This Matchweek

ValenciaCelta Vigo

Valencia v Celta Vigo result

Full-time · Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo

La Liga · · Estadio de Mestalla

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,943 of 2,598 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Valencia 0.42, Celta Vigo 0.54 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0–0 at Estadio de Mestalla in La Liga on Saturday 22 August. Valencia are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Celta Vigo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain showed five yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Valencia: Justin de Haas (38’) and Stole Dimitrievski (39’); Celta Vigo: Sergio Carreira (57’), Javi Rueda (67’) and Ionuț Radu (80’).

What it changes

Valencia are 10th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Celta Vigo are 10th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marcos Alonso (Celta Vigo) 5.1, César Tárrega (Valencia) 4.4 and Stole Dimitrievski (Valencia) 3.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Valencia or Celta Vigo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Celta Vigo next host Levante on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo v Levante, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia
  • Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Valencia 1 · draws 1 · Celta Vigo 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Valencia 3W 1D 1L · Celta Vigo 3W 1D 1L

Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.25
Corners
against 6 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.22 yellows
Referee · Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
25.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameValencia for / againstLineCelta Vigo for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
8.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain — 5.22 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ValenciaCelta Vigo
44%Possession56%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.66
8Shots7
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box3
1Corners2
3Offsides2
17Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
486Passes616
88%Pass accuracy89%

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Dimitrievski90000000Y6.9
Jesús Vázquez9000000206.9
César Tárrega9000000507.9
Pepelu9000000107.5
G. Rodríguez9000110107.7
Javi Guerra9000101006.6
A. Danjuma8300300006.6
José Gayà6900001006.9
F. Ugrinic6900111107.3
R. Sato5700000106.7
J. de Haas45000000Y6.7
M. Diakhaby sub4500000007
U. Sadiq sub3300000006.3
Pablo Maffeo sub2100001006.6
A. Dieng sub2100000006.5
Hugo Duro sub1300000006.5

Celta Vigo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu90000000Y6.9
Javi Rodríguez9000110107.2
Yoel Lago9000000107
Marcos Alonso9000200207.5
Sergio Carreira90000000Y7.2
Miguel Román9000002007.5
Aleix Febas7700110206.9
Javi Galán6400001006.6
J. El Abdellaoui6400100006.2
Ferran Jutglà6400000006
Hugo Álvarez5700001006.3
W. Swedberg sub3300001206.9
Javi Rueda sub26000000Y6.2
Iago Aspas sub2600001006.7
Pablo Durán sub2600110106.7
I. Moriba sub1300000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Valencia v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ValenciaLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Celta VigoWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Valencia 1 · 1 draw · Celta Vigo 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo
  • 2026-01-03 Celta Vigo 4–1 Valencia
  • 2025-02-02 Valencia 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-08-23 Celta Vigo 3–1 Valencia
  • 2024-05-26 Celta Vigo 2–2 Valencia
  • 2024-01-17 Valencia 1–3 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2026/27
Valencia#19 pos9 pts11 pl-9 GD
Celta Vigo#11 pos12 pts11 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Valencia scored0.73
Celta Vigo scored0.91
Valencia conceded1.55
Celta Vigo conceded0.91

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Valencia 0.42 xG from 8 shots, Celta Vigo 0.54 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jones El Abdellaoui 24' · 0.25 xGMarcos Alonso 12' · 0.14 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 70' · 0.12 xGFilip Ugrinic 44' · 0.08 xGJavier Guerra 40' · 0.08 xGMarcos Alonso 88' · 0.06 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 25' · 0.05 xGPepelu 5' · 0.05 xGPablo Durán 65' · 0.03 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 47' · 0.03 xGJavier Rodríguez 41' · 0.02 xGAleix Febas 22' · 0.02 xGSergio Carreira 53' · 0.01 xGFilip Ugrinic 5' · 0.01 xGGuido Rodríguez 94' · 0.01 xG
Valencia (attacking right)Celta Vigo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Valencia800.42
Celta Vigo700.54

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Valencia 0.26, Celta Vigo 0.43. At full time, xG was level: Valencia 0.42, Celta Vigo 0.54. The widest gap was 0.35 xG to Celta Vigo, in the 24th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.50.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xG
Valencia 0.42 xGCelta Vigo 0.54 xGdots = goals · 15 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Valencia v Celta Vigo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valencia v Celta Vigo was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Celta Vigo?
In their last 6 meetings, Valencia won 1, Celta Vigo won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valencia and Celta Vigo?
Recent form — Valencia 3W 1D 1L; Celta Vigo 3W 1D 1L.

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