Valencia v Rayo Vallecano result

Full-time · Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

La Liga · Thu, 14 May 2026 18:00 BST · Estadio de Mestalla

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Valencia · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.53 to 0.94 in expected goals, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 6 shots to 12 (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Valencia and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 at Estadio de Mestalla in La Liga on Thursday 14 May. Rayo Vallecano have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Florian Lejeune (20’, assisted by Gumbau); Valencia: Diego López (40’, assisted by Javi Guerra).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Diego López’s goal on 40 minutes.

Discipline

A. Quintero showed two yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Valencia: R. Saravia (6’); Rayo Vallecano: Randy Nteka (56’).

What it changes

Valencia stay 12th after this result (36 league matches played). Valencia have scored five goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Valencia have conceded five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano move up from 10th to ninth (36 league matches played). Rayo Vallecano have scored eight goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gumbau (Rayo Vallecano) 9.7, Diego López (Valencia) 7.7 and Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) 7.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Valencia.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Valencia or Rayo Vallecano (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Valencia next travel to Tavernes on 10 November 2026.

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valencia: Tavernes v Valencia, Tuesday 10 November — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia
Referee: A. Quintero
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Valencia 1 · draws 4 · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 1.33 goals/game
Recent form: Valencia 2W 1D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L

Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.25

Corners

against 5.13 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 3.63

Cards

against 2 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.3 yellows

Referee · A. Quintero

28.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Valencia for / against	Line	Rayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.75 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Quintero — 5.3 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 28.4 fouls over 10 matches.

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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Julen Agirrezabala	19	901710 min	573 /90	301.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Dimitrievski	19	901710 min	502.6 /90	221.2 /90	10.1 /90

Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	3.4 8/4
Julen Agirrezabala n 8	90	2.1 4/3

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
César Tárrega	30	822471 min	381.4 /90	281 /90	190.7 /90	1154.2 /90	401.5 /90	70.3 /90
José Gayà	30	802390 min	652.4 /90	220.8 /90	70.3 /90	1164.4 /90	311.2 /90	60.2 /90
Copete	24	801916 min	271.3 /90	221 /90	170.8 /90	854 /90	231.1 /90	60.3 /90
Thierry Correia	21	651356 min	291.9 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90	755 /90	281.9 /90	50.3 /90
E. Cömert	16	841349 min	251.7 /90	271.8 /90	50.3 /90	543.6 /90	90.6 /90	30.2 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Luis Rioja n 8	67.9	0.7 2/2	1 4/2	—
Hugo Duro n 8	41.1	1.1 3/1	1.9 6/1	—
César Tárrega n 8	90	1.5 6/5	0.6 3/1	F. Lejeune
José Gayà n 8	75.3	1.6 6/3	0.9 5/1	F. Lejeune
Pepelu n 8	71.9	1.1 5/2	0.8 4/1	—
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	67.9	1.7 3/3
Hugo Duro n 8	41.1	1.1 4/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0.6 5/0
José Gayà n 8	75.3	2.2 7/4
Pepelu n 8	71.9	2.8 7/5
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Hugo Duro	33	551817 min	90.4 /90	00 /90	281.4 /90	130.6 /90	150.7 /90	30.1 /90
A. Danjuma	29	581686 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	281.5 /90	150.8 /90	150.8 /90	281.5 /90
L. Beltrán	26	571469 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	241.5 /90	110.7 /90	140.9 /90	171 /90
L. Ramazani	21	621296 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	332.3 /90	181.3 /90	161.1 /90	201.4 /90
U. Sadiq	18	53961 min	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	242.2 /90	111 /90	80.7 /90	121.1 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	67.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Hugo Duro n 8	41.1	1.6 4/2	0.8 3/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
José Gayà n 8	75.3	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Pepelu n 8	71.9	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	67.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Hugo Duro n 8	41.1	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
José Gayà n 8	75.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Pepelu n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Batalla	46	904140 min	1142.5 /90	481 /90	20 /90
Dani Cárdenas	5	90450 min	214.2 /90	91.8 /90	10.2 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 8	90	2.8 6/6

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	50	904484 min	821.6 /90	751.5 /90	320.6 /90	2344.7 /90	681.4 /90	80.2 /90
A. Rațiu	43	843598 min	932.3 /90	471.2 /90	90.2 /90	2235.6 /90	300.8 /90	100.3 /90
Pep Chavarría	38	843177 min	702 /90	381.1 /90	180.5 /90	1614.6 /90	401.1 /90	80.2 /90
A. Espino	33	662174 min	672.8 /90	281.2 /90	50.2 /90	1466 /90	301.2 /90	20.1 /90
N. Mendy	22	781712 min	281.5 /90	231.2 /90	191 /90	703.7 /90	291.5 /90	90.5 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.3 2/0	José Gayà
A. Batalla n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
Isi Palazón n 8	80	1.5 6/3	2.4 7/4	—
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.3	1.5 4/3	1.6 5/4	—
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	0.9 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.5 8/3
Isi Palazón n 8	80	1.5 5/3
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.3	0.6 3/1
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	1.4 6/2
A. Rațiu n 8	81.5	3.3 6/6
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jorge de Frutos	46	663044 min	110.3 /90	30.1 /90	621.8 /90	300.9 /90	401.2 /90	361.1 /90
Alemão	28	541498 min	70.4 /90	00 /90	321.9 /90	171 /90	120.7 /90	80.5 /90
Sergio Camello	22	561239 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	261.9 /90	130.9 /90	231.7 /90	211.5 /90
R. Nteka	8	44353 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	30.8 /90	41 /90	61.5 /90
Isi Palazón	46	683117 min	60.2 /90	70.2 /90	521.5 /90	230.7 /90	611.8 /90	290.8 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.9 6/5	1.1 6/2
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	80	2.3 6/5	1.1 5/2
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.3	2.3 5/3	0.6 3/1
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	2.3 7/4	1 5/1
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	80	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Valencia		Rayo Vallecano
53%	Possession	47%
0.76	Expected goals (xG)	1.16
12	Shots	6
3	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	1
5	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	5
5	Corners	1
1	Offsides	2
9	Fouls	20
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
439	Passes	404
79%	Pass accuracy	77%

Valencia Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Dimitrievski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
E. Cömert	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
César Tárrega	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7
Luis Rioja	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.9
G. Rodríguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
Diego López	90	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.9
José Gayà	63	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
Pepelu	61	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Javi Guerra	61	0	1	4	2	3	1	0	7.3
Hugo Duro	61	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
R. Saravia	32	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.6
Unai Núñez sub	58	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
F. Ugrinic sub	29	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
L. Ramazani sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
U. Sadiq sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Jesús Vázquez sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Batalla	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Lejeune	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.9
N. Mendy	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
Pep Chavarría	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Pedro Díaz	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.3
A. Espino	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
I. Balliu	73	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Gumbau	67	0	1	0	0	2	6	0	7.9
Óscar Valentín	60	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Fran Pérez	60	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
R. Nteka	60	0	0	2	1	0	0	Y	5.3
P. Ciss sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.5
Jorge de Frutos sub	30	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
Alemão sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Unai López sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Rațiu sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Valencia v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ValenciaLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Rayo VallecanoDWWWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Valencia 1 · 4 draws · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 1.33 goals/game

2025-12-01 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia
2025-04-19 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia
2024-12-07 Valencia 0–1 Rayo Vallecano
2024-05-12 Valencia 0–0 Rayo Vallecano
2023-12-19 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Valencia
2023-04-03 Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

League standing · 2025/26

Valencia#9 pos49 pts38 pl-9 GD

Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Valencia scored1.21

Rayo Vallecano scored1.08

Valencia conceded1.45

Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Valencia 0.94 xG from 12 shots, Rayo Vallecano 1.53 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Valencia (attacking right)Rayo Vallecano (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Valencia	12	1	0.94
Rayo Vallecano	6	1	1.53

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.43 to 0.58, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.53 to 0.94, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.28 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the 35th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Valencia 0.94 xGRayo Vallecano 1.53 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Valencia v Rayo Vallecano?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Valencia v Rayo Vallecano was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano?: In their last 6 meetings, Valencia won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valencia and Rayo Vallecano?: Recent form — Valencia 2W 1D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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