GentKV Mechelen

Gent v KV Mechelen result

Full-time · Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen

Jupiler Pro League · · Planet Group Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen — Gent won this Jupiler Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,102 of 1,464 times (75.3%), against an average rating of 70.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gent beat KV Mechelen 2–0 at Planet Group Arena in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 9 August. Gent are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. KV Mechelen are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Gent led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Gent: Tiago Araújo (37’) and J. Y. Vergara Ortega (45’, assisted by Momodou Sonko).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tiago Araújo’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Gent 1.16, KV Mechelen 0.34, from 15 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Lambrechts showed one yellow card — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — KV Mechelen: M. Decoene (85’).

What it changes

Gent are third after this result (one league match played).

KV Mechelen are 16th after this result (one league match played).

Gent have kept a clean sheet in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Momodou Sonko (Gent) 6.9, Mouhamed Ngom (Gent) 5.7 and Tiago Araújo (Gent) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Gent or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Gent next travel to SK Beveren on 22 November 2026.

KV Mechelen next host Club Brugge KV on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gent: SK Beveren v Gent, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for KV Mechelen: KV Mechelen v Club Brugge KV, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League
  • Venue: Planet Group Arena · Gent
  • Referee: E. Lambrechts
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gent 2 · draws 3 · KV Mechelen 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gent 1W 3D 1L · KV Mechelen 1W 2D 2L

Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.38 / 1
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.2 / 3.63
Corners
against 3.4 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 5.8 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.2 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 5 matches
4.18 yellows
Referee · E. Lambrechts
22.35 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGent for / againstLineKV Mechelen for / against
Goals scored
0.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 2.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.2 for · 3.4 against n 5
9.5standard
3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 13 against n 5
19.5standard
9.75 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.4 for · 5.8 against n 5
8.5standard
2.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.8 for · 9.4 against n 5
21.5standard
9.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.4 for · 1.2 against n 5
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: E. Lambrechts — 4.18 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 22.35 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GentKV Mechelen
53%Possession47%
1.16Expected goals (xG)0.34
15Shots5
8Shots on target2
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box3
4Corners1
1Offsides1
11Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves7
514Passes463
85%Pass accuracy83%

Gent Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Roef9000000007.3
M. Ngom9000003307.2
S. Van der Heyden9000000207.2
Matties Volckaert9000101307.2
Leonardo Lopes9000001507.2
Tiago Araújo9010210008.2
M. Sonko9001211307.3
J. Y. Vergara Ortega8010220007.9
T. De Vlieger7100102407.5
A. Kadri7100000206.9
C. Burgess4500000007
M. Paskotši sub4500000206.9
M. Delorge-Knieper sub1900001107
B. Goore sub1900331006.9
Ibrahima Cisse sub1000110006.3

KV Mechelen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nacho Mirás9000000008.3
M. Decoene90000001Y6.7
M. Zekri9000000105.9
F. Hammar9000001006.3
D. Salifou9000110206.2
M. van Brederode9000000206.5
B. Bafdili8600001006.3
Dennis Praet7700001206.6
José Marsà7600000006.6
B. Raman4500110006.3
G. Diouf2800000207.2
K. Corbanie sub6200000206.2
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi sub4500101006.7
Adrían Eduardo Choco Cordova sub1400000006.7
M. Kireev sub1300100006.3
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne sub900001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gent v KV Mechelen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GentLDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
KV MechelenWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gent 2 · 3 draws · KV Mechelen 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 KV Mechelen 1–0 Gent
  • 2026-04-06 Gent 1–1 KV Mechelen
  • 2026-03-08 Gent 3–1 KV Mechelen
  • 2025-08-16 KV Mechelen 1–1 Gent
  • 2025-02-07 KV Mechelen 3–3 Gent
  • 2024-09-15 Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen
League standing · 2026/27
Gent#4 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
KV Mechelen#11 pos12 pts11 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Gent scored1.9
KV Mechelen scored1.18
Gent conceded0.6
KV Mechelen conceded1.82

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gent v KV Mechelen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gent v KV Mechelen was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Gent and KV Mechelen?
In their last 6 meetings, Gent won 2, KV Mechelen won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gent and KV Mechelen?
Recent form — Gent 1W 3D 1L; KV Mechelen 1W 2D 2L.

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