This Matchweek

ValenciaBarcelona

Valencia v Barcelona result

Full-time · Valencia 0–5 Barcelona

La Liga · · Estadio de Mestalla

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Valencia · Barcelona · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Valencia 0–5 Barcelona — Barcelona won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Barcelona: 4.77 to 0.55 in expected goals, from 25 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the 36th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Barcelona won 5–0 at Estadio de Mestalla in La Liga on Sunday 6 September. Barcelona have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barcelona led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Barcelona: Lamine Yamal (6’, assisted by Fermín; 84’, assisted by Dani Olmo), Fermín (22’, assisted by Anthony Gordon), Raphinha (50’, assisted by Fermín) and Pedri (79’, assisted by Dani Olmo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lamine Yamal’s goal on 6 minutes.

Discipline

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain showed four yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Valencia: Arnau Martínez (81’); Barcelona: Pau Cubarsí Paredes (45+2’), Rodri (47’) and Fermín (65’).

What it changes

Valencia move down from 17th to 20th (four league matches played).

Barcelona stay first after this result (four league matches played).

Barcelona’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 4, across 10 matches. Valencia are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Barcelona have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) 13.4, Fermín (Barcelona) 12.3 and Dani Olmo (Barcelona) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Barcelona next travel to Atletico Madrid on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Barcelona: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Valencia 0–5 Barcelona · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia
  • Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Valencia 1 · draws 0 · Barcelona 5 · 5.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Valencia 2W 1D 2L · Barcelona 4W 0D 1L

Valencia 0–5 Barcelona (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.78 yellows
Referee · Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
22.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameValencia for / againstLineBarcelona for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5our book
2.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain — 4.78 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Dimitrievski390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
2.67/5

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
César Tárrega390270 min93 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90165.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Jesús Vázquez390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90165.3 /9062 /9000 /90
Pepelu381244 min41.5 /9020.7 /9000 /9072.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
M. Diakhaby375225 min20.8 /9052 /9020.8 /9093.6 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
Luis Rioja24895 min00 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
César Tárrega n 890
1.46/4
0.85/1
—
Jesús Vázquez n 862.4
1.34/2
1.85/2
X. Espart
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Pepelu n 871.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
X. Espart
Javi Guerra n 881.6
0.32/0
1.46/3
Pedri
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
César Tárrega n 890
2.37/4
Jesús Vázquez n 862.4
1.87/3
Pepelu n 871.4
1.45/3
Javi Guerra n 881.6
1.26/2
M. Diakhaby n 878.8
1.14/2
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Danjuma356168 min00 /9000 /9063.2 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9021.1 /90
U. Sadiq353158 min10.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
Hugo Duro24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /90
David Otorbi13030 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013 /9000 /90
Javi Guerra380240 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
César Tárrega n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Jesús Vázquez n 862.4
0.21/0
00/0
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
Pepelu n 871.4
00/0
00/0
Javi Guerra n 881.6
2.17/4
0.83/2
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
César Tárrega n 890
00/0
00/0
Jesús Vázquez n 862.4
00/0
00/0
Pepelu n 871.4
00/0
00/0
Javi Guerra n 881.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Barcelona

Barcelona Goalkeeper

Barcelona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Joan García390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 890
1.64/3

Barcelona Defensive

Barcelona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
X. Espart390270 min82.7 /9062 /9000 /90175.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90
A. Christensen290180 min21 /9042 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Gerard Martín290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Pau Cubarsí Paredes290180 min42 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90105 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Eric García285170 min84.2 /9031.6 /9000 /90126.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
X. Espart n 765.3
0.83/1
13/1
Pepelu
Joan García n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Lamine Yamal n 881.1
0.85/1
2.68/4
—
Raphinha n 872.5
0.83/1
0.53/0
—
Pedri n 874
0.21/0
1.26/2
Javi Guerra
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Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
X. Espart n 765.3
2.87/3
Lamine Yamal n 881.1
0.85/1
Raphinha n 872.5
1.15/2
Pedri n 874
0.95/1
Marc Bernal n 866.9
4.58/6
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Barcelona Attacking

Barcelona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Raphinha376229 min52 /9010.4 /9083.1 /9072.8 /9093.5 /9072.8 /90
A. Gordon361182 min00 /9031.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9042 /9073.5 /90
Lamine Yamal382245 min20.7 /9000 /90103.7 /9051.8 /90134.8 /90124.4 /90
Pedri369208 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9062.6 /9020.9 /90
Marc Bernal369207 min00 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9041.7 /90
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Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
X. Espart n 765.3
0.63/0
0.21/0
Joan García n 890
00/0
00/0
Lamine Yamal n 881.1
3.38/8
1.56/4
Raphinha n 872.5
48/8
3.48/6
Pedri n 874
0.21/0
00/0
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Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
X. Espart n 765.3
00/0
0.42/0
Joan García n 890
00/0
00/0
Lamine Yamal n 881.1
0.74/1
0.31/1
Raphinha n 872.5
1.96/5
0.52/1
Pedri n 874
00/0
0.53/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ValenciaBarcelona
27%Possession73%
0.66Expected goals (xG)4.08
3Shots25
2Shots on target10
1Shots off target10
0Blocked shots5
3Shots inside the box19
1Corners4
2Offsides4
7Fouls6
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves2
280Passes792
73%Pass accuracy92%

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Danjuma9000320007.3
S. Dimitrievski9000000006.6
F. Ugrinic9000001006
Arnau Martínez90000002Y6
A. Dieng9000000307
David Otorbi7600000106.5
Javi Guerra6200000106.3
M. Diakhaby6200000006
Jesús Vázquez5400000206.5
Pepelu5400000106.2
Pablo Maffeo5400000005.7
César Tárrega sub3600000006.3
José Gayà sub3600000306.5
Harvey Elliott sub3600000206.7
R. Sato sub2800000106.5
Iker Córdoba sub2800000005.6
R. Sato sub2800000106.5
Hugo Duro sub1400000006.3

Barcelona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Raphinha9010111007
Gerard Martín9000000107.3
Lamine Yamal9020746008.9
X. Espart9000100607.2
Joan García9000000007.9
Pedri8110210308.3
Fermín75124340Y8.9
Rodri62001011Y7.2
A. Gordon6201212106.3
Pau Cubarsí Paredes62000001Y7.6
Eric García2900000006.6
J. Koundé sub6100001107.5
A. Christensen sub2800000007.2
Marc Bernal sub2800002006.9
K. Adeyemi sub2800000006.9
Dani Olmo sub1502102107.9
Gabriel Jesus sub900101006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Valencia v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ValenciaWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BarcelonaWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Valencia 1 · 0 draws · Barcelona 5 · 5.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Valencia 3–1 Barcelona
  • 2025-09-14 Barcelona 6–0 Valencia
  • 2025-02-06 Valencia 0–5 Barcelona
  • 2025-01-26 Barcelona 7–1 Valencia
  • 2024-08-17 Valencia 1–2 Barcelona
  • 2024-04-29 Barcelona 4–2 Valencia
League standing · 2026/27
Valencia#19 pos9 pts11 pl-9 GD
Barcelona#1 pos30 pts11 pl+34 GD
Goals per game
Valencia scored0.73
Barcelona scored4.18
Valencia conceded1.55
Barcelona conceded1.09

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Valencia 0.55 xG from 3 shots, Barcelona 4.77 from 25. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Raphinha 52' · 0.52 xGAnthony Gordon 57' · 0.47 xGLamine Yamal 36' · 0.43 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 31' · 0.38 xGLamine Yamal 50' · 0.14 xGFermín López 39' · 0.12 xGLamine Yamal 94' · 0.12 xGAnthony Gordon 48' · 0.11 xGDani Olmo 86' · 0.11 xGRaphinha 52' · 0.10 xGRodri 55' · 0.09 xGGabriel Jesus 82' · 0.09 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 31' · 0.09 xGFermín López 65' · 0.09 xGLamine Yamal 50' · 0.09 xGPedri 44' · 0.08 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 48' · 0.08 xGDani Olmo 82' · 0.06 xGXavi Espart 42' · 0.02 xGFermín López 52' · 0.02 xGLamine Yamal 24' · 0.02 xGLamine Yamal 67' · 0.02 xGGabriel Jesus 84' · 0.02 xGRaphinha 49' · 0.98 xG · goalLamine Yamal 83' · 0.62 xG · goalPedri 78' · 0.31 xG · goalFermín López 21' · 0.08 xG · goalLamine Yamal 5' · 0.06 xG · goal
Valencia (attacking right)Barcelona (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Valencia300.55
Barcelona2554.77

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Barcelona led on xG, 0.82 to 0.47. At full time, Barcelona led on xG, 4.77 to 0.55. The widest gap was 4.22 xG to Barcelona, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.82.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Barcelona 5 minGoal - Barcelona 21 minGoal - Barcelona 49 minGoal - Barcelona 78 minGoal - Barcelona 83 min
Valencia 0.55 xGBarcelona 4.77 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Valencia v Barcelona?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valencia v Barcelona was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Barcelona?
In their last 6 meetings, Valencia won 1, Barcelona won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valencia and Barcelona?
Recent form — Valencia 2W 1D 2L; Barcelona 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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