Real Sociedad v Valencia result

Full-time · Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia

La Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026 18:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Sociedad · Valencia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia — Valencia won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1470 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,350 times (65.1%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Valencia: 1.99 to 1.30 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 92nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Valencia won 4–3 at Real Sociedad in La Liga on Sunday 17 May. Real Sociedad are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Valencia are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Valencia led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Real Sociedad: Aihen Muñoz (3’, assisted by Elustondo) and Orri Óskarsson (63’, assisted by Mikel Oyarzabal); Valencia: Javi Guerra (8’, assisted by Diego López; 90’, assisted by Thierry Correia), Hugo Duro (22’, assisted by Eray Cömert), an own goal by César Tárrega (60’) and Guido Rodríguez (89’, assisted by André Almeida). Eray Cömert (70’) was sent off.

Discipline

I. Galech showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Sociedad: Arsen Zakharyan (25’), Beñat Turrientes (86’), Jon Martín (88’) and Zubeldia (88’).

What it changes

Real Sociedad move down from eighth to 10th (37 league matches played). Real Sociedad have scored nine goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Real Sociedad have conceded 12 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Valencia move up from 12th to ninth (37 league matches played). Valencia have scored nine goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Valencia have conceded eight goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 37, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Javi Guerra (Valencia) 11.4, Guido Rodríguez (Valencia) 8.1 and Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Valencia, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1008 of 1470).

Next up

Real Sociedad next travel to Racing Santander on 22 November 2026.

Valencia next travel to Rayo Vallecano on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Sociedad: Racing Santander v Real Sociedad, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Valencia: Rayo Vallecano v Valencia, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia · La Liga
Referee: I. Galech
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Real Sociedad 3 · draws 1 · Valencia 2 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Real Sociedad 0W 3D 2L · Valencia 2W 2D 1L

Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.71 / 4.63

Corners

against 4.43 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.14 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 4.29 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3.29 / 1.5

Cards

against 3.86 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.88 yellows

Referee · I. Galech

29 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Real Sociedad for / against	Line	Valencia for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.71 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.71 for · 15.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.71 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.29 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: I. Galech — 3.88 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 29 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad Goalkeeper

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Álex Remiro	38	903420 min	1012.7 /90	581.5 /90	10 /90

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 8	90	3.6 6/6

Real Sociedad Defensive

Real Sociedad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Aramburu	37	813008 min	1123.4 /90	481.4 /90	100.3 /90	2286.8 /90	692.1 /90	110.3 /90
Sergio Gómez	36	802880 min	932.9 /90	391.2 /90	80.3 /90	1424.4 /90	471.5 /90	40.1 /90
Jon Martín	28	902520 min	331.2 /90	411.5 /90	281 /90	1515.4 /90	250.9 /90	50.2 /90
D. Ćaleta-Car	28	832324 min	240.9 /90	301.2 /90	261 /90	1244.8 /90	321.2 /90	70.3 /90
Zubeldia	24	872079 min	361.6 /90	231 /90	130.6 /90	913.9 /90	381.6 /90	80.3 /90
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Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Álex Remiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
J. Aramburu n 8	80.3	2.2 8/5	1.7 7/4	—
Sergio Gómez n 8	89.9	1 6/2	0.3 2/0	—
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	82	1.4 7/2	1.1 6/2	—
Carlos Soler n 8	78.1	0.4 3/0	1 6/1	Luis Rioja
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Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Aramburu n 8	80.3	2.5 7/6
Sergio Gómez n 8	89.9	1.8 5/4
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	82	0.8 4/2
Carlos Soler n 8	78.1	1.2 5/2
Jon Gorrotxategi n 8	65.3	2.6 6/3
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Real Sociedad Attacking

Real Sociedad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal	35	842937 min	170.5 /90	30.1 /90	652 /90	391.2 /90	461.4 /90	401.2 /90
O. Óskarsson	16	43691 min	70.9 /90	00 /90	182.3 /90	131.7 /90	50.7 /90	30.4 /90
U. Sadiq	3	46138 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
Jon Karrikaburu	3	34103 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
J. Ochieng	1	2525 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90
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Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Remiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Aramburu n 8	80.3	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
Sergio Gómez n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	82	1.6 5/4	1.1 5/2
Carlos Soler n 8	78.1	0.9 3/1	0.6 3/1
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Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Álex Remiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Aramburu n 8	80.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Gómez n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	82	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
Carlos Soler n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Dimitrievski	20	901800 min	522.6 /90	231.2 /90	10.1 /90
Julen Agirrezabala	19	901710 min	573 /90	301.6 /90	10.1 /90

Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	3 8/3
Julen Agirrezabala n 8	90	2.1 4/3

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
César Tárrega	31	832561 min	411.4 /90	311.1 /90	190.7 /90	1274.5 /90	411.4 /90	70.2 /90
José Gayà	31	792453 min	672.5 /90	230.8 /90	70.3 /90	1204.4 /90	311.1 /90	60.2 /90
Copete	24	801916 min	271.3 /90	221 /90	170.8 /90	854 /90	231.1 /90	60.3 /90
Thierry Correia	21	651356 min	291.9 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90	755 /90	281.9 /90	50.3 /90
E. Cömert	17	851439 min	271.7 /90	281.8 /90	60.4 /90	603.8 /90	90.6 /90	30.2 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Luis Rioja n 8	74.9	0.8 3/2	0.6 3/1	Carlos Soler
Hugo Duro n 8	46.8	1 3/1	1.9 6/2	—
César Tárrega n 8	90	1.4 6/4	0.9 4/2	—
José Gayà n 8	73.1	1.7 6/3	1.1 5/2	—
Pepelu n 8	68.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 4/1	—
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	74.9	1.8 4/4
Hugo Duro n 8	46.8	1 4/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0.9 5/1
José Gayà n 8	73.1	2.5 7/5
Pepelu n 8	68.3	2.1 6/4
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Hugo Duro	34	551878 min	90.4 /90	00 /90	281.3 /90	130.6 /90	150.7 /90	30.1 /90
A. Danjuma	29	581686 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	281.5 /90	150.8 /90	150.8 /90	281.5 /90
L. Beltrán	26	571469 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	241.5 /90	110.7 /90	140.9 /90	171 /90
L. Ramazani	22	601325 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	332.2 /90	181.2 /90	161.1 /90	201.4 /90
U. Sadiq	19	52990 min	60.5 /90	20.2 /90	242.2 /90	111 /90	80.7 /90	131.2 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	74.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Hugo Duro n 8	46.8	1.2 3/2	0.5 2/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
José Gayà n 8	73.1	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
Pepelu n 8	68.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Hugo Duro n 8	46.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
José Gayà n 8	73.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Pepelu n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real Sociedad		Valencia
55%	Possession	45%
1.15	Expected goals (xG)	1.67
8	Shots	13
3	Shots on target	6
5	Shots off target	5
0	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	9
3	Corners	2
5	Offsides	3
13	Fouls	11
4	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	1
2	Saves	1
487	Passes	408
84%	Pass accuracy	78%

Real Sociedad Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Álex Remiro	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Jon Martín	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6
Zubeldia	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
Beñat Turrientes	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
Carlos Soler	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	6.3
Pablo Marín	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Elustondo	84	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	5.9
O. Óskarsson	79	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	8
Aihen Muñoz	57	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
Brais Méndez	57	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
A. Zakharyan	57	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.7
Sergio Gómez sub	33	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
L. Sučić sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Mikel Oyarzabal sub	33	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	7.2
J. Aramburu sub	16	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Gonçalo Guedes sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Valencia Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Dimitrievski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
César Tárrega	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5.5
Jesús Vázquez	90	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	6.6
G. Rodríguez	90	1	0	2	1	0	4	0	8.5
Javi Guerra	90	2	0	4	3	1	1	0	9.2
Unai Núñez	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
Luis Rioja	74	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Diego López	74	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
F. Ugrinic	73	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Hugo Duro	73	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.6
E. Cömert	70	0	1	0	0	1	0	R	5.3
Thierry Correia sub	17	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7
André Almeida sub	17	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7
U. Sadiq sub	17	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Pepelu sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Ramazani sub	16	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Sociedad v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real SociedadLDLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

ValenciaDWLWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Real Sociedad 3 · 1 draw · Valencia 2 · 1.5 goals/game

2025-08-16 Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad
2025-01-19 Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad
2024-09-28 Real Sociedad 3–0 Valencia
2024-05-16 Real Sociedad 1–0 Valencia
2023-09-27 Valencia 0–1 Real Sociedad
2023-02-25 Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad

League standing · 2025/26

Real Sociedad#10 pos46 pts38 pl-2 GD

Valencia#9 pos49 pts38 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Real Sociedad scored1.55

Valencia scored1.21

Real Sociedad conceded1.61

Valencia conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Real Sociedad 1.30 xG from 8 shots, Valencia 1.99 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Real Sociedad (attacking right)Valencia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Real Sociedad	8	2	1.30
Valencia	14	4	1.99

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Sociedad led on xG, 0.86 to 0.45. At full time, Valencia led on xG, 1.99 to 1.30. The widest gap was 0.74 xG to Valencia, in the 96th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Real Sociedad 1.30 xGValencia 1.99 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Sociedad v Valencia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Sociedad v Valencia was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Valencia?: In their last 6 meetings, Real Sociedad won 3, Valencia won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Sociedad and Valencia?: Recent form — Real Sociedad 0W 3D 2L; Valencia 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.