JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock prediction

J1 League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 08:00 GMT · Fukuda Denshi Arena

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: JEF United Chiba · Mito Hollyhock

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock, J1 League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 08:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.32 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

JEF United Chiba host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 08:00 UK); the model’s free pick is JEF United Chiba or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Mito Hollyhock are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Mito Hollyhock have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of JEF United Chiba’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of JEF United Chiba’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, JEF United Chiba have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. JEF United Chiba have scored 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). JEF United Chiba have conceded 24 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Mito Hollyhock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Mito Hollyhock’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Mito Hollyhock have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 3.00. Mito Hollyhock have scored 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Mito Hollyhock have conceded 25 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

JEF United Chiba (18th) and Mito Hollyhock (19th) are one point apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have JEF United Chiba the stronger side, 294 rating points above Mito Hollyhock (JEF United Chiba 1465, Mito Hollyhock 1171, after at least 25 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished JEF United Chiba 1–1 Mito Hollyhock.

Team news

Predicted JEF United Chiba XI (4-4-2): J. Suarez, M. Hidaka, B. Nduka, T. Mae, D. Suzuki, Dudu, T. Yasui, T. Tsukui, M. Himeno, Erison, K. Yamura — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Nduka (4.0 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Dudu (3.9 per match over five appearances) have been JEF United Chiba’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for JEF United Chiba (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Nduka averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last five appearances. Dudu averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 386 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.

Predicted Mito Hollyhock XI (4-4-2): J. Słowik, K. Itakura, T. Mase, Y. Kimoto, Y. Tamura, H. Yamamoto, T. Semba, C. Kato, Y. Funabashi, K. Tada, R. Nemoto — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Słowik (4.1 per match over four appearances) and K. Taniguchi (3.5 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Mito Hollyhock’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Mito Hollyhock (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Słowik averages 4.5 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. K. Taniguchi averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 331 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 08:00 GMT · J1 League · Fukuda Denshi Arena
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): JEF United Chiba 0 · draws 2 · Mito Hollyhock 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: JEF United Chiba 1W 3D 1L · Mito Hollyhock 0W 0D 5L

JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.25

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 2.5

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 0.75

Cards

against 1.25 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	JEF United Chiba for / against	Line	Mito Hollyhock for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	8.63 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5

JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba Goalkeeper

JEF United Chiba — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Suarez	5	90450 min	112.2 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90

JEF United Chiba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for JEF United Chiba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Suarez n 8	90	2.9 7/4

JEF United Chiba Defensive

JEF United Chiba — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Nduka	5	90450 min	51 /90	142.8 /90	10.2 /90	306 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
M. Hidaka	5	90449 min	122.4 /90	40.8 /90	61.2 /90	204 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
T. Mae	4	79315 min	72 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	133.7 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
D. Suzuki	4	73292 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	123.7 /90	61.8 /90	20.6 /90
R. Ishio	2	51101 min	32.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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JEF United Chiba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for JEF United Chiba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Nduka n 5	90	0.2 1/0	1 3/1	—
J. Suarez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Hidaka n 8	89.6	0.4 2/1	0.9 4/2	—
Erison n 5	82.4	2.2 5/3	1.3 5/1	—
Dudu n 8	71.1	1.6 7/3	1.3 5/3	—
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JEF United Chiba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for JEF United Chiba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Nduka n 5	90	1 2/2
M. Hidaka n 8	89.6	2.3 8/6
Erison n 5	82.4	0 0/0
Dudu n 8	71.1	3 7/4
T. Yasui n 8	65.9	2.7 7/6
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JEF United Chiba Attacking

JEF United Chiba — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Erison	5	82412 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	122.6 /90	40.9 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
K. Yamura	5	71355 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	20.5 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90
H. Goya	2	4182 min	00 /90	11.1 /90	22.2 /90	11.1 /90	22.2 /90	00 /90
Dudu	5	77386 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90
T. Yasui	5	75376 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	51.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90
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JEF United Chiba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for JEF United Chiba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Nduka n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Suarez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hidaka n 8	89.6	1.6 7/2	0.1 1/0
Erison n 5	82.4	2.6 5/2	0.9 2/1
Dudu n 8	71.1	1.4 6/2	0.3 2/0
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JEF United Chiba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for JEF United Chiba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Nduka n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
J. Suarez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hidaka n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Erison n 5	82.4	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
Dudu n 8	71.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock Goalkeeper

Mito Hollyhock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Słowik	4	90360 min	184.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
K. Nishikawa	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Mito Hollyhock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mito Hollyhock before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Słowik n 4	90	4.5 4/4
K. Nishikawa n 8	90	2.8 8/3

Mito Hollyhock Defensive

Mito Hollyhock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Itakura	5	90450 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	153 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
T. Mase	5	76380 min	30.7 /90	92.1 /90	00 /90	215 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
K. Osaki	3	90270 min	31 /90	103.3 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Y. Kimoto	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	134.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Y. Tamura	3	66198 min	41.8 /90	62.7 /90	10.5 /90	83.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Mito Hollyhock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mito Hollyhock before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Itakura n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0	—
T. Mase n 8	80	1.4 7/3	1.3 6/3	—
C. Kato n 8	74.1	1.5 5/3	1.1 6/1	—
K. Taniguchi n 5	66.2	0.5 1/1	0.3 1/0	—
J. Słowik n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Mito Hollyhock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mito Hollyhock before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Itakura n 8	90	0.6 4/1
T. Mase n 8	80	0.8 5/1
C. Kato n 8	74.1	1.2 4/1
K. Taniguchi n 5	66.2	2.4 4/2
J. Okumura n 4	66.8	1.7 4/1
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Mito Hollyhock Attacking

Mito Hollyhock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Kato	5	70350 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
K. Tada	4	37148 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
R. Nemoto	3	52157 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90
Patryck	2	2447 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
K. Uchino	1	4747 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.9 /90	11.9 /90	00 /90	11.9 /90
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Mito Hollyhock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mito Hollyhock before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Itakura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mase n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
C. Kato n 8	74.1	0.9 4/2	0.5 2/1
K. Taniguchi n 5	66.2	1.1 3/1	0.5 2/0
J. Słowik n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Mito Hollyhock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mito Hollyhock before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Itakura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mase n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Kato n 8	74.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
K. Taniguchi n 5	66.2	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
J. Słowik n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

JEF United ChibaDDLDW

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Mito HollyhockLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

JEF United Chiba 0 · 2 draws · Mito Hollyhock 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-04-11 JEF United Chiba 1–1 Mito Hollyhock
2026-02-22 Mito Hollyhock 1–1 JEF United Chiba

League standing · 2027

JEF United Chiba#18 pos10 pts13 pl-9 GD

Mito Hollyhock#19 pos9 pts13 pl-13 GD

Goals per game

JEF United Chiba scored1.15

Mito Hollyhock scored0.92

JEF United Chiba conceded1.85

Mito Hollyhock conceded1.92

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock?: TACTIX’s free model pick for JEF United Chiba v Mito Hollyhock is Home or Draw (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between JEF United Chiba and Mito Hollyhock?: In their last 2 meetings, JEF United Chiba won 0, Mito Hollyhock won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of JEF United Chiba and Mito Hollyhock?: Recent form — JEF United Chiba 1W 3D 1L; Mito Hollyhock 0W 0D 5L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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