This Matchweek

Real BetisReal Madrid

Real Betis v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid

La Liga · · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Betis · Real Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid — Real Betis won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 3.65 to 0.90 in expected goals, 0.74 of it from a penalty, from 20 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0 at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla in La Liga on Friday 4 September. Real Betis have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Betis: Troy Parrott (81’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Troy Parrott’s goal on 81 minutes.

Discipline

Alejandro Hernandez, Spain showed seven yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Betis: Facundo Bernal (64’), Marc Roca (83’) and Natan (90+3’); Real Madrid: Arda Güler (45+3’), Ibrahima Konaté (54’), Eduardo Camavinga (61’) and Vinícius Júnior (90+9’).

What it changes

Real Betis move up from fifth to third (four league matches played). Real Betis have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Betis have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid move down from first to second (four league matches played). Real Madrid have scored 28 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Álvaro Vallés (Real Betis) 10.8, Héctor Bellerín (Real Betis) 6.2 and Troy Parrott (Real Betis) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Real Betis next travel to Elche on 8 November 2026.

Real Madrid next travel to Valencia on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Betis: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla · Sevilla
  • Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Betis 1 · draws 3 · Real Madrid 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Betis 3W 0D 2L · Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L

Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5 yellows
Referee · Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
24.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Betis for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
2.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 15.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain — 5 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 24.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Betis

Real Betis Goalkeeper

Real Betis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álvaro Vallés390270 min103.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
4.17/7

Real Betis Defensive

Real Betis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fran García370211 min52.1 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90104.3 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
Héctor Bellerín366199 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9000 /9010.5 /90
Marc Bartra290180 min42 /9042 /9031.5 /90136.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Natan290180 min42 /9000 /9021 /90126 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Diego Llorente19090 min00 /9055 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
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Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Antony n 882
1.25/3
1.46/4
Vinícius Júnior
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Facundo Bernal n 374
0.41/0
0.82/0
F. Valverde
Fran García n 370.3
0.91/1
0.91/1
Dean Huijsen
Pablo Fornals n 870.6
1.14/2
0.53/0
Vinícius Júnior
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Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Antony n 882
2.38/7
Facundo Bernal n 374
22/1
Fran García n 370.3
2.12/2
Pablo Fornals n 870.6
15/1
Rodrigo Riquelme n 845.4
25/3
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Real Betis Attacking

Real Betis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Hernández361184 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9042 /9031.5 /90
T. Parrott23876 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /90
Pablo García22040 min00 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /9036.8 /9000 /90
A. Ezzalzouli11616 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015.6 /90
Antony390270 min00 /9000 /9093 /9051.7 /9051.7 /9072.3 /90
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Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Antony n 882
2.78/6
1.26/3
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
Facundo Bernal n 374
1.22/1
0.41/0
Fran García n 370.3
00/0
00/0
Pablo Fornals n 870.6
1.67/3
0.32/0
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Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Antony n 882
0.11/0
0.11/0
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
Facundo Bernal n 374
00/0
00/0
Fran García n 370.3
00/0
0.41/0
Pablo Fornals n 870.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
2.85/3

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90124 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Marc Cucurella354161 min63.4 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9084.5 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Konaté290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90105 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
D. Dumfries285170 min52.6 /9021.1 /9000 /9063.2 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Álvaro Fernández255109 min21.7 /9021.7 /9000 /9054.1 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.73/2
1.36/3
—
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
0.63/1
0.64/0
Fran García
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
—
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
1.67/3
3.16/5
Pablo Fornals
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
Facundo Bernal
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
1.14/3
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.11/0
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
0.32/0
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.15/3
J. Bellingham n 876.5
1.96/4
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé390270 min41.3 /9000 /90186 /90144.7 /9041.3 /90113.7 /90
Y. Diomande22651 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9023.5 /9023.5 /90
Vinícius Júnior388264 min10.3 /9020.7 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9062 /9082.7 /90
F. Valverde386257 min00 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90
J. Bellingham382245 min20.7 /9020.7 /9072.6 /9041.5 /9072.6 /9072.6 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
5.28/8
2.96/5
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
1.67/4
15/3
F. Valverde n 888.4
17/1
0.85/1
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.84/1
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
00/0
00/0
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
0.64/1
0.32/0
F. Valverde n 888.4
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real BetisReal Madrid
42%Possession58%
0.93Expected goals (xG)3.46
10Shots20
5Shots on target8
2Shots off target9
3Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box16
6Corners10
1Offsides2
11Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
6Saves4
412Passes585
87%Pass accuracy92%

Real Betis Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Álvaro Vallés90000000010
Héctor Bellerín9000001707.5
Pablo Fornals9000003107.3
Fran García9000000207.3
Natan90000001Y7.3
Marc Roca90000003Y7.3
Antony7700211006.9
Facundo Bernal68000004Y7
C. Hernández6800100006.5
Isco6000001006.7
Diego Llorente3900000106.9
Marc Bartra sub5100110407.9
Álvaro Fidalgo sub3000000206.9
N. Deossa sub2200220006.7
T. Parrott sub2210110107.3
Rodrigo Riquelme sub1300000006.3

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Konaté90000001Y6.3
Kylian Mbappé9000640006
Vinícius Júnior90003140Y7
Dean Huijsen9000211107.6
J. Bellingham9000313107.2
Thibaut Courtois9000000006.6
Marc Cucurella8800000006.9
F. Valverde8200000106.6
A. Güler64002070Y7.5
D. Dumfries6400002006.7
Eduardo Camavinga64000000Y6.9
Y. Diomande sub2600000006.3
Trent Alexander-Arnold sub2600001106.3
Bernardo Silva sub2600001106.7
Álvaro Fernández sub1100000006.9
Carlos Espí sub800110006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Betis v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real BetisLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Real MadridWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Betis 1 · 3 draws · Real Madrid 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-24 Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid
  • 2026-01-04 Real Madrid 5–1 Real Betis
  • 2025-03-01 Real Betis 2–1 Real Madrid
  • 2024-09-01 Real Madrid 2–0 Real Betis
  • 2024-05-25 Real Madrid 0–0 Real Betis
  • 2023-12-09 Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid
League standing · 2026/27
Real Betis#4 pos23 pts11 pl+3 GD
Real Madrid#3 pos27 pts11 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Real Betis scored1.64
Real Madrid scored2.55
Real Betis conceded1.36
Real Madrid conceded0.91

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Real Betis 0.90 xG from 10 shots, Real Madrid 3.65 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 93' · 0.74 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 42' · 0.54 xGVinícius Júnior 32' · 0.52 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 42' · 0.50 xGVinícius Júnior 14' · 0.29 xGDean Huijsen 10' · 0.25 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 67' · 0.14 xGCarlos Espí 95' · 0.10 xGVinícius Júnior 7' · 0.09 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 23' · 0.09 xGJude Bellingham 45' · 0.08 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 20' · 0.06 xGDean Huijsen 50' · 0.05 xGJude Bellingham 43' · 0.05 xGJude Bellingham 4' · 0.05 xGVinícius Júnior 11' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 84' · 0.04 xGAntony 26' · 0.04 xGIsco 49' · 0.03 xGAntony 51' · 0.02 xGArda Güler 41' · 0.02 xGNelson Deossa 91' · 0.02 xGFederico Valverde 12' · 0.02 xGNelson Deossa 80' · 0.02 xGAntony 7' · 0.02 xGAntony 17' · 0.02 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 46' · 0.01 xGMarc Bartra 97' · 0.01 xGArda Güler 10' · 0.01 xGTroy Parrott 80' · 0.67 xG · goal
Real Betis (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Betis1010.90
Real Madrid2003.65

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Madrid led on xG, 2.55 to 0.13. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 3.65 to 0.90, 0.74 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.76 xG to Real Madrid, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.61.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Betis 80 min
Real Betis 0.90 xGReal Madrid 3.65 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Betis v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Betis v Real Madrid was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Betis won 1, Real Madrid won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Betis and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Real Betis 3W 0D 2L; Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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