Celta Vigo v Villarreal result

Full-time · Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal

La Liga · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 16:00 BST · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Villarreal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Celta Vigo 0.88, Villarreal 0.97 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Celta Vigo and Villarreal drew 1–1 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga on Sunday 31 August. Villarreal have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Villarreal: Nicolas Pépé (53’, assisted by Etta Eyong); Celta Vigo: Borja Iglesias (90’, assisted by Javi Rueda).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Borja Iglesias’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Celta Vigo: Miguel Román (67’); Villarreal: Pape Gueye (70’).

What it changes

Celta Vigo move down from 13th to 14th (four league matches played).

Villarreal move down from first to second (three league matches played).

Celta Vigo are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Villarreal are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal) 6.6, Juan Foyth (Villarreal) 5.4 and Etta Eyong (Villarreal) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Villarreal, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Celta Vigo next travel to Celtic on 22 October 2026.

Villarreal next travel to Liverpool on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta Vigo: Celtic v Celta Vigo, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Villarreal: Liverpool v Villarreal, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal · La Liga
Venue: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo
Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 2 · draws 1 · Villarreal 3 · 4.33 goals/game
Recent form: Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L · Villarreal 5W 0D 0L

Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.88

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.43 / 5

Corners

against 4.57 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.86 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 3.29 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.71 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Celta Vigo for / against	Line	Villarreal for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.14 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.86 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.71 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain.

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 8	41.6	3.2 6/4	2.4 4/2	—
Yoel Lago n 8	77.5	2.5 6/5	1.5 7/3	—
Borja Iglesias n 8	44	1.8 5/2	1.8 3/2	—
Fran Beltrán n 8	61	1.7 5/3	0.6 2/1	—
Hugo Sotelo n 8	41.5	1.6 4/1	0.3 1/0	T. Buchanan

Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ferran Jutglà n 8	62.3	2.9 6/4	1.3 5/2
Iago Aspas n 8	45	2.8 6/3	1.8 4/2
Alfon González n 8	65.8	2.1 6/3	1.7 5/3
Pablo Durán n 8	51.1	1.5 4/3	1.1 3/2
Borja Iglesias n 8	44	1.5 4/2	0.8 2/1

Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Iago Aspas n 8	45	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
Hugo Álvarez n 8	50.9	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
W. Swedberg n 8	41.6	0.3 1/0	0.5 2/0
Borja Iglesias n 8	44	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
Alfon González n 8	65.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 8	83.1	3.9 7/6
Fran Beltrán n 8	61	2.6 6/4
Hugo Sotelo n 8	41.5	2.2 5/3
Yoel Lago n 8	77.5	2 7/5
Javi Rodríguez n 8	76.6	1.8 6/3

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Guaita n 8	90	2.5 4/3
I. Radu n 8	90	1.9 5/3

Villarreal

Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Yeremy Pino n 8	65	2.1 6/3	1.2 3/3	—
Alex Baena n 8	66.6	1.5 6/2	2.7 7/4	—
T. Buchanan n 8	38.5	1.5 5/0	4.1 7/4	Hugo Sotelo
S. Mouriño n 8	90	1.4 7/3	1.1 5/3	—
T. Partey n 8	74.1	1.4 5/2	0.8 4/1	—

Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ayoze Pérez n 8	71.3	2.5 7/6	1.6 7/3
P. Gueye n 8	58.6	2.5 6/4	1.3 4/2
Etta Eyong n 8	31.8	2.5 4/2	1.8 4/1
T. Buchanan n 8	38.5	2.3 5/1	1.2 2/1
Santi Comesaña n 8	72.1	1.9 6/4	0.5 2/1

Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Buchanan n 8	38.5	1.2 2/1	0.3 1/0
N. Pépé n 8	74.9	0.5 3/0	0.8 4/1
Ayoze Pérez n 8	71.3	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
Etta Eyong n 8	31.8	0.7 2/0	0.4 1/0
Yeremy Pino n 8	65	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0

Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Mouriño n 8	90	3.1 7/4
Santi Comesaña n 8	72.1	2.5 6/3
N. Pépé n 8	74.9	2.4 7/5
Yeremy Pino n 8	65	2.4 6/4
T. Partey n 8	74.1	2.3 6/4

Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 8	90	3.8 7/5
Diego Conde n 8	87.9	2.8 7/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta Vigo		Villarreal
65%	Possession	35%
0.96	Expected goals (xG)	1.04
10	Shots	8
2	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	4
4	Blocked shots	1
6	Shots inside the box	5
1	Corners	5
11	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
742	Passes	394
88%	Pass accuracy	81%

Celta Vigo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Radu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Carlos Domínguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Manu Fernández	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
Javi Rueda	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
Hugo Sotelo	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.7
Sergio Carreira	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
Javi Rodríguez	75	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Miguel Román	70	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.9
Iago Aspas	70	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	6.5
Pablo Durán	62	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Bryan Zaragoza	62	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Hugo Álvarez sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Borja Iglesias sub	28	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.2
I. Moriba sub	20	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
W. Swedberg sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
Óscar Mingueza sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5

Villarreal player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Luíz Júnior	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Mouriño	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
J. Foyth	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7.9
Rafa Marín	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
Sergi Cardona	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
Santi Comesaña	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
N. Pépé	85	1	0	2	2	3	1	0	7.6
T. Buchanan	78	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6.9
P. Gueye	77	0	0	2	0	1	1	Y	6.6
Etta Eyong	77	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	7.3
Alberto Moleiro	68	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.9
T. Partey sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Dani Parejo sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
T. Oluwaseyi sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Ilias Akhomach sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
Renato Veiga sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Villarreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Celta VigoLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

VillarrealWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Celta Vigo 2 · 1 draw · Villarreal 3 · 4.33 goals/game

2025-04-23 Celta Vigo 3–0 Villarreal
2024-08-26 Villarreal 4–3 Celta Vigo
2024-05-05 Celta Vigo 3–2 Villarreal
2023-12-20 Villarreal 3–2 Celta Vigo
2023-04-30 Villarreal 3–1 Celta Vigo
2023-01-13 Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal

League standing · 2025/26

Celta Vigo#6 pos54 pts38 pl+5 GD

Villarreal#3 pos72 pts38 pl+26 GD

Goals per game

Celta Vigo scored1.39

Villarreal scored1.89

Celta Vigo conceded1.26

Villarreal conceded1.21

Shot map and expected goals

Celta Vigo 0.88 xG from 10 shots, Villarreal 0.97 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Celta Vigo (attacking right)Villarreal (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Celta Vigo	10	1	0.88
Villarreal	8	1	0.97

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta Vigo v Villarreal?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Villarreal was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Villarreal?: In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Villarreal won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Villarreal?: Recent form — Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L; Villarreal 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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