Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka result

Full-time · Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka

J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 BST · IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 07:59 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Shimizu S-pulse · Gamba Osaka · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka — this J1 League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Bet365

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka drew 2–2 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Gamba Osaka are unbeaten in their last eight matches.

The goals

Shimizu S-pulse led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Shimizu S-pulse: Y. Honda (9’, assisted by Masaki Yumiba) and K. Matsuzaki (42’, assisted by Se-hun Oh); Gamba Osaka: Ryotaro Meshino (84’) and Issam Jebali (90’, assisted by Takeru Kishimoto).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Issam Jebali’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Shimizu S-pulse 0.68, Gamba Osaka 1.00, from 13 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Gamba Osaka have scored in eight consecutive matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Masaki Yumiba (Shimizu S-pulse) 8.4, Se-hun Oh (Shimizu S-pulse) 7.0 and Mateus Brunetti (Shimizu S-pulse) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Shimizu S-pulse next host Machida Zelvia on 21 October 2026.

Gamba Osaka next travel to Avispa Fukuoka on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Shimizu S-pulse: Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Gamba Osaka: Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka · J1 League
Venue: IAI Stadium Nihondaira · Shizuoka
Referee: Keigo Sendachi
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Shimizu S-pulse 1 · draws 3 · Gamba Osaka 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Shimizu S-pulse 1W 1D 3L · Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L

Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 2

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.25 / 3.17

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.17 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.25 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 3.33 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.25 / 1.5

Cards

against 2 / 1.17 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Shimizu S-pulse for / against	Line	Gamba Osaka for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.17 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.5 for · 11.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 3.33 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 11.67 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.17 against n 6 Last 5

Shimizu S-pulse

Shimizu S-pulse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kazuki Kozuka n 8	42.3	2.1 6/2	0.3 1/0	—
Se-hun Oh n 8	54.1	1.9 5/2	1.2 4/2	Issam Jebali
A. Ahmedov n 8	30	1.9 4/1	1.1 3/0	—
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi n 8	76	1.6 7/4	0.1 1/0	—
K. Matsuzaki n 8	52.4	1.5 5/2	1.1 5/0	Shuto Abe

Shimizu S-pulse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Se-hun Oh n 8	54.1	1.9 5/4	0.6 3/0
K. Kitagawa n 8	65.5	1.7 5/3	1.4 4/3
Capixaba n 8	57.1	1.4 4/2	0.6 2/1
Kanta Chiba n 8	31.5	1.4 3/1	0.7 1/1
Yudai Shimamoto n 8	79.1	1 5/2	0.4 3/0

Shimizu S-pulse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Yutaka Yoshida n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0.5 2/1
K. Kitagawa n 8	65.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Masaki Yumiba n 8	59.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Yudai Shimamoto n 8	79.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Kazuki Kozuka n 8	42.3	0.3 1/0	0 0/0

Shimizu S-pulse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Zento Uno n 8	63.9	3.7 8/5
Mateus Brunetti n 8	79.6	2.7 7/5
Kanta Chiba n 8	31.5	1.8 4/1
Masaki Yumiba n 8	59.9	1.7 5/2
Matheus Bueno n 8	78.8	1.6 7/3

Shimizu S-pulse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Togo Umeda n 8	84.4	2.3 5/3

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Nawata n 8	38.1	2.7 5/2	1.2 3/1	—
Issam Jebali n 8	65.4	2.4 6/5	1.2 4/3	Se-hun Oh
S. Sasaki n 8	38.3	1.8 4/2	0.6 2/0	—
Ryotaro Meshino n 8	58.4	1.3 5/2	1.5 6/2	—
Shuto Abe n 8	70.5	1.1 4/1	1.1 4/2	K. Matsuzaki

Gamba Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Issam Jebali n 8	65.4	3.3 8/5	1.2 4/2
Deniz Hümmet n 8	60.6	2.8 7/5	2 6/3
Harumi Minamino n 8	50.9	2.4 6/3	1.3 4/2
Takashi Usami n 8	49.9	2.3 5/3	1.8 4/2
Welton n 8	46.3	1.9 5/1	0.7 3/0

Gamba Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Harumi Minamino n 8	50.9	0.9 3/1	0 0/0
G. Nawata n 8	38.1	0.6 1/1	0.3 1/0
Ryoya Yamashita n 8	69.9	0 0/0	0.6 2/1
Issam Jebali n 8	65.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Deniz Hümmet n 8	60.6	0.6 3/0	0 0/0

Gamba Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Nawata n 8	38.1	3.2 4/4
Rin Mito n 8	76.3	2.7 7/4
Shuto Abe n 8	70.5	2.6 6/5
Takeru Kishimoto n 8	82.8	2 6/5
Takashi Usami n 8	49.9	2 3/2

Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Ichimori n 8	90	3.6 6/6
Rui Araki n 7	90	2.7 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Shimizu S-pulse		Gamba Osaka
35%	Possession	65%
0.68	Expected goals (xG)	1.00
13	Shots	12
5	Shots on target	4
6	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	3
8	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	4
0	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
259	Passes	496

Shimizu S-pulse player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
H. Sugai	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
Sodai Hasukawa	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.1
Y. Honda	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
Masaki Yumiba	90	0	1	2	1	2	4	0	7.1
K. Koizumi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Matsuzaki	90	1	0	3	1	0	2	0	7.6
Ryo Germain	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.5
Togo Umeda	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Mateus Brunetti	75	0	0	2	1	1	6	0	6.3
Se-hun Oh	75	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	7.7
K. Inoue	64	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.3
T. Fujii	26	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	6.8
Y. Shimamoto	15	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.1
Yutaka Yoshida	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Gamba Osaka player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Takeru Kishimoto	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
Shinnosuke Nakatani	90	0	2	0	1	3	0	6.5
Shuto Abe	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	5.9
Ryoya Yamashita	90	0	2	0	1	1	Y	6
Issam Jebali	90	0	2	1	0	1	0	5.2
J. Ichimori	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Shinya Nakano	77	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
S. Fukuoka	76	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Welton	65	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.4
Y. Toshida	46	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Rin Mito	46	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.8
Eli Adams	44	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.1
Takashi Usami	44	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
Ryotaro Meshino	25	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.7
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa	14	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
Ryo Hatsuse	13	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Shimizu S-pulseLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Gamba OsakaDWWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Shimizu S-pulse 1 · 3 draws · Gamba Osaka 2 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-24 Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 Gamba Osaka
2026-02-28 Gamba Osaka 2–2 Shimizu S-pulse
2025-06-15 Shimizu S-pulse 0–0 Gamba Osaka
2025-03-08 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse
2022-08-14 Gamba Osaka 0–2 Shimizu S-pulse
2022-04-10 Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Shimizu S-pulse#10 pos13 pts9 pl-1 GD

Gamba Osaka#18 pos6 pts9 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Shimizu S-pulse scored0.89

Gamba Osaka scored0.89

Shimizu S-pulse conceded1

Gamba Osaka conceded1.78

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka?: In their last 6 meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 1, Gamba Osaka won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka?: Recent form — Shimizu S-pulse 1W 1D 3L; Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 07:59 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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