ValenciaReal Betis

Valencia v Real Betis result

Full-time · Valencia 0–1 Real Betis

La Liga · · Estadio de Mestalla

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Valencia · Real Betis · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Valencia 0–1 Real Betis — Real Betis won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,999 of 2,672 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Valencia 1.30, Real Betis 0.96 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Betis won 1–0 at Estadio de Mestalla in La Liga on Tuesday 25 August. Real Betis have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Betis: Pablo García (83’, assisted by Fran García).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pablo García’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain showed three yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Valencia: R. Sato (26’) and Mouctar Diakhaby (89’); Real Betis: Junior Firpo (42’).

What it changes

Valencia move down from 10th to 15th (two league matches played).

Real Betis move up from fifth to second (two league matches played).

Real Betis have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Guido Rodríguez (Valencia) 5.9, Ángel Ortiz (Real Betis) 5.3 and V. Gómez (Real Betis) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Betis are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Valencia.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Valencia or Real Betis (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Valencia next travel to Tavernes on 10 November 2026.

Real Betis next travel to Navalcarnero on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valencia: Tavernes v Valencia, Tuesday 10 November — the preview. Next for Real Betis: Navalcarnero v Real Betis, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Valencia 0–1 Real Betis · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia
  • Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Valencia 1 · draws 2 · Real Betis 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Valencia 3W 2D 0L · Real Betis 3W 1D 1L

Valencia 0–1 Real Betis (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.4 yellows
Referee · Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain
23.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameValencia for / againstLineReal Betis for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.25our book
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain — 5.4 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 23.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Dimitrievski19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 890
3.17/5

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
César Tárrega19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9022 /9000 /90
Jesús Vázquez19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9066 /9033 /9000 /90
Pepelu19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
José Gayà16969 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.6 /9011.3 /9000 /90
J. de Haas14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9012 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
César Tárrega n 890
1.46/4
0.53/1
—
G. Rodríguez n 890
1.14/2
1.97/7
Pablo Fornals
Jesús Vázquez n 859.1
13/1
13/1
—
Pepelu n 874.6
0.64/0
0.53/0
—
Javi Guerra n 874.8
0.53/0
1.56/3
Pablo Fornals
See more players · Pro
Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Rodríguez n 890
2.17/4
Jesús Vázquez n 859.1
2.17/3
César Tárrega n 890
1.85/3
Pepelu n 874.6
1.85/4
Javi Guerra n 874.8
0.94/1
See more players · Pro

Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Danjuma18383 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
G. Rodríguez19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
Javi Guerra19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
F. Ugrinic16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
Jesús Vázquez19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
See more players · Pro
Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Javi Guerra n 874.8
26/3
0.93/2
G. Rodríguez n 890
0.95/2
0.54/0
César Tárrega n 890
0.43/0
00/0
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
Pepelu n 874.6
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Javi Guerra n 874.8
0.52/1
0.53/0
G. Rodríguez n 890
0.32/0
00/0
S. Dimitrievski n 890
00/0
00/0
César Tárrega n 890
00/0
00/0
Pepelu n 874.6
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Real Betis

Real Betis Goalkeeper

Real Betis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álvaro Vallés19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
3.66/6

Real Betis Defensive

Real Betis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fran García19090 min22 /9022 /9011 /9033 /9022 /9011 /90
Héctor Bellerín19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
Marc Bartra19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
Natan19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9066 /9011 /9011 /90
Antony19090 min22 /9033 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marc Roca n 867.6
2.26/4
0.73/1
—
Pablo Fornals n 875.6
1.55/3
0.75/0
Javi Guerra
Natan n 880.4
1.46/4
0.11/0
—
Antony n 881.1
14/2
1.86/4
—
Marc Bartra n 882.8
0.53/1
0.43/0
—
See more players · Pro
Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Antony n 881.1
2.28/6
Marc Bartra n 882.8
1.86/4
Marc Roca n 867.6
1.88/2
Héctor Bellerín n 872
1.75/3
Pablo Fornals n 875.6
1.26/2
See more players · Pro

Real Betis Attacking

Real Betis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Hernández18080 min00 /9011.1 /9022.3 /9011.1 /9022.3 /9022.3 /90
Pablo García11717 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90210.6 /9000 /90
Antony19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9033 /9011 /90
Marc Roca19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
Pablo Fornals19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Antony n 881.1
2.88/6
1.46/4
Pablo Fornals n 875.6
1.26/2
0.32/0
Marc Bartra n 882.8
14/2
0.11/0
Marc Roca n 867.6
0.84/1
0.52/1
Héctor Bellerín n 872
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pablo Fornals n 875.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Antony n 881.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Héctor Bellerín n 872
0.21/0
00/0
Marc Roca n 867.6
0.21/0
00/0
Álvaro Vallés n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ValenciaReal Betis
42%Possession58%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.71
16Shots15
3Shots on target3
5Shots off target7
8Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box6
8Corners2
1Offsides1
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
371Passes540
78%Pass accuracy88%

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Dimitrievski9000000006.2
César Tárrega9000000107.3
M. Diakhaby90001000Y6.2
Jesús Vázquez9000101106.7
R. Sato90002111Y6.5
Javi Guerra9000002207.2
Pepelu8800000106.5
G. Rodríguez8800001306.9
Pablo Maffeo5500000107
A. Danjuma5500110106.7
Hugo Duro5500002006.3
F. Ugrinic sub3500101106.5
Luis Rioja sub3500101006.9
U. Sadiq sub3500110006.6
A. Dieng sub900000006.3
David Otorbi sub900000106.9

Real Betis Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Álvaro Vallés9000000008.2
Diego Llorente9000000007.3
V. Gómez9000001307.2
Facundo Bernal9000000107.2
Antony9000211207.2
N. Deossa9000300206.9
Pablo Fornals7900203006.3
Ángel Ortiz7100001507.2
C. Hernández7100002006.2
Junior Firpo59000012Y7
Rodrigo Riquelme5900001006.6
Fran García sub3101001307.2
Isco sub3100110106.3
Héctor Bellerín sub1900001006.9
T. Parrott sub1900101106.6
Pablo García sub1110110007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Valencia v Real Betis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ValenciaWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Real BetisDWLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Valencia 1 · 2 draws · Real Betis 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 Real Betis 2–1 Valencia
  • 2025-11-09 Valencia 1–1 Real Betis
  • 2025-05-23 Real Betis 1–1 Valencia
  • 2024-11-23 Valencia 4–2 Real Betis
  • 2024-04-20 Valencia 1–2 Real Betis
  • 2023-10-01 Real Betis 3–0 Valencia
League standing · 2026/27
Valencia#19 pos9 pts11 pl-9 GD
Real Betis#4 pos23 pts11 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Valencia scored0.73
Real Betis scored1.64
Valencia conceded1.55
Real Betis conceded1.36

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Valencia 1.30 xG from 16 shots, Real Betis 0.96 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Umar Sadiq 84' · 0.42 xGTroy Parrott 71' · 0.28 xGCésar Tárrega 88' · 0.12 xGMouctar Diakhaby 62' · 0.10 xGPablo Fornals 35' · 0.10 xGRyunosuke Sato 11' · 0.08 xGMouctar Diakhaby 20' · 0.07 xGRyunosuke Sato 45' · 0.07 xGRyunosuke Sato 45' · 0.07 xGPablo Fornals 26' · 0.07 xGRyunosuke Sato 2' · 0.06 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 11' · 0.06 xGCésar Tárrega 62' · 0.06 xGJesús Vázquez 92' · 0.06 xGNelson Deossa 69' · 0.05 xGFilip Ugrinic 91' · 0.04 xGArnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 20' · 0.03 xGAntony 48' · 0.03 xGAntony 76' · 0.03 xGAntony 45' · 0.03 xGPablo Fornals 45' · 0.02 xGJesús Vázquez 94' · 0.02 xGNelson Deossa 23' · 0.02 xGLuis Rioja 54' · 0.02 xGNelson Deossa 68' · 0.02 xGNelson Deossa 49' · 0.02 xGLuis Rioja 93' · 0.01 xGAntony 19' · 0.01 xGIsco 60' · 0.01 xGÁngel Ortiz 5' · 0.01 xGPablo García 82' · 0.30 xG · goal
Valencia (attacking right)Real Betis (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Valencia1601.30
Real Betis1510.96

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Valencia 0.44, Real Betis 0.25. At full time, xG was level: Valencia 1.30, Real Betis 0.96.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Betis 82 min
Valencia 1.30 xGReal Betis 0.96 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Valencia v Real Betis?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valencia v Real Betis was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Real Betis?
In their last 6 meetings, Valencia won 1, Real Betis won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valencia and Real Betis?
Recent form — Valencia 3W 2D 0L; Real Betis 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+