ElcheReal Sociedad

Elche v Real Sociedad result

Full-time · Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad

La Liga · · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad — Real Sociedad won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Elche: 2.93 to 0.88 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 70th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Real Sociedad won 3–2 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Monday 7 September.

The goals

Real Sociedad led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Sociedad: Job Ochieng (11’, assisted by Carlos Soler), Y. Herrera (31’, assisted by Job Ochieng) and Luka Sučić (90’, assisted by Job Ochieng); Elche: Thomas Lemar (67’, assisted by Víctor Chust) and Fer Niño (74’, assisted by Tete Morente). Jon Martín (64’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luka Sučić’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain showed five yellow cards and one red — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Tete Morente (43’), Fer Niño (57’), Germán Valera (68’) and Thomas Lemar (90+7’); Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu (9’).

What it changes

Elche move down from 18th to 19th (four league matches played). Elche have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Elche have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Real Sociedad move up from 11th to ninth (five league matches played). Real Sociedad have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Sociedad have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Elche are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Job Ochieng (Real Sociedad) 11.4, Luka Sučić (Real Sociedad) 9.8 and Fer Niño (Elche) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Sociedad are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Elche, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Elche or Real Sociedad (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Real Sociedad next host Rayo Vallecano on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
  • Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 0 · draws 1 · Real Sociedad 5 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Elche 1W 2D 2L · Real Sociedad 1W 2D 2L

Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 2 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.63
Corners
against 3.13 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.8 yellows
Referee · Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
24.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameElche for / againstLineReal Sociedad for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.63 for · 15.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 24.4 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dituro390270 min72.3 /9093 /9000 /90
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
2.56/4

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Affengruber390270 min31 /9051.7 /9031 /90113.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Víctor Chust390270 min62 /9041.3 /9000 /90124 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Buba Sangaré388264 min62 /9010.3 /9000 /90103.4 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Germán Valera387261 min20.7 /9000 /9000 /90103.4 /9031 /9000 /90
F. Redondo271141 min31.9 /9031.9 /9000 /9053.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gonzalo Villar n 883
2.27/7
4.28/8
—
Víctor Chust n 874.4
1.15/2
0.21/0
Zubeldia
D. Affengruber n 886
0.85/1
0.83/3
—
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Buba Sangaré n 868.4
2.88/6
1.34/2
Sergio Gómez
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Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 874.4
2.16/6
D. Affengruber n 886
1.76/5
Gonzalo Villar n 883
1.67/4
Buba Sangaré n 868.4
2.87/5
Germán Valera n 880.6
1.77/2
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Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Fer Niño376228 min10.4 /9000 /9041.6 /9031.2 /9000 /9010.4 /90
Tete Morente346139 min00 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
L. Cepeda32677 min00 /9011.2 /9033.5 /9022.3 /9022.3 /9011.2 /90
E. Ponce23366 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /90
Gonzalo Villar390270 min00 /9010.3 /9031 /9031 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
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Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Affengruber n 886
0.75/0
00/0
Víctor Chust n 874.4
0.64/0
0.21/0
Gonzalo Villar n 883
0.53/1
0.42/1
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
Buba Sangaré n 868.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 874.4
0.21/0
00/0
Gonzalo Villar n 883
00/0
0.11/0
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Affengruber n 886
00/0
00/0
Buba Sangaré n 868.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad Goalkeeper

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álex Remiro490360 min174.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
3.98/5

Real Sociedad Defensive

Real Sociedad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jon Martín490360 min82 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90215.3 /9041 /9000 /90
Sergio Gómez486342 min61.6 /9041.1 /9020.5 /90133.4 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
J. Aramburu482327 min123.3 /90123.3 /9000 /90298 /90185 /9020.6 /90
Zubeldia476303 min103 /9051.5 /9000 /90175 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
Luken Beitia19090 min00 /9022 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
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Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jon Martín n 890
14/2
0.65/0
—
Álex Remiro n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
Sergio Gómez n 877.9
0.94/2
0.32/0
Buba Sangaré
J. Aramburu n 873.6
3.88/6
1.75/3
—
Zubeldia n 878.4
1.46/3
0.11/0
Víctor Chust
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Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jon Martín n 890
1.66/4
Sergio Gómez n 877.9
1.67/3
J. Aramburu n 873.6
3.26/6
Zubeldia n 878.4
2.47/5
L. Sučić n 866.6
1.53/3
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Real Sociedad Attacking

Real Sociedad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Óskarsson468272 min10.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Mikel Oyarzabal467268 min00 /9020.7 /9051.7 /9041.3 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
Alex Garcia32678 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /90
Gonçalo Guedes21835 min00 /9000 /9012.6 /9000 /9012.6 /9037.7 /90
L. Sučić471284 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
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Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jon Martín n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
Álex Remiro n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Gómez n 877.9
0.63/1
00/0
J. Aramburu n 873.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
Zubeldia n 878.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jon Martín n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Álex Remiro n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Gómez n 877.9
00/0
0.43/0
J. Aramburu n 873.6
00/0
00/0
Zubeldia n 878.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ElcheReal Sociedad
59%Possession41%
2.47Expected goals (xG)0.58
20Shots13
10Shots on target6
8Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box8
6Corners7
2Offsides1
9Fouls8
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
3Saves8
496Passes361
89%Pass accuracy83%

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro9000000005.9
Víctor Chust9001111006.7
Bigas9000110005.5
J. Morcillo9000000206.3
Tete Morente90011020Y6.2
Fer Niño90103321Y7.9
Buba Sangaré8100001206.3
Germán Valera81001030Y7.2
Gonzalo Villar7000001306.9
F. Buonanotte5500210106.2
E. Ponce5500100006.5
A. Osorio sub3500312006.2
T. Lemar sub35102113Y8
L. Cepeda sub2000222107.5
Roy Revivo sub900100106.3
Josan sub900003006.9

Real Sociedad Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Unai Marrero9000000008.6
J. Aramburu90001115Y6.6
Zubeldia9000000406.2
Sergio Gómez9000001306.9
J. Ochieng9012323108.2
Carlos Soler9001002007
L. Sučić9010321408.3
Y. Herrera7010310007.6
Mikel Oyarzabal7000000106.9
M. Sarr5800000107.2
Gonçalo Guedes5800101106.7
Alex Garcia sub2300000106.3
Jon Gorrotxategi sub2000000006.3
Jon Pacheco sub2000000106.7
Héctor Fort sub900000106.9
Jon Martín sub6000000R4.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Elche v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ElcheWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Real SociedadDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Elche 0 · 1 draw · Real Sociedad 5 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Real Sociedad 3–1 Elche
  • 2025-11-07 Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2023-03-19 Real Sociedad 2–0 Elche
  • 2022-08-27 Elche 0–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2022-04-10 Elche 1–2 Real Sociedad
  • 2021-09-26 Real Sociedad 1–0 Elche
League standing · 2026/27
Elche#17 pos10 pts11 pl-4 GD
Real Sociedad#5 pos19 pts11 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Elche scored1.27
Real Sociedad scored1.82
Elche conceded1.64
Real Sociedad conceded1.82

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Elche 2.93 xG from 20 shots, Real Sociedad 0.88 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Roy Revivo 91' · 0.39 xGVictor Chust 79' · 0.29 xGAbiel Osorio 80' · 0.28 xGAbiel Osorio 55' · 0.21 xGAbiel Osorio 83' · 0.14 xGJob Ochieng 93' · 0.12 xGEzequiel Ponce 23' · 0.11 xGYangel Herrera 50' · 0.11 xGFernando Niño 88' · 0.09 xGThomas Lemar 64' · 0.08 xGJob Ochieng 66' · 0.07 xGFacundo Buonanotte 45' · 0.07 xGThomas Lemar 56' · 0.06 xGLuka Sucic 46' · 0.06 xGFernando Niño 91' · 0.06 xGTete Morente 73' · 0.04 xGFernando Niño 75' · 0.03 xGGerman Valera 25' · 0.03 xGLucas Cepeda 82' · 0.03 xGLuka Sucic 14' · 0.03 xGGonçalo Guedes 0' · 0.02 xGJob Ochieng 87' · 0.02 xGFacundo Buonanotte 20' · 0.02 xGPedro Bigas 70' · 0.02 xGJon Aramburu 48' · 0.02 xGLuka Sucic 13' · 0.02 xGLucas Cepeda 70' · 0.02 xGYangel Herrera 10' · 0.02 xGFernando Niño 73' · 0.95 xG · goalJob Ochieng 10' · 0.18 xG · goalLuka Sucic 89' · 0.13 xG · goalYangel Herrera 31' · 0.07 xG · goalThomas Lemar 66' · 0.02 xG · goal
Elche (attacking right)Real Sociedad (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Elche2022.93
Real Sociedad1330.88

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Elche 0.23, Real Sociedad 0.34. At full time, Elche led on xG, 2.93 to 0.88. The widest gap was 2.17 xG to Elche, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.91.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Sociedad 10 minGoal - Real Sociedad 31 minGoal - Elche 66 minGoal - Elche 73 minGoal - Real Sociedad 89 min
Elche 2.93 xGReal Sociedad 0.88 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Elche v Real Sociedad?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Real Sociedad was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Real Sociedad?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 0, Real Sociedad won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Elche and Real Sociedad?
Recent form — Elche 1W 2D 2L; Real Sociedad 1W 2D 2L.

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