Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse result

Full-time · Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse

J1 League · · K's Denki Stadium Mito

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Shimizu S-pulse

The model’s pre-match pick

Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse — Shimizu S-pulse won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shimizu S-pulse won 2–1 at K's Denki Stadium Mito in the J1 League on Sunday 11 October.

Mito Hollyhock are winless in their last 10 matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Mito Hollyhock: C. Kato (48’, assisted by K. Taniguchi); Shimizu S-pulse: T. Fujii (75’, assisted by Y. Shimamoto) and H. Sugai (90’, assisted by T. Fujii).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. Sugai’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Mito Hollyhock 0.60, Shimizu S-pulse 1.30, from 7 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Mito Hollyhock: K. Uchino (26’) and T. Mase (70’); Shimizu S-pulse: Se-hun Oh (24’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Fujii (Shimizu S-pulse) 9.5, K. Taniguchi (Mito Hollyhock) 7.3 and H. Sugai (Shimizu S-pulse) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mito Hollyhock or Shimizu S-pulse (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Mito Hollyhock next travel to Fagiano Okayama on 21 October 2026.

Shimizu S-pulse next host Machida Zelvia on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mito Hollyhock: Fagiano Okayama v Mito Hollyhock, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Shimizu S-pulse: Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse · J1 League
  • Venue: K's Denki Stadium Mito · Mito
  • Referee: Atsushi Kamimura
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Mito Hollyhock 0W 0D 5L · Shimizu S-pulse 0W 2D 3L

Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.25
Cards
against 0.63 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMito Hollyhock for / againstLineShimizu S-pulse for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Atsushi Kamimura.

Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Patryck n 820.9
3.25/1
1.12/0
—
A. Watanabe n 870.5
1.86/2
1.37/1
—
K. Yamazaki n 720.9
1.83/0
00/0
—
T. Mase n 881.8
1.78/3
0.74/1
—
Danilo Cardoso n 874.5
1.46/2
0.64/0
—
Mito Hollyhock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Patryck n 820.9
3.87/0
2.75/0
Matheus Leiria n 859.4
1.96/2
1.13/2
K. Tada n 852.3
1.75/2
0.93/1
Y. Torikai n 867.6
1.55/3
0.53/0
C. Kato n 866.1
1.55/3
0.72/2
Mito Hollyhock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Koki Ando n 819.6
1.12/0
00/0
Patryck n 820.9
0.51/0
00/0
Danilo Cardoso n 874.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Watanabe n 870.5
0.32/0
00/0
C. Kato n 866.1
0.31/1
00/0
Mito Hollyhock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Koki Ando n 819.6
6.35/3
K. Osaki n 881.5
2.68/4
T. Semba n 871.5
2.46/4
Y. Yamashita n 731.9
2.42/2
S. Omori n 890.8
1.57/4
Mito Hollyhock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Nishikawa n 890.8
2.98/4
Shimizu S-pulse
Shimizu S-pulse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kazuki Kozuka n 842.3
2.16/2
0.31/0
—
Hikaru Nakahara n 835.1
1.95/1
0.31/0
—
A. Ahmedov n 830
1.94/1
1.13/0
—
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi n 876
1.67/4
0.11/0
—
Zento Uno n 872.4
1.46/2
0.63/1
—
Shimizu S-pulse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Se-hun Oh n 859.8
2.16/5
0.94/1
K. Kitagawa n 871.1
1.76/3
1.45/3
Capixaba n 857.1
1.44/2
0.62/1
Kanta Chiba n 831.5
1.43/1
0.71/1
Hikaru Nakahara n 835.1
1.31/1
11/1
Shimizu S-pulse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Yutaka Yoshida n 871.9
00/0
0.52/1
K. Kitagawa n 871.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Masaki Yumiba n 850.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Yudai Shimamoto n 879.1
0.32/0
00/0
Kazuki Kozuka n 842.3
0.31/0
00/0
Shimizu S-pulse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zento Uno n 872.4
48/6
Mateus Brunetti n 879.6
2.77/5
Masaki Yumiba n 850.5
2.26/2
Haruto Hidaka n 855.9
1.85/2
Kanta Chiba n 831.5
1.84/1
Shimizu S-pulse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Togo Umeda n 884.4
2.86/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mito HollyhockShimizu S-pulse
61%Possession39%
0.60Expected goals (xG)1.30
7Shots9
2Shots on target4
3Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box6
7Corners1
2Offsides0
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves1
542Passes359

Mito Hollyhock player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Taniguchi9001103107.2
T. Mase90000001Y5.9
R. Ieizumi9000001006.5
K. Itakura9000000106.7
K. Okamoto9000000106.2
T. Semba9000000105.9
K. Nishikawa9000000005.5
C. Kato8510111007.8
J. Okumura6700300105.5
K. Uchino47001100Y6.1
Hugo Leonardo4500100206.8
Y. Funabashi4500000006
R. Nemoto2300000006.2
K. Tada2300000006.1
Y. Torikai2000000006
H. Yamamoto500000006.3

Shimizu S-pulse player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Sugai9010111007
Yuji Takahashi9000100006.4
Y. Honda9000000307.1
Mateus Brunetti9000113206.8
Masaki Yumiba9000000006.4
Togo Umeda9000000005.9
Diego8400000106.7
K. Matsuzaki6700000006.1
K. Inoue4500000006.5
K. Kitagawa4500000006
Se-hun Oh45000001Y5.9
T. Fujii4511321108.5
Ryo Germain4500001006.5
Y. Shimamoto4501202006.8
Kinoshita Kosuke2300100006.6
T. Hirato600000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Mito HollyhockLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Shimizu S-pulseDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Mito Hollyhock#13 pos9 pts9 pl-1 GD
Shimizu S-pulse#10 pos13 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Mito Hollyhock scored1.33
Shimizu S-pulse scored0.89
Mito Hollyhock conceded1.44
Shimizu S-pulse conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-pulse?
Recent form — Mito Hollyhock 0W 0D 5L; Shimizu S-pulse 0W 2D 3L.

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