Brighton W v Aston Villa W result

Full-time · Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W

FA WSL · Sun, 20 Sep 2026 14:00 BST · Amex Stadium

Updated 4 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton W · Aston Villa W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W — this FA WSL match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.20 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Brighton W and Aston Villa W drew 1–1 at Amex Stadium in the FA WSL on Sunday 20 September. Brighton W are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Aston Villa W are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Brighton W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Brighton W: G. George (31’); Aston Villa W: L. Wilms (89’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Wilms’s goal on 89 minutes.

Discipline

A. Soneye showed two yellow cards — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brighton W: M. Haley (20’); Aston Villa W: N. Maritz (86’).

What it changes

Brighton W stay 10th after this result (three league matches played).

Aston Villa W move up from 12th to 11th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Wilms (Aston Villa W) 5.9, M. Vanegas (Brighton W) 5.0 and C. Hayes (Brighton W) 4.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aston Villa W are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Brighton W.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Brighton W or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Brighton W next travel to Tottenham Hotspur W on 8 November 2026.

Aston Villa W next host Manchester United W on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton W: Tottenham Hotspur W v Brighton W, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa W: Aston Villa W v Manchester United W, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W · FA WSL
Venue: Amex Stadium · Brighton
Referee: A. Soneye
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton W 1 · draws 1 · Aston Villa W 4 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Brighton W 0W 3D 2L · Aston Villa W 0W 1D 4L

Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W (FA WSL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1

Goals

against 1.13 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5 / 2.67

Corners

against 5 / 11.33 · 2 of the last 2 over 9.5

over 3 matches

6 / 3.67

Shots on target

against 5.67 / 6.33 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2 / 1

Cards

against 1.5 / 0.67 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

2 yellows

Referee · A. Soneye

9.14 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Brighton W for / against	Line	Aston Villa W for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	2.67 for · 11.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	11.67 for · 13.33 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	7.33 for · 24.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 5.67 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	3.67 for · 6.33 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.67 for · 11.33 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	5.33 for · 6.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.5 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5

Referee: A. Soneye — 2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 9.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Brighton W

Brighton W Defensive

Brighton W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Seike n 5	89.4	1.6 4/2	0.8 3/1	—
M. Minami n 4	90	1 1/1	0.3 1/0	—
M. Vanegas n 4	90	0.5 2/0	1.5 4/2	—
C. Hayes n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0	—
C. Nnadozie n 5	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/0	—
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Brighton W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Seike n 5	89.4	3.2 5/5
M. Minami n 4	90	2.5 3/2
M. Vanegas n 4	90	1.8 4/1
C. Hayes n 4	90	1.8 3/2
F. Kirby n 4	89.5	1.5 3/2
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Brighton W Attacking

Brighton W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Seike n 5	89.4	2 5/4	1.4 5/2
F. Kirby n 4	89.5	1 4/0	0.8 3/0
C. Hayes n 4	90	0.8 2/1	0.3 1/0
M. Minami n 4	90	0.5 1/1	0 0/0
M. Vanegas n 4	90	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
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Brighton W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Kirby n 4	89.5	0 0/0	0.8 2/1
K. Seike n 5	89.4	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
M. Minami n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
M. Vanegas n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
C. Nnadozie n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Aston Villa W

Aston Villa W Defensive

Aston Villa W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Maritz n 8	90.6	1.4 6/4	0.6 3/1	—
L. Parker n 7	89.3	0.7 3/2	0.7 3/2	—
L. Wilms n 5	90	0.6 3/0	1 4/1	—
M. Hijikata n 4	62.5	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
O. Deslandes n 3	39.7	0.8 1/0	0.8 1/0	—
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Aston Villa W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Maritz n 8	90.6	2.4 7/6
L. Parker n 7	89.3	2.2 3/2
L. Wilms n 5	90	2 4/3
M. Hijikata n 4	62.5	1.4 2/2
O. Deslandes n 3	39.7	2.3 2/1
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Aston Villa W Attacking

Aston Villa W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Maritz n 8	90.6	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
L. Wilms n 5	90	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0
L. Parker n 7	89.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
M. Hijikata n 4	62.5	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
O. Deslandes n 3	39.7	0.8 1/0	0.8 1/0
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Aston Villa W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa W before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Maritz n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0.2 2/0
L. Wilms n 5	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
L. Parker n 7	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hijikata n 4	62.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Deslandes n 3	39.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Brighton W		Aston Villa W
51%	Possession	49%
25	Shots	2
8	Shots on target	1
6	Shots off target	0
11	Blocked shots	1
20	Shots inside the box	0
8	Corners	2
1	Offsides	1
2	Fouls	9
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	7
556	Passes	545

Brighton W Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Nnadozie	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
C. Hayes	90	1	1	2	3	0	7.4
M. Vanegas	90	4	3	3	2	0	8
K. Seike	90	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
L. Walti	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
M. Symonds	90	3	0	0	3	0	6.3
M. Haley	90	6	0	2	0	Y	6.2
F. Kirby	76	1	0	2	0	0	6.6
Marisa Olislagers	57	2	0	1	1	0	7.3
O. Tvedten	33	2	0	1	0	0	6.5
J. Cankovic	14	2	1	1	0	0	7
R. Rayner	1	0	0	0	0	0	0

Aston Villa W Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Akane Okuma	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.7
A. Patten	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Harviken	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
L. Wilms	90	1	2	1	0	0	6.9
N. Maritz	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
A. Vangsgaard	90	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
L. Kendall	70	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
M. Hijikata	70	0	0	0	3	0	6.4
L. Parker	61	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
M. McAulay	29	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
Justine Kielland	29	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
G. Mullet	20	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
O. Deslandes	20	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Taylor	20	0	0	0	0	0	6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton W v Aston Villa W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Brighton WDDLLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Aston Villa WLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Brighton W 1 · 1 draw · Aston Villa W 4 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-01-11 Aston Villa W 2–1 Brighton W
2025-09-07 Brighton W 0–0 Aston Villa W
2025-05-10 Aston Villa W 3–1 Brighton W
2024-10-05 Brighton W 4–2 Aston Villa W
2024-05-04 Brighton W 0–1 Aston Villa W
2023-12-17 Aston Villa W 1–0 Brighton W

League standing · 2026/27

Brighton W#6 pos11 pts8 pl+4 GD

Aston Villa W#9 pos10 pts8 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Brighton W scored1.88

Aston Villa W scored1.25

Brighton W conceded1.38

Aston Villa W conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brighton W v Aston Villa W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton W v Aston Villa W was Home or Draw (best price 1.20 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton W and Aston Villa W?: In their last 6 meetings, Brighton W won 1, Aston Villa W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton W and Aston Villa W?: Recent form — Brighton W 0W 3D 2L; Aston Villa W 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.