Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus result

Full-time · Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus

J1 League · · Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Nagoya Grampus · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus — Nagoya Grampus won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nagoya Grampus won 2–1 at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu in the J1 League on Sunday 11 October.

Nagoya Grampus have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Nagoya Grampus: Haruya Fujii (2’, assisted by Tsukasa Morishima) and Yuya Yamagishi (73’); Kawasaki Frontale: Y. Wakizaka (4’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yuya Yamagishi’s goal on 73 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kawasaki Frontale 1.33, Nagoya Grampus 1.12, from 11 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Kawasaki Frontale: R. Yamahara (40’); Nagoya Grampus: Kensuke Nagai (11’) and Yuki Nogami (58’).

What it changes

Kawasaki Frontale have lost their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Haruya Fujii (Nagoya Grampus) 8.3, Tsukasa Morishima (Nagoya Grampus) 7.0 and Pedro Romano (Kawasaki Frontale) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Kawasaki Frontale or Nagoya Grampus (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Kawasaki Frontale next host Vissel Kobe on 21 October 2026.

Nagoya Grampus next host Cerezo Osaka on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kawasaki Frontale: Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Nagoya Grampus: Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus · J1 League
  • Venue: Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu · Kawasaki
  • Referee: Yuzo Sutani
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kawasaki Frontale 3 · draws 0 · Nagoya Grampus 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L · Nagoya Grampus 1W 1D 3L

Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 6.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.63 / 0.75
Cards
against 0.5 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKawasaki Frontale for / againstLineNagoya Grampus for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
7 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
0.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.5standard
0.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Yuzo Sutani.

Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Myogan n 49
51/1
7.53/0
—
S. Kanda n 814.3
2.42/1
2.43/0
—
L. Romanic n 851.9
26/1
1.33/3
—
T. Ito n 867.3
1.75/3
16/0
Takuya Uchida
A. Sasaki n 865.9
1.56/3
0.32/0
—
Kawasaki Frontale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 451.5
3.94/3
2.23/1
S. Kanda n 814.3
3.93/2
1.62/0
T. Myogan n 49
2.51/0
2.51/0
Erison n 851.5
27/2
0.73/0
T. Ito n 867.3
1.77/2
0.85/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 451.5
1.31/1
00/0
Y. Wakizaka n 884.3
0.32/0
00/0
S. Kawahara n 839.3
00/0
0.31/0
Y. Yamamoto n 867.6
0.21/0
00/0
T. Ito n 867.3
0.21/0
00/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Myogan n 49
102/1
F. Uremović n 873.1
2.37/4
S. Kawahara n 839.3
2.36/2
A. Sasaki n 865.9
2.27/3
S. Miura n 890
1.66/5
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 888.9
37/4
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yudai Kimura n 879.3
1.66/3
1.36/3
—
Ryosuke Yamanaka n 828.8
1.64/0
0.82/0
—
Takuya Uchida n 848.6
1.46/0
1.43/2
T. Ito
Tomoki Takamine n 890.4
1.16/2
1.26/3
—
Yuki Nogami n 859.4
0.95/0
0.63/0
—
Nagoya Grampus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuya Yamagishi n 871.5
2.27/3
0.92/2
Yudai Kimura n 879.3
27/4
1.46/3
Hidemasa Koda n 830.1
1.94/1
0.72/0
Masahito Ono n 825.9
1.73/1
0.91/1
Yuya Asano n 885
1.66/4
0.85/1
Nagoya Grampus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hidemasa Koda n 830.1
0.41/0
0.72/0
Kensuke Nagai n 834.1
12/1
00/0
Shungo Sugiura n 831.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
Yuya Yamagishi n 871.5
0.62/1
00/0
Teruki Hara n 869.8
00/0
0.53/0
Nagoya Grampus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryosuke Yamanaka n 828.8
3.15/3
Soichiro Mori n 824.9
2.32/2
Katsuhiro Nakayama n 885.1
2.28/5
Takuya Uchida n 848.6
2.14/4
Sho Inagaki n 891.5
1.87/4
Nagoya Grampus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alexandre Pisano n 890
3.97/6
Daniel Schmidt n 895.3
3.36/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
51%Possession49%
1.33Expected goals (xG)1.12
11Shots15
2Shots on target5
7Shots off target6
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box10
4Corners6
1Offsides2
16Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
493Passes482
85%Pass accuracy83%

Kawasaki Frontale player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brodersen9000000006.3
F. Uremović9000100006.2
K. Tachibanada9000103206.9
Pedro Romano9000000306.2
S. Miura9000001007.2
T. Ito9000300106.3
Y. Wakizaka8310110006.6
Marcinho7200100006.2
Y. Yamamoto7200003106.7
Derik Lacerda6400100106.5
R. Yamahara64000010Y6.3
A. Sasaki sub2600000206.5
Kyosuke Mochiyama sub2600000006.5
Y. Ozeki sub1800000006.7
Ryuki Osa sub1800110006.5
A. Ienaga sub1300001006.9

Nagoya Grampus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tomoki Takamine9000001106.3
Yudai Kimura9000111206.5
Sho Inagaki9000001207
Teruki Hara9000000106.9
Haruya Fujii9010111208.3
Daniel Schmidt9000000006.9
Tsukasa Morishima8901103207.5
Takuya Uchida6800000206.9
Ryuji Izumi6800201006.9
Yuki Nogami65002021Y6.9
Kensuke Nagai65001100Y6.5
Mateus Castro sub2500110006.7
Yuya Yamagishi sub2510211007.5
Hidemasa Koda sub2200000106.9
Masahito Ono sub2200000106.6
Yota Sato sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kawasaki FrontaleLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Nagoya GrampusWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kawasaki Frontale 3 · 0 draws · Nagoya Grampus 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus
  • 2024-09-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2024-06-02 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Nagoya Grampus
  • 2023-07-01 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2023-04-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kawasaki Frontale#8 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Nagoya Grampus#15 pos9 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Kawasaki Frontale scored1.89
Nagoya Grampus scored1
Kawasaki Frontale conceded1.56
Nagoya Grampus conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus?
In their last 6 meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 3, Nagoya Grampus won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus?
Recent form — Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L; Nagoya Grampus 1W 1D 3L.

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