Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki result

Full-time · Kashima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki

J1 League · · Kashima Soccer Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kashima · V-varen Nagasaki

The model’s pre-match pick

Kashima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki — Kashima won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.52 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 195 landed (95% range 71.1–82.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kashima beat V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 at Kashima Soccer Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Kashima have won their last four matches.

The goals

Kashima led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Kashima: Léo Ceará (2’ pen) and Aleksandar Čavrić (5’, assisted by Haruki Hayashi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Léo Ceará’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kashima 1.29, V-varen Nagasaki 1.19, from 5 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — V-varen Nagasaki: T. Matsumoto (23’), Jonathan (43’) and K. Yasuda (82’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Léo Ceará (Kashima) 9.0, Matheus Jesus (V-varen Nagasaki) 5.6 and Haruki Hayashi (Kashima) 5.2 led the match.

Next up

Kashima next travel to Kyoto Sanga on 21 October 2026.

V-varen Nagasaki next host Sanfrecce Hiroshima on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kashima: Kyoto Sanga v Kashima, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for V-varen Nagasaki: V-varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Kashima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki · J1 League
  • Venue: Kashima Soccer Stadium · Kashima
  • Referee: Hiroki Kasahara
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Kashima 2 · draws 0 · V-varen Nagasaki 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kashima 4W 0D 1L · V-varen Nagasaki 2W 2D 1L

Kashima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.5 / 6.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1
Cards
against 1.38 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKashima for / againstLineV-varen Nagasaki for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: Hiroki Kasahara.

Kashima
Kashima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kei Chinen n 836.1
2.56/2
2.26/1
—
K. Tsukui n 821.5
2.14/0
11/1
—
Yuma Suzuki n 873.9
1.85/4
1.56/4
—
Shu Morooka n 843.9
1.85/2
3.16/3
—
K. Misao n 873.5
1.75/4
1.45/2
—
Kashima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Ceará n 885.4
2.58/5
1.25/3
Aleksandar Čavrić n 851.9
2.45/3
1.53/2
H. Tokuda n 823.1
2.42/1
1.52/1
Shu Morooka n 843.9
2.36/2
1.84/2
Yan Matheus n 875.8
1.96/4
0.64/0
Kashima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Tokuda n 823.1
11/1
0.51/0
Shu Morooka n 843.9
0.83/0
00/0
Haruki Hayashi n 830.9
0.41/0
0.41/0
Aleksandar Čavrić n 851.9
0.71/1
00/0
Léo Ceará n 885.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kashima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Haruki Hayashi n 830.9
2.63/2
K. Tsukui n 821.5
2.63/1
Kei Chinen n 836.1
2.23/3
K. Misao n 873.5
2.17/5
Aleksandar Čavrić n 851.9
25/2
Kashima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tomoki Hayakawa n 879.8
3.26/4
Yuji Kajikawa n 591.4
2.84/4
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Riku Yamada n 860.9
2.26/3
0.21/0
—
Norman Campbell n 833.4
24/2
0.72/0
—
Matheus Jesus n 866.1
1.76/4
2.47/4
—
Y. Egawa n 872.1
1.67/2
0.21/0
—
Yamasaki Ryogo n 822.6
1.52/1
1.53/0
—
V-varen Nagasaki — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Jesus n 866.1
2.77/4
1.25/2
Thiago Santana n 863.9
2.56/4
1.45/2
Tsubasa Kasayanagi n 874.3
26/3
0.32/0
Yamasaki Ryogo n 822.6
22/1
11/1
Keita Takahata n 834.9
1.65/0
0.31/0
V-varen Nagasaki — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheus Jesus n 866.1
0.53/0
0.31/1
Tsubasa Kasayanagi n 874.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
Thiago Santana n 863.9
0.53/0
00/0
Yamasaki Ryogo n 822.6
0.51/0
00/0
Eduardo n 878.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
V-varen Nagasaki — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Asahi Masuyama n 857.1
2.25/3
Masahiro Sekiguchi n 886.9
2.18/5
Hayato Teruyama n 847.5
2.15/2
Onaga Hijiri n 890
1.97/4
Y. Egawa n 872.1
1.66/3
V-varen Nagasaki — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Goto Masaaki n 890
4.37/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KashimaV-varen Nagasaki
49%Possession51%
1.29Expected goals (xG)1.19
5Shots16
3Shots on target4
1Shots off target9
1Blocked shots3
3Shots inside the box10
2Corners6
2Offsides1
13Fouls19
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
473Passes489

Kashima player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tomoki Hayakawa9000000007
K. Tsukui9000000107.3
Naomichi Ueda9000000007.3
Ikuma Sekigawa9000000107.5
Haruki Hayashi9001001207.7
Matheus Bueno9000000107.2
Léo Ceará8510111407.2
Gaku Shibasaki7200000307.4
Aleksandar Čavrić7210110007.9
Élber5500110107
S. Omori4600000107.1
Ryoya Ogawa4400100007.1
Yuta Matsumura3500100006.9
Yuma Suzuki1800001006.6
K. Misao1800000006.8
H. Tokuda500000106.6

V-varen Nagasaki player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Goto Masaaki9000000106.6
Takuma Ominami9000101306.9
K. Doi9000000006.5
S. Yoneda9000002105.5
Matheus Jesus9000411306.7
Motoki Hasegawa9000000007.1
Asahi Masuyama8500203006.4
Yamaguchi Hotaru8500101106.4
Arai Ikki6700100006.6
Jonathan67004210Y6.6
T. Matsumoto54001015Y5.8
K. Yasuda36001100Y5.7
R. Shindo2300000006.2
Yamasaki Ryogo2300000006.2
Onaga Hijiri500000006
T. Sawada500000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KashimaWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
V-varen NagasakiDLWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Kashima 2 · 0 draws · V-varen Nagasaki 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2018-08-15 V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Kashima
  • 2018-05-02 Kashima 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kashima#6 pos16 pts9 pl+3 GD
V-varen Nagasaki#14 pos9 pts9 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Kashima scored2.11
V-varen Nagasaki scored1.22
Kashima conceded1.78
V-varen Nagasaki conceded1.78

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki was Home win (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Kashima and V-varen Nagasaki?
In their last 2 meetings, Kashima won 2, V-varen Nagasaki won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kashima and V-varen Nagasaki?
Recent form — Kashima 4W 0D 1L; V-varen Nagasaki 2W 2D 1L.

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