Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga prediction

J1 League · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:00 BST · Panasonic Stadium Suita

Updated 19 Oct 2026, 20:19 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gamba Osaka · Kyoto Sanga · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga, J1 League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:00 BST.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gamba Osaka host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 08:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Gamba Osaka or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Gamba Osaka are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Gamba Osaka have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Gamba Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gamba Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Gamba Osaka have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.17. Gamba Osaka have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Gamba Osaka have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Kyoto Sanga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Kyoto Sanga’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Kyoto Sanga have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.25 and conceding 1.75. Kyoto Sanga have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Kyoto Sanga have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Gamba Osaka (18th) and Kyoto Sanga (16th) are two points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gamba Osaka the stronger side, 193 rating points above Kyoto Sanga (Gamba Osaka 1581, Kyoto Sanga 1388, after at least 165 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Gamba Osaka.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:00 BST · J1 League · Panasonic Stadium Suita
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Gamba Osaka 2 · draws 3 · Kyoto Sanga 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L · Kyoto Sanga 2W 0D 3L

Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 0.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.33 / 4

Corners

against 5.17 / 6 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

5.17 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.83 / 1.5

Cards

against 1 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Gamba Osaka for / against	Line	Kyoto Sanga for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.33 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.33 for · 11.83 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	9.63 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.17 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 10.33 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.83 for · 1 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Nawata n 8	38.1	2.7 5/2	1.2 3/1	—
Issam Jebali n 8	68.5	2.5 6/6	1 4/2	—
Eli Adams n 8	66.1	2.4 6/5	2.7 7/4	—
Y. Toshida n 3	68	2.2 2/2	0 0/0	—
Ryotaro Meshino n 8	51.4	1.8 6/2	1.5 5/2	—

Gamba Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Toshida n 3	68	4.4 2/2	1.3 2/1
Issam Jebali n 8	68.5	3.3 8/5	1.1 4/2
Deniz Hümmet n 8	60.6	2.8 7/5	2 6/3
Eli Adams n 8	66.1	2.6 5/4	1.9 5/4
Harumi Minamino n 8	50.9	2.4 6/3	1.3 4/2

Gamba Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Eli Adams n 8	66.1	0.9 4/1	0.5 2/1
Y. Toshida n 3	68	0.9 2/0	0 0/0
Harumi Minamino n 8	50.9	0.9 3/1	0 0/0
G. Nawata n 8	38.1	0.6 1/1	0.3 1/0
Issam Jebali n 8	68.5	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0

Gamba Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Nawata n 8	38.1	3.2 4/4
Shuto Abe n 8	72.8	2.6 7/5
Rin Mito n 8	70.6	2.4 7/3
Takashi Usami n 8	49	2.1 3/2
Takeru Kishimoto n 8	86.3	2 6/5

Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Ichimori n 8	90	3.4 6/6

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Nagasawa n 8	30.6	3.3 5/2	0 0/0	—
João Pedro n 8	61.6	1.8 5/4	2 6/3	—
H. Tawiah n 8	71.4	1.6 4/3	0.5 3/0	—
H. Arai n 8	76.1	1.3 4/2	0.9 3/2	—
Rafael Elias n 8	74.4	1.2 6/2	2 7/5	—

Kyoto Sanga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael Elias n 8	74.4	2.7 6/4	1.8 4/3
R. Nakano n 8	57.8	1.8 7/2	0.8 3/1
M. Okugawa n 8	56	1.8 6/2	0.6 3/0
S. Nagasawa n 8	30.6	1.5 3/1	1.1 3/0
F. Honda n 8	40.6	1.4 3/2	0.8 2/1

Kyoto Sanga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Honda n 8	40.6	0 0/0	0.8 2/1
Rafael Elias n 8	74.4	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
T. Matsuda n 8	52.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
S. Nagasawa n 8	30.6	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
Henrique Trevisan n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Kyoto Sanga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Pedro n 8	61.6	3.1 8/5
Henrique Trevisan n 8	85.3	2.2 7/5
K. Sato n 8	80.8	2.2 7/3
T. Matsuda n 8	52.8	1.7 5/3
S. Asada n 8	26.1	1.7 3/1

Kyoto Sanga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Halls n 5	90	3.8 4/3
G. Ota n 8	90	1.5 4/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Gamba OsakaWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Kyoto SangaLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Gamba Osaka 2 · 3 draws · Kyoto Sanga 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-04-29 Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Gamba Osaka
2026-04-04 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kyoto Sanga
2025-06-28 Kyoto Sanga 3–1 Gamba Osaka
2025-04-29 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kyoto Sanga
2024-09-22 Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Gamba Osaka
2024-04-03 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kyoto Sanga

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Gamba Osaka#18 pos6 pts9 pl-8 GD

Kyoto Sanga#16 pos8 pts9 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Gamba Osaka scored0.89

Kyoto Sanga scored1.22

Gamba Osaka conceded1.78

Kyoto Sanga conceded1.78

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga?: In their last 6 meetings, Gamba Osaka won 2, Kyoto Sanga won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga?: Recent form — Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L; Kyoto Sanga 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 19 Oct 2026, 20:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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