Manchester City W v Brighton W result

Full-time · Manchester City W 3–2 Brighton W

FA WSL · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:30 BST · Academy Stadium

Updated 21 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City W · Brighton W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City W 3–2 Brighton W — Manchester City W won this FA WSL match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.36 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.1% of 215 landed (95% range 72.1–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Manchester City W beat Brighton W 3–2 at Academy Stadium in the FA WSL on Sunday 18 October. Manchester City W are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester City W led 3–2 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Manchester City W: K. Shaw (5’, assisted by L. Hemp; 16’, assisted by L. Hemp); Brighton W: C. Hayes (37’, assisted by F. Kirby).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Shaw’s goal on 5 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Manchester City W 2.37, Brighton W 1.03, from 17 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Brighton W: M. Vanegas (90+4’).

What it changes

Manchester City W stay first after this result (six league matches played).

Brighton W move down from ninth to 12th (six league matches played).

Manchester City W have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Shaw (Manchester City W) 10.1, L. Hemp (Manchester City W) 8.1 and C. Hayes (Brighton W) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Manchester City W to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.1% of the time in the last 90 days (168 of 215).

Next up

Manchester City W next travel to Manchester United W on 25 October 2026.

Brighton W next host West Ham W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City W: Manchester United W v Manchester City W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Brighton W: Brighton W v West Ham W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Manchester City W 3–2 Brighton W · FA WSL
Venue: Academy Stadium · Manchester
Referee: Leigh Doughty
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City W 4 · draws 0 · Brighton W 2 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester City W 3W 2D 0L · Brighton W 1W 2D 2L

Manchester City W 3–2 Brighton W (FA WSL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.88 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

7 / 6.6

Corners

against 3.71 / 4.2 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

5.71 / 5.8

Shots on target

against 4.29 / 3.4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

0.43 / 1.83

Cards

against 0.86 / 1.83 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Manchester City W for / against	Line	Brighton W for / against
Goals scored	2.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.6 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	17.29 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17.2 for · 7.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	5.71 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.8 for · 3.4 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.71 for · 8.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	7.2 for · 11 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	0.43 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.83 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Leigh Doughty.

Manchester City W

Manchester City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Beney n 8	25.8	3.1 6/1	0.4 1/0	—
B. Mead n 8	51.4	1.8 6/2	1.1 4/1	—
K. Casparij n 8	62.3	1.6 6/2	0 0/0	—
S. Coffey n 8	62.6	1.4 4/3	0.7 4/0	—
K. Shaw n 8	82.5	1 5/1	1.2 5/2	O. Tvedten

Manchester City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Shaw n 8	82.5	5.6 8/8	2.2 7/4
M. Fowler n 8	57.6	3.1 5/4	1.2 4/2
B. Mead n 8	51.4	3.1 7/3	0.4 2/0
L. Hemp n 8	89.5	2.4 6/5	1.3 5/2
A. Fujino n 8	66.5	2.4 8/4	0.7 4/0

Manchester City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Shaw n 8	82.5	1.2 6/2	0.1 1/0
L. Hemp n 8	89.5	0.5 2/2	0.5 4/0
K. Casparij n 8	62.3	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
A. Greenwood n 8	83.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Fujino n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Manchester City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Beney n 8	25.8	3.5 5/1
S. Coffey n 8	62.6	3.2 6/4
A. Fujino n 8	66.5	3 7/4
B. Mead n 8	51.4	2 5/2
C. Wamser n 6	46.7	1.6 3/1

Manchester City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Yamashita n 8	90	3.1 8/4

Brighton W

Brighton W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Tvedten n 8	45.6	2.7 5/4	1.2 4/1	K. Shaw
M. Mpomé n 6	47	1.9 3/2	0.3 1/0	—
M. Haley n 6	75.8	1.4 6/1	3 5/4	—
M. Minami n 6	90	1.2 3/2	0.3 2/0	—
C. Rule n 5	77.2	1.2 3/2	0.9 3/1	—

Brighton W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
O. Tvedten n 8	45.6	3.2 5/5	1.2 3/2
M. Haley n 6	75.8	2.8 6/2	1 2/1
K. Seike n 8	89.5	2.1 8/6	1.4 7/3
M. Vanegas n 7	87.4	1.3 5/2	0.6 2/1
F. Kirby n 8	77.9	1.3 7/1	0.6 4/0

Brighton W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Haley n 6	75.8	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
K. Seike n 8	89.5	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
F. Kirby n 8	77.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
M. Minami n 6	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Marisa Olislagers n 8	70.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Brighton W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Peskett n 3	6.3	4.7 1/0
E. Joramo n 7	65.3	3.7 6/5
L. Walti n 8	82.3	3.3 6/5
C. Rule n 5	77.2	3.3 5/4
K. Seike n 8	89.5	2.6 7/6

Brighton W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Nnadozie n 8	90	2.5 5/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester City W		Brighton W
59%	Possession	41%
2.37	Expected goals (xG)	1.03
17	Shots	9
8	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	0
11	Shots inside the box	6
8	Corners	1
3	Offsides	0
8	Fouls	7
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
589	Passes	428

Manchester City W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
A. Yamashita	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
K. Casparij	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.3
A. Greenwood	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
A. Fujino	90	0	0	2	1	2	5	6.4
L. Hemp	90	0	2	3	1	2	0	7.9
K. Shaw	90	2	0	5	4	1	1	9.1
C. Wamser	30	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.1
M. Fowler	30	0	0	2	0	0	1	6.7

Brighton W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Nnadozie	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
C. Hayes	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.1
M. Vanegas	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	5.6
M. Symonds	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.3
F. Kirby	90	0	1	2	0	2	2	0	6.9
K. Seike	90	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	5.9
M. Auée	76	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Cankovic	76	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
O. Tvedten	66	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
E. Joramo	24	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.7
M. Mpomé	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Marisa Olislagers	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Manchester City W v Brighton W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester City WWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Brighton WLDDLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester City W 4 · 0 draws · Brighton W 2 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-25 Brighton W 3–2 Manchester City W
2025-09-12 Manchester City W 2–1 Brighton W
2025-03-30 Brighton W 1–2 Manchester City W
2024-09-29 Manchester City W 1–0 Brighton W
2024-03-17 Brighton W 1–4 Manchester City W
2023-11-12 Manchester City W 0–1 Brighton W

League standing · 2026/27

Manchester City W#1 pos18 pts6 pl+11 GD

Brighton W#12 pos5 pts6 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Manchester City W scored3.17

Brighton W scored1.67

Manchester City W conceded1.33

Brighton W conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City W v Brighton W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City W v Brighton W was Home win (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City W and Brighton W?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City W won 4, Brighton W won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City W and Brighton W?: Recent form — Manchester City W 3W 2D 0L; Brighton W 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 21 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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