Aston Villa WBirmingham City W

Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W prediction

FA WSL · · Bescot Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aston Villa W · Birmingham City W

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W, FA WSL on Sun, 15 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aston Villa W host Birmingham City W in the FA WSL on Sunday 15 November (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Aston Villa W or Birmingham City W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Birmingham City W have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Aston Villa W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Aston Villa W’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Aston Villa W have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.71. Aston Villa W have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Aston Villa W have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Eight of Birmingham City W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Birmingham City W’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Birmingham City W have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.38. Birmingham City W have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Birmingham City W have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 14 clubs.

Aston Villa W (ninth) and Birmingham City W (13th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aston Villa W the stronger side, 208 rating points above Birmingham City W (Aston Villa W 1553, Birmingham City W 1346, after at least 103 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 May 2022, finished Aston Villa W 0–1 Birmingham City W.

Team news

Predicted Aston Villa W XI (3-4-2-1): A. Okuma, M. Harviken, O. Deslandes, A. Patten, N. Maritz, L. Wilms, L. Kendall, J. Kielland, O. Jean-François, M. Taylor, A. Vangsgaard — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Akane Okuma (4.9 per match over nine appearances, one assist) and A. Vangsgaard (4.0 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Aston Villa W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Akane Okuma averages 6.0 saves per 90 over 810 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last nine appearances. A. Vangsgaard averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 753 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Birmingham City W XI (4-3-1-2): S. Baggaley, M. Turner, R. McKenna, N. Herron, S. Cooke, L. Naalsund, S. Amano, W. Leidhammar, A. Miyagawa, L. Crosthwaite, L. Geum-Min — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Herron (4.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and L. Naalsund (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two assists) have been Birmingham City W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham City W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Herron averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 797 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances. L. Naalsund averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 758 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA WSL · Bescot Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Aston Villa W 1 · draws 1 · Birmingham City W 2 · 1.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aston Villa W 2W 2D 1L · Birmingham City W 1W 1D 3L

Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W (FA WSL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 9 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.75 / 7.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 7.38 / 7.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.63 / 0.88
Cards
against 0.75 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAston Villa W for / againstLineBirmingham City W for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 7.88 against n 8
Shots
6.75 for · 22.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 19.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 7.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 7.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
7 for · 7.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Aston Villa W

Aston Villa W Goalkeeper

Aston Villa W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Akane Okuma990810 min546 /90–00 /90
Aston Villa W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Akane Okuma n 890
5.68/8

Aston Villa W Defensive

Aston Villa W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Harviken990810 min40.4 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90141.6 /9010.1 /9000 /90
O. Deslandes959530 min142.4 /9040.7 /9000 /90294.9 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
A. Patten790630 min111.6 /9081.1 /9000 /90213 /9040.6 /9000 /90
L. Parker661368 min133.2 /9041 /9000 /90174.2 /9041 /9000 /90
R. Imuran23161 min68.9 /9023 /9000 /90710.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Aston Villa W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Harviken n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
Akane Okuma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Wilms n 887.5
0.32/0
0.42/1
—
N. Maritz n 886.5
1.67/5
1.45/4
—
A. Vangsgaard n 885.4
0.75/0
0.94/2
—
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Aston Villa W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Harviken n 890
0.53/1
L. Wilms n 887.5
1.44/2
N. Maritz n 886.5
1.76/4
A. Vangsgaard n 885.4
1.36/3
Justine Kielland n 862.6
2.27/2
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Aston Villa W Attacking

Aston Villa W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Vangsgaard984753 min30.4 /9010.1 /90172 /9081 /9030.4 /9070.8 /90
M. Hijikata740281 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
G. Mullet520101 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /90
M. McAulay448191 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9020.9 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Wilms988790 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.7 /9030.3 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90
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Aston Villa W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Harviken n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Akane Okuma n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Wilms n 887.5
0.53/1
0.32/0
N. Maritz n 886.5
0.53/1
0.43/0
A. Vangsgaard n 885.4
2.16/4
1.15/1
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Aston Villa W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Akane Okuma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Harviken n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Wilms n 887.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Maritz n 886.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Vangsgaard n 885.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Birmingham City W

Birmingham City W Goalkeeper

Birmingham City W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Baggaley990810 min465.1 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Birmingham City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Baggaley n 890
4.98/7

Birmingham City W Defensive

Birmingham City W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. McKenna990810 min161.8 /90131.4 /9000 /90444.9 /9080.9 /9000 /90
N. Herron989797 min161.8 /90232.6 /9030.3 /90515.8 /9091 /9020.2 /90
M. Turner890720 min91.1 /9010.1 /9020.3 /90212.6 /9050.6 /9000 /90
S. Cooke575375 min51.2 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90112.6 /9030.7 /9000 /90
L. Naalsund984758 min202.4 /90161.9 /9010.1 /90333.9 /9010.1 /9010.1 /90
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Birmingham City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. McKenna n 890
15/2
1.87/4
—
S. Baggaley n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
N. Herron n 888.4
16/2
1.77/3
—
L. Naalsund n 889.1
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
L. Crosthwaite n 882.8
25/5
0.85/1
—
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Birmingham City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. McKenna n 890
1.88/6
N. Herron n 888.4
25/3
L. Naalsund n 889.1
2.58/6
L. Crosthwaite n 882.8
1.24/1
Lee Geum-Min n 860.9
0.73/1
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Birmingham City W Attacking

Birmingham City W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Crosthwaite984752 min10.1 /9010.1 /90161.9 /9050.6 /9060.7 /9091.1 /90
Lee Geum-Min963571 min00 /9010.2 /9060.9 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9030.5 /90
W. Leidhammar652310 min10.3 /9000 /9051.5 /9041.2 /9000 /9020.6 /90
V. Sarri455218 min00 /9000 /9062.5 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
C. Effa Effa33297 min00 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
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Birmingham City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. McKenna n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Baggaley n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Herron n 888.4
1.45/3
0.32/0
L. Naalsund n 889.1
0.53/1
00/0
L. Crosthwaite n 882.8
1.86/3
0.53/1
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Birmingham City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Baggaley n 890
00/0
00/0
R. McKenna n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Herron n 888.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Naalsund n 889.1
00/0
0.32/0
L. Crosthwaite n 882.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Aston Villa WDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Birmingham City WLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Aston Villa W 1 · 1 draw · Birmingham City W 2 · 1.25 goals/game
  • 2022-05-08 Aston Villa W 0–1 Birmingham City W
  • 2021-11-14 Birmingham City W 0–1 Aston Villa W
  • 2021-04-28 Birmingham City W 1–1 Aston Villa W
  • 2020-11-15 Aston Villa W 0–1 Birmingham City W
League standing · 2026/27
Aston Villa W#9 pos10 pts9 pl-6 GD
Birmingham City W#13 pos6 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Aston Villa W scored1.11
Birmingham City W scored1.22
Aston Villa W conceded1.78
Birmingham City W conceded2.33

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa W and Birmingham City W?
In their last 4 meetings, Aston Villa W won 1, Birmingham City W won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa W and Birmingham City W?
Recent form — Aston Villa W 2W 2D 1L; Birmingham City W 1W 1D 3L.

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