FC Seoul v Incheon United prediction

K League 1 · · Seoul World Cup Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Total cards yellow under 5.5 the free pick for FC Seoul v Incheon United, K League 1 on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 07:30 GMT.

Free pick
Total cards yellow under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Seoul host Incheon United in the K League 1 on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 07:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Total cards yellow under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Seoul have scored 61 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026 so far). FC Seoul have conceded 29 goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs.

FC Seoul are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Incheon United, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of FC Seoul’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Seoul’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, FC Seoul have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.00.

Seven of Incheon United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 11 of Incheon United’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Incheon United have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.25. Incheon United have scored 43 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026 so far). Incheon United have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

FC Seoul are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Incheon United are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. FC Seoul (first) and Incheon United (sixth) are 21 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Seoul the stronger side, 32 rating points above Incheon United (FC Seoul 1733, Incheon United 1701, after at least 293 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United.

Team news

Predicted FC Seoul XI (4-4-2): G. Sung-yun, K. Jin-su, Y. Alarab, J. Choi, J. Ros, H. Babec, A. Oliveira, S. Jeong, S. Jeong-beom, P. Klimala, L. Ruiz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Klimala (3.7 per match over 15 appearances, eight goals) and Anderson Oliveira (3.5 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been FC Seoul’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for FC Seoul (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Klimala averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1212 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Anderson Oliveira averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1209 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Incheon United XI (4-4-2): K. Dong-Heon, J. Lee, J. Ibiza, K. Myung-Sun, K. Gun-Hee, M. Lee, L. Ribeiro, J. Seo, S. Kim, S. Mugoša, C. Lee — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Stefan Mugoša (5.1 per match over 17 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Ju-yong Lee (3.3 per match over 18 appearances, one assist) have been Incheon United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Incheon United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Stefan Mugoša averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1345 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ju-yong Lee averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1575 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · K League 1 · Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Seoul 5 · draws 1 · Incheon United 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Seoul 2W 2D 1L · Incheon United 2W 3D 0L

FC Seoul v Incheon United (K League 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.14 / 3.25
Corners
against 2.43 / 3.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 0.38
Cards
against 1.29 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Seoul for / againstLineIncheon United for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.14 for · 2.43 against n 7
9.5standard
3.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
11.29 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
7.25 for · 8.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.86 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.43 for · 11 against n 7
21.5standard
7.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
0.38 for · 1.13 against n 8

FC Seoul

FC Seoul Goalkeeper

FC Seoul — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gu Sung-yun17901530 min372.2 /9090.5 /9000 /90
Jong-beom Baek19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Lim Jun-Sub19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
FC Seoul — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Seoul before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gu Sung-yun n 890
25/2
Jong-beom Baek n 790
2.65/4

FC Seoul Defensive

FC Seoul — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jun Choi18871559 min352 /90201.2 /9060.3 /90905.2 /90221.3 /9030.2 /90
Juan Antonio Ros17901530 min181.1 /90160.9 /9070.4 /90794.6 /90150.9 /9040.2 /90
Kim Jin-su17901530 min181.1 /90231.4 /9040.2 /90593.5 /90211.2 /9040.2 /90
Yazan Alarab15811222 min181.3 /90211.5 /9020.1 /90755.5 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
Seong-hun Park755385 min51.2 /9030.7 /9000 /90133 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
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FC Seoul — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Seoul before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jun Choi n 884.3
0.75/0
1.97/3
—
Kim Jin-su n 890
1.16/2
1.34/4
—
Juan Antonio Ros n 890
0.83/1
0.43/0
—
Gu Sung-yun n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Hrvoje Babec n 886.8
15/2
0.43/0
—
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FC Seoul — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Seoul before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jun Choi n 884.3
2.47/6
Kim Jin-su n 890
15/2
Juan Antonio Ros n 890
0.95/1
Hrvoje Babec n 886.8
1.86/5
Seung-Won Jeong n 890.8
0.73/1
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FC Seoul Attacking

FC Seoul — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Klimala15811212 min80.6 /9000 /90463.4 /90241.8 /9080.6 /9040.3 /90
Moon Seon-min1556847 min30.3 /9040.4 /9060.6 /9060.6 /90181.9 /90121.3 /90
Leonardo Ruiz1061613 min20.3 /9020.3 /90101.5 /9071 /9071 /9081.2 /90
Cho Young Wook657339 min20.5 /9010.3 /9071.9 /9061.6 /9092.4 /9020.5 /90
Cheon Seong-Hoon267134 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.3 /90
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FC Seoul — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Seoul before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jun Choi n 884.3
0.72/1
00/0
Kim Jin-su n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
Juan Antonio Ros n 890
0.31/1
00/0
Gu Sung-yun n 890
00/0
00/0
Hrvoje Babec n 886.8
1.47/3
0.54/0
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FC Seoul — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Seoul before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jun Choi n 884.3
00/0
0.11/0
Gu Sung-yun n 890
00/0
00/0
Kim Jin-su n 890
00/0
00/0
Juan Antonio Ros n 890
00/0
00/0
Hrvoje Babec n 886.8
00/0
0.31/1
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Incheon United

Incheon United Goalkeeper

Incheon United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kim Dong-Heon16901440 min442.8 /9080.5 /9000 /90
Incheon United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kim Dong-Heon n 890
2.64/3

Incheon United Defensive

Incheon United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Ibiza18901620 min100.6 /90211.2 /9070.4 /90734.1 /90160.9 /9030.2 /90
Ju-yong Lee18881575 min341.9 /90201.1 /9040.2 /90754.3 /90191.1 /9010.1 /90
Kim Myung-Sun18851532 min321.9 /90120.7 /9000 /90573.3 /90211.2 /9010.1 /90
Kim Gun-Hee990810 min91 /90171.9 /9020.2 /90465.1 /9020.2 /9000 /90
Park Kyung-Sub17979 min00 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Incheon United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
—
Ju-yong Lee n 890
1.46/3
0.63/2
—
Kim Myung-Sun n 889
0.65/0
0.53/1
—
Chung-yong Lee n 875.8
0.95/1
0.42/1
—
Gerso Fernandes n 840.3
2.85/2
0.83/0
—
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Incheon United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.32/0
Ju-yong Lee n 890
1.66/4
Kim Myung-Sun n 889
1.34/3
Chung-yong Lee n 875.8
0.73/2
Gerso Fernandes n 840.3
25/2
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Incheon United Attacking

Incheon United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chung-yong Lee18671206 min30.2 /9010.1 /90181.3 /9080.6 /90171.3 /9050.4 /90
Gerso Fernandes1751872 min20.2 /9000 /90171.8 /9080.8 /90131.3 /90101 /90
Stefan Mugoša16841342 min100.7 /9010.1 /90392.6 /90181.2 /90100.7 /9090.6 /90
Morgan Ferrier1354705 min50.6 /9000 /90162 /9081 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
Dong-ryul Lee1251616 min10.1 /9020.3 /90101.5 /9030.4 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90
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Incheon United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
Ju-yong Lee n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Kim Myung-Sun n 889
0.42/1
0.32/0
Chung-yong Lee n 875.8
1.96/4
15/1
Gerso Fernandes n 840.3
2.25/1
1.13/1
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Incheon United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Ju-yong Lee n 890
00/0
00/0
Kim Myung-Sun n 889
00/0
00/0
Chung-yong Lee n 875.8
0.32/0
00/0
Gerso Fernandes n 840.3
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Seoul v Incheon United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC SeoulWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Incheon UnitedDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Seoul 5 · 1 draw · Incheon United 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United
  • 2026-07-05 FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United
  • 2026-02-28 Incheon United 1–2 FC Seoul
  • 2024-07-27 Incheon United 0–1 FC Seoul
  • 2024-05-11 Incheon United 1–2 FC Seoul
  • 2024-03-10 FC Seoul 0–0 Incheon United
League standing · 2026
FC Seoul#1 pos67 pts33 pl+32 GD
Incheon United#6 pos46 pts33 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
FC Seoul scored1.85
Incheon United scored1.3
FC Seoul conceded0.88
Incheon United conceded1.06

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Seoul v Incheon United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Seoul v Incheon United is Total cards yellow under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Seoul and Incheon United?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Seoul won 5, Incheon United won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Seoul and Incheon United?
Recent form — FC Seoul 2W 2D 1L; Incheon United 2W 3D 0L.

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