Real MadridAlaves

Real Madrid v Alaves result

Full-time · Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves

La Liga · · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Alaves · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Real Madrid 1.53, Alaves 1.66 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid beat Alaves 2–1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Tuesday 21 April. Real Madrid have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Alaves have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (30’, assisted by Arda Güler) and Vinícius Júnior (50’, assisted by F. Valverde); Alaves: Toni Martínez (90’, assisted by Guevara).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kylian Mbappé’s goal on 30 minutes.

Discipline

J. Martinez showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Madrid: Aurélien Tchouaméni (35’); Alaves: Angel Pérez (90’).

What it changes

Real Madrid stay second after this result (32 league matches played).

Alaves move down from 15th to 17th (32 league matches played).

Alaves are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 9.8, Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) 9.5 and Toni Martínez (Alaves) 7.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Alaves, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 2 of 4 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Real Madrid next travel to Valencia on 7 November 2026.

Alaves next travel to Anaitasuna on 10 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Alaves: Anaitasuna v Alaves, Tuesday 10 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
  • Referee: J. Martinez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 6 · draws 0 · Alaves 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid 1W 1D 3L · Alaves 1W 3D 1L

Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.38 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.38 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.63
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · J. Martinez
28.7 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReal Madrid for / againstLineAlaves for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
7.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.63 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: J. Martinez — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 28.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois47894185 min1423.1 /90461 /9000 /90
A. Lunin986772 min283.3 /90192.2 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
2.96/5
A. Lunin n 885.3
36/5

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen39803113 min531.5 /90341 /90220.6 /901604.6 /90320.9 /9080.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández35893127 min651.9 /90471.4 /90160.5 /901725 /90401.2 /9090.3 /90
Raúl Asencio33722360 min230.9 /90150.6 /90180.7 /90853.2 /90251 /9080.3 /90
A. Rüdiger25852122 min150.6 /9090.4 /90130.6 /90532.2 /90170.7 /9020.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold23751726 min341.8 /90211.1 /9050.3 /90472.5 /9080.4 /9020.1 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
0.63/1
2.77/6
Toni Martínez
A. Güler n 863.5
1.15/1
1.15/1
—
F. Valverde n 884.4
0.96/1
0.11/0
—
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
1.37/3
0.95/2
—
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
0.74/1
A. Güler n 863.5
2.87/5
F. Valverde n 884.4
27/4
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
2.48/7
Kylian Mbappé n 873.4
0.53/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior53794190 min180.4 /90110.2 /901252.7 /90681.5 /90891.9 /901222.6 /90
Kylian Mbappé41823369 min411.1 /9050.1 /901443.8 /90932.5 /90932.5 /90902.4 /90
Gonzalo García26601565 min100.6 /9020.1 /90281.6 /90201.2 /90140.8 /9050.3 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
Daniel Yañez13232 min00 /9012.8 /9000 /9000 /9025.6 /9000 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
4.27/6
2.25/5
A. Güler n 863.5
1.45/3
0.94/1
F. Valverde n 884.4
27/5
1.77/4
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
1.46/4
0.53/1
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
0.62/2
0.11/0
A. Güler n 863.5
0.52/1
00/0
F. Valverde n 884.4
0.95/1
00/0
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sivera31902790 min822.6 /90461.5 /9000 /90
Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sivera n 890
2.87/5

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Tenaglia32902885 min571.8 /90361.1 /90240.7 /901414.4 /90280.9 /9020.1 /90
Jonny32862751 min602 /90371.2 /90110.4 /901424.6 /90341.1 /9050.2 /90
Jon Pacheco24832001 min391.8 /90130.6 /90210.9 /90934.2 /90160.7 /9060.3 /90
Víctor Parada21801679 min261.4 /9070.4 /9070.4 /90693.7 /90261.4 /9080.4 /90
Yusi20721445 min171.1 /90140.9 /9020.1 /90603.7 /90281.7 /9070.4 /90
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Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Toni Martínez n 885.6
28/5
1.26/3
Vinícius Júnior
N. Tenaglia n 889.9
1.16/2
15/2
—
Jonny n 888.4
1.15/3
1.36/3
—
Carles Aleñá n 862.6
2.36/4
1.14/2
—
Sivera n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 885.6
1.15/2
N. Tenaglia n 889.9
1.66/3
Jonny n 888.4
1.96/5
Carles Aleñá n 862.6
1.34/2
Antonio Blanco n 884
2.47/6
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Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Toni Martínez33752470 min110.4 /9030.1 /90692.5 /90311.1 /90210.8 /90190.7 /90
L. Boyé25731815 min100.5 /9010 /90462.3 /90201 /90231.1 /90381.9 /90
Carlos Vicente24611473 min80.5 /9010.1 /90150.9 /90100.6 /90301.8 /90110.7 /90
A. Rebbach21531121 min20.2 /9010.1 /90201.6 /9090.7 /90201.6 /90131 /90
M. Díaz841327 min00 /9000 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
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Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 885.6
37/6
1.24/3
N. Tenaglia n 889.9
0.31/1
0.31/1
Jonny n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
Carles Aleñá n 862.6
1.15/1
0.21/0
Sivera n 890
00/0
00/0
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Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 885.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
N. Tenaglia n 889.9
00/0
00/0
Jonny n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Carles Aleñá n 862.6
00/0
0.21/0
Sivera n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real MadridAlaves
61%Possession39%
1.62Expected goals (xG)1.76
24Shots19
8Shots on target5
9Shots off target7
7Blocked shots7
12Shots inside the box13
9Corners6
4Offsides1
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves5
631Passes399
90%Pass accuracy83%

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Lunin9000000007.7
Dean Huijsen9000000208.7
Álvaro Fernández9000001507
F. Valverde9001101207.2
Kylian Mbappé9010644008.2
Vinícius Júnior9010325009.5
Trent Alexander-Arnold6300101007.3
A. Tchouaméni63001100Y6.9
J. Bellingham5800101107.6
A. Güler5801003107.7
Éder Militão4400101207
A. Rüdiger sub4600000007.2
Brahim Díaz sub3200111206
Franco Mastantuono sub3200200006.3
Dani Carvajal sub2700000006.2
Eduardo Camavinga sub2700000006.7

Alaves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sivera9000000005.9
Angel Pérez90000041Y6.2
Jonny9000110406.6
N. Tenaglia9000000307.5
Víctor Parada9000100106.7
Toni Martínez9010642106.3
Antonio Blanco7500001207.2
Yusi6600001006.3
L. Boyé6600002205.9
Jon Guridi5800000206.2
Denis Suárez5800001006.3
Carles Aleñá sub3200102006.6
Pablo Ibáñez sub3200101407
Calebe sub2400001006.6
I. Diabate sub2400100006.5
Guevara sub1501102006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Alaves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real MadridWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
AlavesLDWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Madrid 6 · 0 draws · Alaves 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-04-13 Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid
  • 2024-09-24 Real Madrid 3–2 Alaves
  • 2024-05-14 Real Madrid 5–0 Alaves
  • 2023-12-21 Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid
  • 2022-02-19 Real Madrid 3–0 Alaves
League standing · 2025/26
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Alaves#14 pos43 pts38 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Real Madrid scored2.03
Alaves scored1.16
Real Madrid conceded0.92
Alaves conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.53 xG from 24 shots, Alaves 1.66 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Victor Parada 81' · 0.35 xGJude Bellingham 48' · 0.18 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 41' · 0.13 xGLucas Boyé 2' · 0.12 xGVinícius Júnior 66' · 0.12 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 31' · 0.12 xGEder Militão 43' · 0.10 xGPablo Ibáñez 88' · 0.10 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 60' · 0.09 xGCarles Aleñá 84' · 0.09 xGAntonio Martínez 49' · 0.09 xGTrent Alexander-Arnold 23' · 0.08 xGAurelien Tchouameni 48' · 0.08 xGAntonio Martínez 76' · 0.08 xGFranco Mastantuono 61' · 0.08 xGVinícius Júnior 91' · 0.07 xGÁngel Pérez 88' · 0.07 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 60' · 0.06 xGFranco Mastantuono 79' · 0.06 xGAntonio Blanco 53' · 0.05 xGAntonio Martínez 81' · 0.05 xGAntonio Martínez 49' · 0.05 xGFederico Valverde 7' · 0.05 xGBrahim Diaz 61' · 0.04 xGAnder Guevara 92' · 0.04 xGAurelien Tchouameni 5' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 49' · 0.03 xGJon Guridi 28' · 0.03 xGVinícius Júnior 33' · 0.03 xGJonny 92' · 0.03 xGJude Bellingham 6' · 0.03 xGTrent Alexander-Arnold 31' · 0.03 xGIbrahim Diabate 69' · 0.02 xGArda Güler 47' · 0.02 xGCarles Aleñá 70' · 0.02 xGAntonio Martínez 8' · 0.02 xGNahuel Tenaglia 16' · 0.02 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 71' · 0.01 xGAntonio Blanco 69' · 0.01 xGJude Bellingham 35' · 0.01 xGAntonio Martínez 92' · 0.42 xG · goalKylian Mbappe-Lottin 29' · 0.03 xG · goalVinícius Júnior 49' · 0.02 xG · goal
Real Madrid (attacking right)Alaves (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Madrid2421.53
Alaves1911.66

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Madrid led on xG, 0.65 to 0.19. At full time, xG was level: Real Madrid 1.53, Alaves 1.66. The widest gap was 1.01 xG to Real Madrid, in the 66th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 29 minGoal - Real Madrid 49 minGoal - Alaves 92 min
Real Madrid 1.53 xGAlaves 1.66 xGdots = goals · 43 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid v Alaves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Alaves was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Alaves?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 6, Alaves won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Alaves?
Recent form — Real Madrid 1W 1D 3L; Alaves 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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