-15 Arsenal W 2–1 Aston Villa W
League standing · 2026/27
Arsenal W#8 pos10 pts8 pl-1 GD
Aston Villa W#9 pos10 pts8 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Arsenal W scored1
Aston Villa W scored1.25
Arsenal W conceded1.13
Aston Villa W conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arsenal W v Aston Villa W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal W v Aston Villa W was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal W and Aston Villa W?
In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal W won 4, Aston Villa W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arsenal W and Aston Villa W?
Recent form — Arsenal W 2W 2D 1L; Aston Villa W 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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