Mito Hollyhock v Urawa result

Full-time · Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa

J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 08:00 BST · K's Denki Stadium Mito

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 10:58 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Urawa

The model’s pre-match pick

Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa — Urawa won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at William Hill

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Urawa won 1–0 at K's Denki Stadium Mito in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Mito Hollyhock are winless in their last 11 matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Urawa: S. Sasa (90’, assisted by Takuro Kaneko). T. Semba (10’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Sasa’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Mito Hollyhock 0.07, Urawa 2.30, from 1 shots to 28 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Mito Hollyhock: J. Słowik (76’); Urawa: Kaito Yasui (80’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Takuro Kaneko (Urawa) 7.2, Danilo Boza (Urawa) 5.0 and Yuta Miyamoto (Urawa) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Mito Hollyhock next travel to Fagiano Okayama on 21 October 2026.

Urawa next host JEF United Chiba on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mito Hollyhock: Fagiano Okayama v Mito Hollyhock, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Urawa: Urawa v JEF United Chiba, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa · J1 League
Venue: K's Denki Stadium Mito · Mito
Referee: Takafumi Mikuriya
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Mito Hollyhock 0 · draws 0 · Urawa 2 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Mito Hollyhock 0W 0D 5L · Urawa 1W 2D 2L

Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 2 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.13

Corners

against 3.13 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 3.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 0.63

Cards

against 0.63 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Mito Hollyhock for / against	Line	Urawa for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.25 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.38 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Patryck n 8	20.9	3.2 5/1	1.1 2/0	—
T. Mase n 8	81.8	1.8 8/4	0.8 5/1	—
A. Watanabe n 8	70.5	1.8 6/2	1.3 7/1	—
R. Ieizumi n 5	49.4	1.5 1/1	2.6 2/2	—
R. Nemoto n 8	30.8	1.5 3/1	2.9 5/2	—

Mito Hollyhock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Patryck n 8	20.9	3.8 7/0	2.7 5/0
Matheus Leiria n 8	59.4	1.9 6/2	1.1 3/2
K. Taniguchi n 8	48.1	1.9 6/2	0.7 3/0
K. Tada n 8	43.9	1.8 4/2	1 3/1
Y. Torikai n 8	59.5	1.7 5/3	0.6 3/0

Mito Hollyhock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Koki Ando n 8	19.6	1.1 2/0	0 0/0
C. Kato n 8	68.3	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Patryck n 8	20.9	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Danilo Cardoso n 8	74.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Watanabe n 8	70.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Mito Hollyhock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Koki Ando n 8	19.6	6.3 5/3
K. Osaki n 8	81.5	2.6 8/4
Y. Yamashita n 7	31.9	2.4 2/2
T. Semba n 8	73.3	2.3 6/4
S. Omori n 8	74.9	1.8 8/3

Mito Hollyhock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Nishikawa n 8	90.8	2.5 8/3

Urawa

Urawa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kai Shibato n 8	68.6	2.5 6/5	2.6 7/6	—
I. Kiese Thelin n 8	19.3	2.3 3/1	0.6 1/0	—
Takahiro Sekine n 8	46.9	2.2 5/2	1 4/0	—
Kaito Yasui n 8	84.9	1.5 6/3	0.9 5/2	—
H. Abe n 4	30.5	1.5 2/0	0.7 1/0	—

Urawa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shoya Nakajima n 8	50.8	2 6/3	0.9 3/1
Matheus Sávio n 8	60.4	1.9 5/3	1.3 5/1
Ado Onaiwu n 8	55.5	1.8 5/3	0.6 3/0
Hiiro Komori n 8	43.8	1.8 6/1	0.8 3/0
I. Kiese Thelin n 8	19.3	1.8 2/1	1.8 2/1

Urawa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Kiese Thelin n 8	19.3	1.8 2/1	0.6 1/0
Toshikazu Teruuchi n 7	7.4	1.7 1/0	0 0/0
J. Hayakawa n 8	28.6	0 0/0	1.2 2/1
Hiiro Komori n 8	43.8	0.8 3/0	0 0/0
Matheus Sávio n 8	60.4	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0

Urawa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Takahiro Sekine n 8	46.9	3.1 5/4
Takuya Ogiwara n 8	27.8	2.8 4/2
Ueki Hayate n 6	47	2.6 4/3
Hiiro Komori n 8	43.8	2.1 5/2
Toshikazu Teruuchi n 7	7.4	1.7 1/0

Urawa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Shusaku Nishikawa n 8	90	2.4 4/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mito Hollyhock		Urawa
14%	Possession	86%
0.07	Expected goals (xG)	2.30
1	Shots	28
1	Shots on target	6
0	Shots off target	15
0	Blocked shots	7
0	Shots inside the box	17
0	Corners	13
0	Offsides	1
6	Fouls	7
1	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
5	Saves	1
134	Passes	770

Mito Hollyhock player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Kato	91	0	0	0	3	0	6
T. Mase	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Słowik	90	0	0	1	0	Y	6.7
Y. Funabashi	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.1
K. Osaki	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.8
K. Itakura	90	0	0	0	2	0	7
Y. Kimoto	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Nemoto	77	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
H. Yamamoto	70	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
K. Taniguchi	46	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
M. Fofana	44	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
K. Yamazaki	20	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
K. Tada	13	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
T. Semba	10	0	0	0	0	R	5.6

Urawa player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Takuro Kaneko	90	0	1	2	0	9	1	0	7.5
T. Seko	90	0	0	3	0	3	1	0	7.1
Yuta Miyamoto	90	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	7.2
K. Kudo	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	7.6
Danilo Boza	90	0	0	7	2	1	0	0	7.8
Shusaku Nishikawa	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Matheus Sávio	83	0	0	4	2	2	1	0	6.5
Kaito Yasui	83	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	7.1
Hiiro Komori	73	0	0	3	0	3	1	0	6.4
Miki Yamane	73	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7.4
Kotaro Hayashi	58	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.3
Y. Naganuma	32	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
J. Hayakawa	17	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7
Renji Hidano	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Ado Onaiwu	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.8
S. Sasa	7	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mito Hollyhock v Urawa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Mito HollyhockLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

UrawaWDLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Mito Hollyhock 0 · 0 draws · Urawa 2 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-05-09 Mito Hollyhock 1–4 Urawa
2026-03-07 Urawa 2–0 Mito Hollyhock

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Mito Hollyhock#13 pos9 pts9 pl-1 GD

Urawa#11 pos12 pts9 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Mito Hollyhock scored1.33

Urawa scored1.78

Mito Hollyhock conceded1.44

Urawa conceded2.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Mito Hollyhock v Urawa was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Mito Hollyhock and Urawa?: In their last 2 meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0, Urawa won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mito Hollyhock and Urawa?: Recent form — Mito Hollyhock 0W 0D 5L; Urawa 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 10:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.