Ecuador v Costa Rica prediction

Friendlies · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ecuador · Costa Rica

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Ecuador v Costa Rica, Friendlies on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ecuador host Costa Rica in Friendlies on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Ecuador or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Five of Ecuador’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Ecuador’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Ecuador have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.00.

Eight of Costa Rica’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Costa Rica’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Costa Rica have no wins, five draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.38 and conceding 1.13.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ecuador the stronger side, 346 rating points above Costa Rica (Ecuador 1712, Costa Rica 1366, after at least 42 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 June 2023, finished Ecuador 3–1 Costa Rica.

Team news

Predicted Ecuador XI (4-2-3-1): H. Galindez, W. Pacho, P. Hincapié, J. Ordoñez, A. Franco, P. Vite, M. Caicedo, J. Yeboah, N. Angulo, J. Alcivar, G. Plata — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Angulo (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and P. Vite (3.5 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Ecuador’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ecuador (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Angulo averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1291 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. P. Vite averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 2289 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Costa Rica XI (4-1-4-1): K. Navas, J. Vargas, F. Calvo, K. Waston, H. Quirós, J. Alcócer, A. Murillo, O. Galo, K. Vargas, C. Borges, M. Ugalde — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Waston (3.9 per match over four appearances, one assist) and J. Alcócer (3.5 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Costa Rica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Costa Rica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Waston averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes. J. Alcócer averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1082 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT · Friendlies
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Ecuador 2 · draws 0 · Costa Rica 0 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Ecuador 2W 1D 2L · Costa Rica 1W 3D 1L

Ecuador v Costa Rica (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.67 / 4.83

Corners

against 3.67 / 2.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.17 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 2.67 / 1.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.5 / 1.83

Cards

against 2.67 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Ecuador for / against	Line	Costa Rica for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.67 for · 3.67 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	4.83 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	11.67 for · 11 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 8.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.17 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.67 for · 10.83 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	12.33 for · 12.33 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.83 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5

Ecuador

Ecuador Goalkeeper

Ecuador — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
H. Galindez	6	91543 min	122 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90

Ecuador — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ecuador before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
H. Galindez n 8	90.4	1.6 4/3

Ecuador Defensive

Ecuador — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Pacho	6	91543 min	91.5 /90	81.3 /90	61 /90	264.3 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
Piero Hincapié	6	87524 min	162.7 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	345.8 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
J. Ordoñez	5	82408 min	71.5 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	163.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
A. Franco	5	69344 min	102.6 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	153.9 /90	82.1 /90	20.5 /90
A. Preciado	5	48238 min	20.8 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	83 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90
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Ecuador — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ecuador before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Pacho n 7	90.4	0.7 5/0	0.4 3/0	—
P. Vite n 6	90.5	0.5 3/0	1 4/2	—
H. Galindez n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/1	—
Piero Hincapié n 8	88	1.4 6/3	1.2 5/3	—
G. Plata n 8	79	1.3 5/2	1.7 5/2	—
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Ecuador — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ecuador before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Vite n 6	90.5	2.8 6/3
W. Pacho n 7	90.4	1.4 7/2
Piero Hincapié n 8	88	2.4 8/6
G. Plata n 8	79	2.1 7/4
E. Valencia n 8	58.9	0.4 2/0
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Ecuador Attacking

Ecuador — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Plata	6	75452 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	51 /90	71.4 /90	91.8 /90
E. Valencia	6	70419 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	81.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
K. Rodríguez	5	29146 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	63.7 /90	21.2 /90	53.1 /90	10.6 /90
P. Vite	6	91543 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	111.8 /90	10.2 /90
N. Angulo	6	60362 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90	184.5 /90
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Ecuador — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ecuador before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Vite n 6	90.5	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
W. Pacho n 7	90.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
H. Galindez n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Piero Hincapié n 8	88	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
G. Plata n 8	79	1.4 5/2	0.9 4/1
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Ecuador — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ecuador before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Vite n 6	90.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
W. Pacho n 7	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Galindez n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Piero Hincapié n 8	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Plata n 8	79	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Costa Rica

Costa Rica Goalkeeper

Costa Rica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Navas	6	81485 min	71.3 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90

Costa Rica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Costa Rica before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Navas n 8	81.8	2.3 4/2

Costa Rica Defensive

Costa Rica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Vargas	6	81485 min	40.7 /90	30.6 /90	40.7 /90	203.7 /90	71.3 /90	00 /90
F. Calvo	5	90450 min	61.2 /90	102 /90	10.2 /90	224.4 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
K. Waston	4	90360 min	41 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90	317.8 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
A. Gamboa	4	72287 min	92.8 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	185.6 /90	41.3 /90	20.6 /90
H. Quirós	4	68273 min	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	113.6 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Costa Rica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Costa Rica before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Vargas n 8	83.1	0.9 3/2	0.1 1/0	—
K. Navas n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Alcócer n 6	77	1.8 4/3	1.4 4/2	—
M. Ugalde n 7	62.9	2.5 6/3	2.9 5/3	—
F. Calvo n 8	90	1 6/2	0.9 5/1	—
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Costa Rica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Costa Rica before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Vargas n 8	83.1	0.5 4/0
J. Alcócer n 6	77	1.2 3/3
M. Ugalde n 7	62.9	1 4/1
F. Calvo n 8	90	1.1 7/2
A. Martínez n 8	65.4	1.2 3/3
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Costa Rica Attacking

Costa Rica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Ugalde	6	63379 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	81.9 /90	51.2 /90	40.9 /90	51.2 /90
A. Martínez	5	70349 min	30.8 /90	00 /90	102.6 /90	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
C. Mora	4	49196 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
Á. Zamora	3	3193 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	32.9 /90	00 /90
W. Madrigal	2	4080 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	22.3 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
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Costa Rica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Costa Rica before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Vargas n 8	83.1	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
K. Navas n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Alcócer n 6	77	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/0
M. Ugalde n 7	62.9	1.6 4/3	1 3/2
F. Calvo n 8	90	1.1 5/4	0.1 1/0
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Costa Rica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Costa Rica before kick-off, to 1 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Vargas n 8	83.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Navas n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Alcócer n 6	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Ugalde n 7	62.9	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
F. Calvo n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ecuador v Costa Rica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EcuadorWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Costa RicaDDWLD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Ecuador 2 · 0 draws · Costa Rica 0 · 4 goals/game

2023-06-21 Ecuador 3–1 Costa Rica
2023-06-21 Costa Rica 1–3 Ecuador

Goals per game

Ecuador scored0.6

Costa Rica scored1.4

Ecuador conceded0.8

Costa Rica conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ecuador v Costa Rica?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ecuador v Costa Rica is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Ecuador and Costa Rica?: In their last 2 meetings, Ecuador won 2, Costa Rica won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ecuador and Costa Rica?: Recent form — Ecuador 2W 1D 2L; Costa Rica 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 16:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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