Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima result

Full-time · Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

J1 League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 07:00 BST · Ajinomoto Stadium

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · Sanfrecce Hiroshima

The model’s pre-match pick

Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Sanfrecce Hiroshima won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2–0 at Ajinomoto Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 11 October.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten in their last seven matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: T. Matsumoto (47’, assisted by A. Suzuki) and A. Suzuki (58’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Matsumoto’s goal on 47 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Tokyo Verdy 0.49, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.39, from 6 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Tokyo Verdy: Kim Hyun-woo (15’), Kaito Suzuki (40’) and Itsuki Someno (55’); Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung (17’).

What it changes

Tokyo Verdy are winless in their last four matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in seven consecutive matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 9, across four matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 6.7, T. Matsumoto (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 6.7 and K. Osako (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (872 of 1302).

Next up

Tokyo Verdy next travel to Yokohama F. Marinos on 21 October 2026.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima next travel to V-varen Nagasaki on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tokyo Verdy: Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Sanfrecce Hiroshima: V-varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · J1 League
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium · Chōfu
Referee: Hiroki Kasahara
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Tokyo Verdy 0 · draws 0 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Tokyo Verdy 1W 2D 2L · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W 0D 0L

Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.75 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.13

Corners

against 4.75 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

0.63 / 1.25

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tokyo Verdy for / against	Line	Sanfrecce Hiroshima for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.5 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.75 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Hiroki Kasahara.

Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Fukuda n 8	65.6	3.3 8/7	1.4 4/3	—
G. Yamada n 7	35	2.2 3/2	1.1 3/0	—
Itsuki Someno n 8	74.5	2 6/3	3.6 8/7	A. Suzuki
Shimon Teranuma n 8	33.4	2 4/1	2 3/2	—
Daiki Fukazawa n 8	84.4	1.9 7/5	0.1 1/0	—

Tokyo Verdy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shimon Teranuma n 8	33.4	3.4 5/4	1 3/0
Issei Kumatoriya n 8	42.5	1.9 3/2	0.5 1/1
Itsuki Someno n 8	74.5	1.7 6/4	0.5 2/1
Shuto Tanabe n 8	43.1	1.3 4/1	0.3 1/0
Ryosuke Shirai n 8	34.6	1.3 3/1	1 3/0

Tokyo Verdy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Yuta Arai n 8	46.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Issei Kumatoriya n 8	42.5	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Ryosuke Shirai n 8	34.6	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Shimon Teranuma n 8	33.4	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Itsuki Someno n 8	74.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Tokyo Verdy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Matsuda n 4	55.3	3.3 3/1
Y. Fukuda n 8	65.6	2.9 8/4
Yuan Matsuhashi n 8	53.9	2.7 7/5
Shion Nakayama n 5	49.4	2.6 4/1
Yuta Arai n 8	46.8	2.4 6/3

Tokyo Verdy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Yuya Nagasawa n 8	90	2.3 5/4
Matheus Vidotto n 8	84.8	1.2 3/1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kinoshita Kosuke n 8	39.3	3.7 8/4	2.3 6/1	—
A. Suzuki n 8	53	3 6/3	1.3 4/1	Itsuki Someno
Ryo Germain n 8	31.1	2.9 6/2	0.7 2/0	—
S. Kobayashi n 3	10.7	2.8 1/0	0 0/0	—
Motoki Ohara n 8	29.1	2.3 4/1	0.8 2/0	—

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Chajima n 8	26.1	2.6 4/2	0.9 1/1
Mutsuki Kato n 8	55.5	2.4 5/4	1.4 4/2
T. Arslan n 8	37	2.4 5/3	1.2 3/1
A. Suzuki n 8	53	1.9 5/3	1.1 4/1
S. Nakamura n 8	47.1	1.7 6/1	1 4/0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Higashi n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/2
Mutsuki Kato n 8	55.5	0.6 3/0	0.4 2/0
Y. Chajima n 8	26.1	0.9 1/1	0 0/0
A. Suzuki n 8	53	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
S. Nakamura n 8	47.1	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Kobayashi n 3	10.7	11.3 1/1
Y. Nakajima n 8	38.3	2.6 5/2
T. Shichi n 8	39.4	2.3 4/3
N. Maeda n 8	25.6	2.2 4/1
S. Sasaki n 8	82.1	1.9 6/5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Ouchi n 4	90	2.8 3/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Tokyo Verdy		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
33%	Possession	67%
0.49	Expected goals (xG)	1.39
6	Shots	11
3	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	3
0	Blocked shots	4
4	Shots inside the box	6
1	Corners	4
1	Offsides	2
15	Fouls	10
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
303	Passes	627
67%	Pass accuracy	83%

Tokyo Verdy player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Itsuki Someno	90	1	1	0	0	Y	6.3
Kaito Suzuki	90	0	0	0	2	Y	6.7
Naoki Hayashi	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Maaya Sako	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Yuta Arai	90	2	0	1	3	0	6.9
Kosuke Saito	90	1	0	0	3	0	6.6
Matheus Vidotto	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Kai Shibato	85	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Fujimoto	70	0	0	2	2	0	6.9
Y. Fukuda	70	1	1	1	1	0	6
Kim Hyun-Woo	57	1	1	0	0	Y	6.5
Kim Hyun-woo	57	1	1	0	0	Y	6.2
K. Ichimi sub	28	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Issei Kumatoriya sub	20	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Shuhei Mizoguchi sub	20	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Shion Nakayama sub	9	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
G. Yamada sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Suzuki	90	0	1	2	1	1	2	0	9
Shuto Nakano	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.6
H. Araki	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
N. Arai	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
H. Kawabe	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
K. Osako	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
S. Ayukawa	81	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
D. Suga	67	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
Kim Ju-Sung	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.6
Y. Nakajima	45	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
M. Kato	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
Mutsuki Kato	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
S. Haller sub	45	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	5.9
S. Higashi sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
T. Matsumoto sub	45	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	8.2
N. Maeda sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
T. Asano sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Tokyo VerdyDWLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Tokyo Verdy 0 · 0 draws · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 · 3 goals/game

2025-08-23 Tokyo Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tokyo Verdy
2024-08-07 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-06-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Tokyo Verdy

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Tokyo Verdy#20 pos4 pts9 pl-10 GD

Sanfrecce Hiroshima#2 pos20 pts9 pl+16 GD

Goals per game

Tokyo Verdy scored0.44

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored2.44

Tokyo Verdy conceded1.56

Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded0.67

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: In their last 4 meetings, Tokyo Verdy won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: Recent form — Tokyo Verdy 1W 2D 2L; Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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