Real MadridAthletic Club

Real Madrid v Athletic Club result

Full-time · Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club

La Liga · · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Athletic Club · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home offsides under 3.5.

Free pick
Home offsides under 3.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.95 to 1.45 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 48th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid beat Athletic Club 4–2 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Saturday 23 May.

The goals

Real Madrid led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Gonzalo García (12’, assisted by Dani Carvajal), Jude Bellingham (41’, assisted by Thiago Pitarch), Kylian Mbappé (51’, assisted by Álvaro Fernández) and Brahim Díaz (88’, assisted by Thiago Pitarch); Athletic Club: Gorka Guruzeta (45’, assisted by Iñaki Williams) and Urko Izeta (90’, assisted by Iñaki Williams).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gonzalo García’s goal on 12 minutes.

Discipline

J. Martinez showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Madrid: Thiago Pitarch (3’) and Jude Bellingham (20’).

What it changes

Real Madrid stay second after this result (38 league matches played). Real Madrid have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Athletic Club move down from ninth to 12th (38 league matches played). Athletic Club have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Athletic Club have conceded 13 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions. Athletic Club are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid) 9.4, Iñaki Williams (Athletic Club) 8.4 and Álvaro Fernández (Real Madrid) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Real Madrid offsides under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 21 November 2026.

Athletic Club next host Espanyol on 20 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Athletic Club: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Friday 20 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
  • Referee: J. Martinez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 4 · draws 1 · Athletic Club 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid 3W 1D 1L · Athletic Club 1W 1D 3L

Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.13 / 7.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.94 yellows
Referee · J. Martinez
26.53 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Madrid for / againstLineAthletic Club for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: J. Martinez — 3.94 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.53 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois50894455 min1543.1 /90481 /9000 /90
A. Lunin12871042 min383.3 /90211.8 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
3.56/5
A. Lunin n 890
3.16/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen43803456 min571.5 /90360.9 /90270.7 /901734.5 /90340.9 /9090.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández37893307 min711.9 /90481.3 /90160.4 /901835 /90441.2 /9090.2 /90
Raúl Asencio35732540 min250.9 /90160.6 /90200.7 /90893.2 /90260.9 /9090.3 /90
A. Rüdiger30842528 min180.6 /90100.4 /90150.5 /90612.2 /90190.7 /9020.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold28762123 min381.6 /90231 /9060.3 /90612.6 /90130.6 /9050.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 887.6
1.77/4
2.76/5
—
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.65/0
0.32/0
Mikel Jauregizar
A. Güler n 862
0.94/1
1.66/2
—
A. Tchouaméni n 880.1
1.47/3
0.84/2
—
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 887.6
0.42/1
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.57/3
A. Güler n 862
2.77/4
A. Tchouaméni n 880.1
27/5
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.43/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior59804711 min230.4 /90110.2 /901362.6 /90761.5 /901052 /901342.6 /90
Kylian Mbappé45813651 min421 /9060.1 /901583.9 /90982.4 /901012.5 /90992.4 /90
Gonzalo García29601750 min110.6 /9030.2 /90331.7 /90211.1 /90180.9 /9060.3 /90
Franco Mastantuono23581323 min30.2 /9000 /90352.4 /90130.9 /90181.2 /90281.9 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 887.6
2.28/6
1.46/4
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.57/3
1.36/3
A. Güler n 862
1.34/3
0.94/1
A. Tchouaméni n 880.1
15/2
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 887.6
0.64/1
0.11/0
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Güler n 862
0.52/1
0.21/0
A. Tchouaméni n 880.1
00/0
00/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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Athletic Club

Athletic Club Goalkeeper

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Unai Simón46904140 min1272.8 /90731.6 /9020 /90
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 890
2.57/3

Athletic Club Defensive

Athletic Club — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dani Vivian38833148 min702 /90401.1 /90170.5 /901343.8 /90481.4 /9090.3 /90
Yuri38823122 min521.5 /90401.2 /9070.2 /901684.8 /90300.9 /9050.1 /90
Aymeric Laporte30812434 min331.2 /90271 /90170.6 /901204.4 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
Jesús Areso30621857 min401.9 /90211 /9090.4 /90984.7 /90261.3 /9050.2 /90
Aitor Paredes26892317 min381.5 /90421.6 /9090.3 /90993.8 /90381.5 /9090.3 /90
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Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Mikel Jauregizar n 863.1
25/2
0.53/0
F. Valverde
Gorka Guruzeta n 875.5
1.66/3
0.42/1
—
Ruíz de Galarreta n 863.3
1.44/2
1.86/2
—
Álex Berenguer n 860.3
1.76/2
0.62/1
—
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Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 863.1
1.24/2
Gorka Guruzeta n 875.5
12/2
Ruíz de Galarreta n 863.3
2.36/5
Álex Berenguer n 860.3
1.33/2
Robert Navarro n 845.5
1.54/1
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Athletic Club Attacking

Athletic Club — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gorka Guruzeta44682994 min140.4 /9030.1 /90732.2 /90391.2 /90341 /90100.3 /90
Nico Serrano1143472 min20.4 /9000 /90132.5 /9081.5 /90101.9 /90112.1 /90
Maroan Sannadi1035353 min10.3 /9000 /9071.8 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Urko Izeta345134 min00 /9000 /9032 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
A. Hierro22550 min00 /9000 /9023.6 /9011.8 /9011.8 /9011.8 /90
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Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Mikel Jauregizar n 863.1
0.92/1
0.52/1
Gorka Guruzeta n 875.5
2.47/6
1.25/3
Ruíz de Galarreta n 863.3
00/0
00/0
Álex Berenguer n 860.3
1.35/2
0.42/0
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Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Mikel Jauregizar n 863.1
00/0
00/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 875.5
0.43/0
0.31/1
Ruíz de Galarreta n 863.3
00/0
0.21/0
Álex Berenguer n 860.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real MadridAthletic Club
74%Possession26%
1.90Expected goals (xG)0.81
13Shots8
8Shots on target2
5Shots off target5
0Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box6
2Corners1
7Offsides2
6Fouls20
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Saves4
745Passes254
91%Pass accuracy69%

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thibaut Courtois9000000006.3
Raúl Asencio9000000006.6
Álvaro Fernández9001002006.9
Thiago Pitarch90022122Y7.3
F. Valverde9000110006.9
Kylian Mbappé9010520008.2
Dani Carvajal8401002006.6
Franco Mastantuono7400001006.6
J. Bellingham74102200Y7.6
Gonzalo García7410111007.5
D. Alaba7000100006.9
Dean Huijsen sub2000000006.2
Brahim Díaz sub1610110007.3
Dani Ceballos sub1600000006.5
A. Güler sub1600000006.7
M. Serrano sub800000006.2

Athletic Club Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Álex Padilla9000000005.2
Dani Vivian9000000305.7
Aitor Paredes9000000005.7
A. Boiro9000100006
I. Williams9002002106.9
Robert Navarro9000103006.5
Mikel Jauregizar8500000406.2
Gorka Guruzeta7410411007.2
Ruíz de Galarreta6000000006.3
Unai Gómez6000000006
Yeray4500000006.2
Gorosabel sub4500001005.9
Lekue sub3000000006.3
Alejandro Rego sub3000000006.7
Urko Izeta sub1610110007.3
Mikel Vesga sub50000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Athletic Club — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real MadridDWLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Athletic ClubLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Madrid 4 · 1 draw · Athletic Club 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-12-03 Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid
  • 2025-04-20 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club
  • 2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid
  • 2024-03-31 Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Club
  • 2023-08-12 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid
  • 2023-06-04 Real Madrid 1–1 Athletic Club
League standing · 2025/26
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Athletic Club#12 pos45 pts38 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Real Madrid scored2.03
Athletic Club scored1.13
Real Madrid conceded0.92
Athletic Club conceded1.53

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.95 xG from 13 shots, Athletic Club 1.45 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 61' · 0.52 xGGorka Guruzeta 56' · 0.25 xGGorka Guruzeta 27' · 0.10 xGThiago Pitarch 24' · 0.10 xGJude Bellingham 56' · 0.09 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 43' · 0.08 xGDavid Alaba 48' · 0.08 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 55' · 0.07 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 49' · 0.04 xGThiago Pitarch 34' · 0.04 xGGorka Guruzeta 2' · 0.03 xGRoberto Navarro 46' · 0.03 xGUrko Izeta 79' · 0.02 xGAdama Boiro 62' · 0.02 xGFederico Valverde 86' · 0.01 xGUrko Izeta 90' · 0.57 xG · goalBrahim Diaz 87' · 0.50 xG · goalGorka Guruzeta 45' · 0.43 xG · goalGonzalo García 11' · 0.30 xG · goalJude Bellingham 40' · 0.07 xG · goalKylian Mbappe-Lottin 50' · 0.04 xG · goal
Real Madrid (attacking right)Athletic Club (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Madrid1341.95
Athletic Club821.45

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Real Madrid 0.59, Athletic Club 0.57. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 1.95 to 1.45. The widest gap was 1.07 xG to Real Madrid, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.91.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 11 minGoal - Real Madrid 40 minGoal - Athletic Club 45 minGoal - Real Madrid 50 minGoal - Real Madrid 87 minGoal - Athletic Club 90 min
Real Madrid 1.95 xGAthletic Club 1.45 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid v Athletic Club?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Athletic Club was Home offsides under 3.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Athletic Club?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 4, Athletic Club won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Athletic Club?
Recent form — Real Madrid 3W 1D 1L; Athletic Club 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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