Elche v Real Sociedad result
Team pages: Elche · Real Sociedad · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad — Real Sociedad won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said Elche: 2.93 to 0.88 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 70th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.
The result
Real Sociedad won 3–2 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Monday 7 September.
The goals
Real Sociedad led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Sociedad: Job Ochieng (11’, assisted by Carlos Soler), Y. Herrera (31’, assisted by Job Ochieng) and Luka Sučić (90’, assisted by Job Ochieng); Elche: Thomas Lemar (67’, assisted by Víctor Chust) and Fer Niño (74’, assisted by Tete Morente). Jon Martín (64’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luka Sučić’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain showed five yellow cards and one red — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Tete Morente (43’), Fer Niño (57’), Germán Valera (68’) and Thomas Lemar (90+7’); Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu (9’).
What it changes
Elche move down from 18th to 19th (four league matches played). Elche have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Elche have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
Real Sociedad move up from 11th to ninth (five league matches played). Real Sociedad have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Sociedad have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.
Elche are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Job Ochieng (Real Sociedad) 11.4, Luka Sučić (Real Sociedad) 9.8 and Fer Niño (Elche) 6.8 led the match.
Head-to-head
Real Sociedad are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Elche, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Elche or Real Sociedad (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).
Next up
Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.
Real Sociedad next host Rayo Vallecano on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
- Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 0 · draws 1 · Real Sociedad 5 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Elche 1W 2D 2L · Real Sociedad 1W 2D 2L
Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Elche for / against | Line | Real Sociedad for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.13 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.63 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 24.4 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Elche
Elche Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro | 3 | 90270 min | 72.3 /90 | 93 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Elche Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Affengruber | 3 | 90270 min | 31 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 31 /90 | 113.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Víctor Chust | 3 | 90270 min | 62 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 124 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Buba Sangaré | 3 | 88264 min | 62 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 103.4 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Germán Valera | 3 | 87261 min | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 103.4 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Redondo | 2 | 71141 min | 31.9 /90 | 31.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 53.2 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villar n 8 | 83 | 2.2 | 4.2 | — |
| Víctor Chust n 8 | 74.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | Zubeldia |
| D. Affengruber n 8 | 86 | 0.8 | 0.8 | — |
| M. Dituro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Buba Sangaré n 8 | 68.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | Sergio Gómez |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Víctor Chust n 8 | 74.4 | 2.1 |
| D. Affengruber n 8 | 86 | 1.7 |
| Gonzalo Villar n 8 | 83 | 1.6 |
| Buba Sangaré n 8 | 68.4 | 2.8 |
| Germán Valera n 8 | 80.6 | 1.7 |
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Elche Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fer Niño | 3 | 76228 min | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 41.6 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 |
| Tete Morente | 3 | 46139 min | 00 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| L. Cepeda | 3 | 2677 min | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 33.5 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 11.2 /90 |
| E. Ponce | 2 | 3366 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Gonzalo Villar | 3 | 90270 min | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 31 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Affengruber n 8 | 86 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Víctor Chust n 8 | 74.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Gonzalo Villar n 8 | 83 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| M. Dituro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Buba Sangaré n 8 | 68.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Víctor Chust n 8 | 74.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Gonzalo Villar n 8 | 83 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Dituro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Affengruber n 8 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| Buba Sangaré n 8 | 68.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
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Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Remiro | 4 | 90360 min | 174.3 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Álex Remiro n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Real Sociedad Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Martín | 4 | 90360 min | 82 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 215.3 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Sergio Gómez | 4 | 86342 min | 61.6 /90 | 41.1 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 133.4 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| J. Aramburu | 4 | 82327 min | 123.3 /90 | 123.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 298 /90 | 185 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| Zubeldia | 4 | 76303 min | 103 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 175 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| Luken Beitia | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Martín n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Álex Remiro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Sergio Gómez n 8 | 77.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | Buba Sangaré |
| J. Aramburu n 8 | 73.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | — |
| Zubeldia n 8 | 78.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | Víctor Chust |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Martín n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| Sergio Gómez n 8 | 77.9 | 1.6 |
| J. Aramburu n 8 | 73.6 | 3.2 |
| Zubeldia n 8 | 78.4 | 2.4 |
| L. Sučić n 8 | 66.6 | 1.5 |
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Real Sociedad Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Óskarsson | 4 | 68272 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 4 | 67268 min | 00 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Alex Garcia | 3 | 2678 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 2 | 1835 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.6 /90 | 37.7 /90 |
| L. Sučić | 4 | 71284 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.6 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Martín n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Álex Remiro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Sergio Gómez n 8 | 77.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| J. Aramburu n 8 | 73.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Zubeldia n 8 | 78.4 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Martín n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Álex Remiro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Sergio Gómez n 8 | 77.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Aramburu n 8 | 73.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Zubeldia n 8 | 78.4 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Elche | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Possession | 41% |
| 2.47 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.58 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 496 | Passes | 361 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
Elche Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Víctor Chust | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Bigas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| J. Morcillo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Tete Morente | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Fer Niño | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Y | 7.9 |
| Buba Sangaré | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Germán Valera | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| Gonzalo Villar | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Buonanotte | 55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Ponce | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Osorio sub | 35 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Lemar sub | 35 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Y | 8 |
| L. Cepeda sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Roy Revivo sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Josan sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Real Sociedad Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Marrero | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| J. Aramburu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Y | 6.6 |
| Zubeldia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Sergio Gómez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Ochieng | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Carlos Soler | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| L. Sučić | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Y. Herrera | 70 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Sarr | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Alex Garcia sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jon Gorrotxategi sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jon Pacheco sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Héctor Fort sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jon Martín sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | R | 4.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Elche v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-07 Real Sociedad 3–1 Elche
- 2025-11-07 Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad
- 2023-03-19 Real Sociedad 2–0 Elche
- 2022-08-27 Elche 0–1 Real Sociedad
- 2022-04-10 Elche 1–2 Real Sociedad
- 2021-09-26 Real Sociedad 1–0 Elche
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Elche 2.93 xG from 20 shots, Real Sociedad 0.88 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 20 | 2 | 2.93 |
| Real Sociedad | 13 | 3 | 0.88 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Elche 0.23, Real Sociedad 0.34. At full time, Elche led on xG, 2.93 to 0.88. The widest gap was 2.17 xG to Elche, in the 91st minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Elche v Real Sociedad?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Real Sociedad was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Unibet).
- What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Real Sociedad?
- In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 0, Real Sociedad won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Elche and Real Sociedad?
- Recent form — Elche 1W 2D 2L; Real Sociedad 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.