Valencia v Almeria result
Team pages: Valencia · Almeria
Valencia 2–1 Almeria — Valencia won this La Liga match.
The result
Valencia beat Almeria 2–1 at Estadio de Mestalla in La Liga on Saturday 3 February. Almeria are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions.
The goals
Valencia led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Valencia: Hugo Duro (14’, assisted by Diego López) and Roman Yaremchuk (23’, assisted by Pepelu); Almeria: Sergio Arribas (50’, assisted by Álex Centelles). Léo Baptistão (-5’) was sent off.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Almeria out-shot Valencia 15 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.94 xG to 1.44 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
Discipline
The bookings — Valencia: Roman Yaremchuk (24’), Javi Guerra (25’), Cristhian Mosquera (62’) and Hugo Guillamón (73’); Almeria: Álex Centelles (61’), Edgar González (64’), Anthony Lozano (72’), Largie Ramazani (90+4’) and L. Robertone (90+4’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marc Pubill (Almeria) 6.5, Sergio Arribas (Almeria) 6.1 and Diego López (Valencia) 5.6 led the match.
Next up
Valencia next host Villarreal on 24 October 2026.
Almeria next host Oviedo on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Valencia: Valencia v Villarreal, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Almeria: Almeria v Oviedo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Valencia 2–1 Almeria · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia
- Referee: Alejandro Muniz Ruiz, Spain
- Head-to-head (last 3): Valencia 0 · draws 2 · Almeria 1 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Valencia 3W 0D 2L · Almeria 0W 1D 4L
Valencia 2–1 Almeria (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 January 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Valencia for / against | Line | Almeria for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.71 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.2 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.71 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 13.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.14 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.6 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.29 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.8 for · 10.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.71 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
Valencia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Marí n 8 | 16 | 4.2 | 1.4 | — |
| Hugo Guillamón n 8 | 71 | 3.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Hugo González n 8 | 17 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| S. Amallah n 8 | 44 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Javi Guerra n 8 | 59.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Yaremchuk n 8 | 34.1 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Hugo Duro n 8 | 85.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Sergi Canós n 8 | 40 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Hugo González n 8 | 17 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Pepelu n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diego López n 8 | 74.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Hugo González n 8 | 17 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Alberto Marí n 8 | 16 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Sergi Canós n 8 | 40 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| José Gayà n 8 | 67.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| José Gayà n 8 | 67.6 | 4 |
| Yarek Gasiorowski n 8 | 46.9 | 3.8 |
| Pepelu n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| Thierry Correia n 8 | 73 | 2.8 |
| Hugo Guillamón n 8 | 71 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| Jaume Doménech n 8 | 90.6 | 1.2 |
Almeria
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 43.1 | 3.4 | 1.6 | — |
| Arnau Puigmal n 8 | 32.1 | 2.5 | 1.1 | — |
| Melero n 8 | 32 | 2.5 | 1.4 | — |
| L. Romero n 8 | 23.4 | 2.4 | 2.9 | — |
| L. Suárez n 8 | 68.4 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez n 8 | 68.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| Lázaro n 8 | 15.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Sergio Arribas n 8 | 80.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Léo Baptistão n 8 | 84.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| L. Romero n 8 | 23.4 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez n 8 | 68.4 | 0.7 | 0 |
| L. Ramazani n 8 | 54.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Léo Baptistão n 8 | 84.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Edgar González n 8 | 81.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 43.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Pubill n 8 | 69.9 | 4 |
| Houboulang Mendes n 8 | 60.8 | 3.3 |
| Lázaro n 8 | 15.9 | 2.8 |
| Álex Pozo n 8 | 54.9 | 2.5 |
| I. Baba n 8 | 50.5 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luís Maximiano n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Match statistics & details
| Valencia | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Possession | 52% |
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.94 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 370 | Passes | 407 |
| 74% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Valencia player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| D. Foulquier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Cristhian Mosquera | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.5 |
| C. Özkacar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| José Gayà | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Pepelu | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Hugo Guillamón | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| Hugo Duro | 89 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Javi Guerra | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| R. Yaremchuk | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| Diego López | 61 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Fran Pérez sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Jesús Vázquez sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Alberto Marí sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Amallah sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
Almeria player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Maximiano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Marc Pubill | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Álex Centelles | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| D. Lopy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Edgar González | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Ramazani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| Chumi | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Sergio Arribas | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Melero | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Léo Baptistão | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | R | 6.9 |
| C. Montes | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| I. Baba sub | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Romero sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Anthony Lozano sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| L. Robertone sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| M. Milovanović sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Valencia v Almeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-09-23 Almeria 2–2 Valencia
- 2023-04-09 Almeria 2–1 Valencia
- 2023-01-23 Valencia 2–2 Almeria
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Almeria?
- In their last 3 meetings, Valencia won 0, Almeria won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Valencia and Almeria?
- Recent form — Valencia 3W 0D 2L; Almeria 0W 1D 4L.
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