Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Gamba Osaka result

Full-time · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Gamba Osaka

J1 League · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 11:00 BST · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Gamba Osaka · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Gamba Osaka — Sanfrecce Hiroshima won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 209 landed (95% range 71.9–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 140 of 206 times (68%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Gamba Osaka 1–0 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima in the J1 League on Saturday 16 August. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sanfrecce Hiroshima led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Sota Nakamura (19’, assisted by T. Shiotani). Shuto Abe (60’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sota Nakamura’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.72, Gamba Osaka 0.05, from 12 shots to 3 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Gamba Osaka: Ryoya Yamashita (11’), Issam Jebali (22’), G. Miura (38’) and K. Okunuki (90+4’).

What it changes

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sota Nakamura (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 6.9, T. Shiotani (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 4.9 and K. Osako (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 3.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Sanfrecce Hiroshima next travel to V-varen Nagasaki on 21 October 2026.

Gamba Osaka next travel to Avispa Fukuoka on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sanfrecce Hiroshima: V-varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Gamba Osaka: Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Gamba Osaka · J1 League
Venue: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima · Hiroshima
Referee: Takafumi Mikuriya, Japan
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 · draws 1 · Gamba Osaka 1 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2W 1D 2L · Gamba Osaka 3W 0D 2L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Gamba Osaka (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 6.5

Corners

against 5.13 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.88 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Sanfrecce Hiroshima for / against	Line	Gamba Osaka for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.13 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Takafumi Mikuriya, Japan.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Motoki Ohara n 6	18.8	5.6 5/2	1.6 2/0	—
S. Koshimichi n 8	8.3	2.7 2/0	1.4 1/0	—
Y. Nakajima n 8	39.9	2.5 5/3	1.4 4/1	—
Ryo Germain n 8	81.1	2.1 8/4	0.8 3/2	Issam Jebali
D. Suga n 8	31.5	2.1 4/1	1.4 3/1	—

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Koshimichi n 8	8.3	4.1 3/0	1.4 1/0
Motoki Ohara n 6	18.8	3.2 4/0	2.4 3/0
Kinoshita Kosuke n 8	53.3	2.3 7/3	1.9 6/2
M. Kato n 8	56.9	2 7/3	1.2 5/1
D. Suga n 8	31.5	1.8 4/1	0.4 1/0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kinoshita Kosuke n 8	53.3	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
N. Arai n 8	57.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
S. Nakamura n 8	80	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
S. Higashi n 8	58.9	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Marcos Junior n 8	44.4	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
V. Germain n 8	20.8	3.3 5/1
D. Suga n 8	31.5	3.2 4/2
S. Tanaka n 8	77.4	3.1 7/5
S. Sasaki n 8	87.8	2.9 7/6
Y. Nakajima n 8	39.9	2.8 7/2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Osako n 8	90	2.4 5/4

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Okunuki n 7	55.9	2.8 5/3	0.2 1/0	—
Issam Jebali n 8	34.8	2.6 4/2	1 3/0	Ryo Germain
T. Suzuki n 8	48.4	2.1 5/2	1.4 5/1	—
Deniz Hümmet n 8	71.5	1.9 6/4	1.1 4/2	—
Shuto Abe n 8	77.8	1.6 6/3	0.7 4/1	—

Gamba Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Issam Jebali n 8	34.8	2.9 4/2	1 3/0
Deniz Hümmet n 8	71.5	2.5 7/6	1.7 5/4
Takeru Kishimoto n 8	21	2.1 4/0	0.5 1/0
Takashi Usami n 8	73.9	2 6/5	0.8 3/1
S. Kurata n 8	38.9	2 4/2	1.4 3/1

Gamba Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Kurata n 8	38.9	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
Takashi Usami n 8	73.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Takeru Kishimoto n 8	21	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Issam Jebali n 8	34.8	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Deniz Hümmet n 8	71.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Gamba Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Shinya Nakano n 8	7.9	8.6 4/2
Takeru Kishimoto n 8	21	4.8 5/3
Rin Mito n 8	44	3.1 6/4
K. Okunuki n 7	55.9	3 5/3
R. Handa n 8	89.9	2.9 6/6

Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Ichimori n 8	90	3.5 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka
46%	Possession	54%
1.72	Expected goals (xG)	0.05
12	Shots	3
4	Shots on target	0
5	Shots off target	2
3	Blocked shots	1
10	Shots inside the box	0
8	Corners	3
3	Offsides	2
15	Fouls	13
0	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	1
0	Saves	3
344	Passes	421
81%	Pass accuracy	81%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
K. Osako	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
T. Shiotani	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	8.2
H. Araki	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
S. Sasaki	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Shuto Nakano	90	0	0	2	1	1	0	7.2
H. Kawabe	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Tanaka	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	7
S. Higashi	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	7.5
S. Nakamura	75	1	0	3	2	0	3	7.5
Ryo Germain	72	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
N. Maeda	67	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Kinoshita Kosuke sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Y. Nakajima sub	19	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.6
V. Germain sub	16	0	0	1	0	2	0	6.9

Gamba Osaka player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Ichimori	90	0	0	0	0	7.3
R. Handa	90	0	0	1	0	6.9
Shinnosuke Nakatani	90	0	0	2	0	7.2
T. Suzuki	90	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. Mitsuta	90	0	0	1	0	6.7
G. Miura	80	0	0	0	Y	6.5
Keisuke Kurokawa	80	0	0	1	0	6.7
Issam Jebali	80	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Welton	65	1	0	0	0	6.7
Shuto Abe	60	1	0	0	R	6
Ryoya Yamashita	45	0	0	1	Y	6.5
Juan Alano sub	45	0	1	0	0	6.6
S. Fukuoka sub	26	0	0	0	0	6.9
Takeru Kishimoto sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.7
K. Okunuki sub	11	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Deniz Hümmet sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Gamba Osaka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sanfrecce HiroshimaLLWWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Gamba OsakaWLWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 · 1 draw · Gamba Osaka 1 · 3.33 goals/game

2025-05-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-12-08 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka
2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka
2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima#4 pos68 pts38 pl+18 GD

Gamba Osaka#9 pos57 pts38 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored1.21

Gamba Osaka scored1.39

Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded0.74

Gamba Osaka conceded1.45

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Gamba Osaka?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Gamba Osaka was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka?: In their last 6 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4, Gamba Osaka won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka?: Recent form — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2W 1D 2L; Gamba Osaka 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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