Birmingham City WTottenham Hotspur W

Birmingham City W v Tottenham Hotspur W result

Full-time · Birmingham City W 1–4 Tottenham Hotspur W

FA WSL · · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham City W 1–4 Tottenham Hotspur W — Tottenham Hotspur W won this FA WSL match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.22 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Tottenham Hotspur W won 4–1 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the FA WSL on Sunday 1 November. Birmingham City W have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Tottenham Hotspur W have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Tottenham Hotspur W led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Tottenham Hotspur W: J. Blakstad (37’, assisted by C. Tandberg), O. Holdt (50’), Signe Gaupset (53’, assisted by Victoria Pelova) and Victoria Pelova (84’, assisted by S. Martinez); Birmingham City W: N. Herron (64’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Holdt’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Birmingham City W 1.13, Tottenham Hotspur W 2.83, from 14 shots to 29 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Kirsty Dowle showed five yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Birmingham City W move down from 10th to 11th (eight league matches played). Birmingham City W have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Birmingham City W have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Tottenham Hotspur W stay fourth after this result (eight league matches played). Tottenham Hotspur W have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Tottenham Hotspur W have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Victoria Pelova (Tottenham Hotspur W) 10.6, N. Herron (Birmingham City W) 9.7 and O. Holdt (Tottenham Hotspur W) 8.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Tottenham Hotspur W are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Birmingham City W, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Birmingham City W or Tottenham Hotspur W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Birmingham City W next travel to London City Lionesses W on 8 November 2026.

Tottenham Hotspur W next host Brighton W on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham City W: London City Lionesses W v Birmingham City W, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Tottenham Hotspur W: Tottenham Hotspur W v Brighton W, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Birmingham City W 1–4 Tottenham Hotspur W · FA WSL
  • Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: Kirsty Dowle
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Birmingham City W 0 · draws 1 · Tottenham Hotspur W 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham City W 1W 2D 2L · Tottenham Hotspur W 2W 0D 3L

Birmingham City W 1–4 Tottenham Hotspur W (FA WSL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 242 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.14 / 6.29
Corners
against 8.71 / 3.29 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 6.43
Shots on target
against 6.86 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.71 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.14 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBirmingham City W for / againstLineTottenham Hotspur W for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 8.71 against n 7
9.5standard
6.29 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
11.71 for · 19.29 against n 7
19.5standard
20.43 for · 12.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.86 for · 6.86 against n 7
8.5standard
6.43 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.71 for · 9.14 against n 7
21.5standard
13.14 for · 7.43 against n 7
Cards shown
0.71 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1 against n 7

Referee: Kirsty Dowle.

Birmingham City W

Birmingham City W Goalkeeper

Birmingham City W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Baggaley790630 min355 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Birmingham City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Baggaley n 790
57/6

Birmingham City W Defensive

Birmingham City W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. McKenna790630 min131.9 /90111.6 /9000 /90355 /9071 /9000 /90
N. Herron788617 min101.5 /90172.5 /9030.4 /90345 /9081.2 /9010.1 /90
M. Turner690540 min81.3 /9010.2 /9020.3 /90172.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90
S. Cooke373218 min00 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9062.5 /9010.4 /9000 /90
L. Crosthwaite788617 min40.6 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90162.3 /90111.6 /9000 /90
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Birmingham City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. McKenna n 790
14/2
1.96/4
J. Blakstad
S. Baggaley n 790
00/0
0.43/0
—
L. Crosthwaite n 788.1
1.64/3
0.43/0
—
N. Herron n 788.1
1.26/2
0.95/1
T. Koga
L. Naalsund n 783.3
00/0
0.21/0
D. Spence
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Birmingham City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. McKenna n 790
1.97/6
N. Herron n 788.1
1.53/2
L. Crosthwaite n 788.1
0.64/0
L. Naalsund n 783.3
2.86/6
Lee Geum-Min n 768.1
0.83/1
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Birmingham City W Attacking

Birmingham City W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lee Geum-Min768477 min00 /9010.2 /9050.9 /9010.2 /9050.9 /9030.6 /90
W. Leidhammar456224 min10.4 /9000 /9041.6 /9031.2 /9000 /9020.8 /90
V. Sarri455218 min00 /9000 /9062.5 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
C. Effa Effa33297 min00 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
L. Crosthwaite19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9022 /90
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Birmingham City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Baggaley n 790
00/0
00/0
R. McKenna n 790
00/0
00/0
L. Crosthwaite n 788.1
1.96/3
0.74/1
N. Herron n 788.1
1.34/2
0.11/0
L. Naalsund n 783.3
0.52/1
00/0
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Birmingham City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Baggaley n 790
00/0
00/0
R. McKenna n 790
00/0
00/0
N. Herron n 788.1
00/0
0.32/0
L. Crosthwaite n 788.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Naalsund n 783.3
00/0
0.21/0
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Tottenham Hotspur W

Tottenham Hotspur W Defensive

Tottenham Hotspur W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Blakstad788615 min152.2 /90121.8 /9020.3 /90385.6 /90121.8 /9010.1 /90
T. Koga787608 min121.8 /90111.6 /9010.1 /90233.4 /9071 /9020.3 /90
C. Dijkstra677464 min112.1 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90173.3 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
Alice Sombath23365 min11.4 /9000 /9000 /9022.8 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Spence790630 min111.6 /9071 /9030.4 /90263.7 /90101.4 /9000 /90
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Tottenham Hotspur W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham Hotspur W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Spence n 890
1.47/2
0.84/2
L. Naalsund
J. Blakstad n 888.1
1.77/4
0.83/2
R. McKenna
T. Koga n 887.3
16/2
0.11/0
N. Herron
Signe Gaupset n 886.4
15/3
0.95/1
—
C. Tandberg n 870.1
1.87/3
0.53/0
—
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Tottenham Hotspur W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham Hotspur W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Spence n 890
1.57/3
J. Blakstad n 888.1
2.36/4
T. Koga n 887.3
1.87/4
Signe Gaupset n 886.4
0.83/2
C. Tandberg n 870.1
0.85/0
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Tottenham Hotspur W Attacking

Tottenham Hotspur W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Tandberg769480 min20.4 /9000 /90152.8 /9071.3 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
K. Hanson756395 min20.5 /9000 /90122.7 /9030.7 /9051.1 /90112.5 /90
S. Martinez532161 min10.6 /9000 /9095 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9031.7 /90
D. Spence790630 min00 /9020.3 /90111.6 /9010.1 /90172.4 /9030.4 /90
Signe Gaupset786601 min20.3 /9030.4 /90203 /9050.7 /90182.7 /9091.3 /90
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Tottenham Hotspur W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham Hotspur W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Spence n 890
1.66/4
0.11/0
J. Blakstad n 888.1
25/3
0.53/1
T. Koga n 887.3
0.42/1
00/0
Signe Gaupset n 886.4
2.78/7
0.72/2
C. Tandberg n 870.1
37/6
1.36/2
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Tottenham Hotspur W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham Hotspur W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Spence n 890
00/0
0.32/0
J. Blakstad n 888.1
00/0
0.43/0
T. Koga n 887.3
00/0
00/0
Signe Gaupset n 886.4
0.32/0
0.42/1
C. Tandberg n 870.1
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Birmingham City WTottenham Hotspur W
35%Possession65%
1.13Expected goals (xG)2.83
14Shots29
4Shots on target11
6Shots off target9
4Blocked shots9
9Shots inside the box21
3Corners9
2Offsides0
10Fouls21
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
7Saves3
275Passes534

Birmingham City W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Baggaley9000000006.2
M. Turner9000000106.2
N. Herron9010210506.5
R. McKenna9000110206
L. Naalsund85001021Y5.8
S. Cooke6700001106.3
Lee Geum-Min6700111006.3
L. Crosthwaite4500300006.1
Suzu Amano4500000005.7
W. Leidhammar2300110006.5
R. Holloway2300000005.7

Tottenham Hotspur W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Koga9000000106.7
J. Blakstad9010112207.4
Victoria Pelova90114251Y9
D. Spence9000205307.2
O. Holdt9010633008.2
C. Dijkstra76000000Y6.2
C. Tandberg7601311007.4
M. Vinberg60005202Y6.4
Signe Gaupset6010521207.9
K. Hanson3000100006.5
M. Nildén2100101006.6
S. Martinez1401103107.1
E. Summanen900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham City W v Tottenham Hotspur W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Birmingham City WLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Tottenham Hotspur WWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 3 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Birmingham City W 0 · 1 draw · Tottenham Hotspur W 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2022-02-13 Birmingham City W 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2021-09-04 Tottenham Hotspur W 1–0 Birmingham City W
  • 2021-05-09 Birmingham City W 0–1 Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2019-12-04 Birmingham City W 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur W
League standing · 2026/27
Birmingham City W#12 pos6 pts8 pl-7 GD
Tottenham Hotspur W#4 pos13 pts8 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Birmingham City W scored1.25
Tottenham Hotspur W scored2.88
Birmingham City W conceded2.13
Tottenham Hotspur W conceded2.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham City W v Tottenham Hotspur W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham City W v Tottenham Hotspur W was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham City W and Tottenham Hotspur W?
In their last 4 meetings, Birmingham City W won 0, Tottenham Hotspur W won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham City W and Tottenham Hotspur W?
Recent form — Birmingham City W 1W 2D 2L; Tottenham Hotspur W 2W 0D 3L.

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