Bournemouth v Lincoln result
Team pages: Bournemouth · Lincoln
The model’s pre-match pick
Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln — Bournemouth won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Bournemouth beat Lincoln 4–0 at Vitality Stadium in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September. Bournemouth have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: Ryan Christie (7’, assisted by Ben Doak; 69’, assisted by David Brooks; 88’, assisted by Bafodé Diakité) and Rayan (90+4’, assisted by Daniel Jebbison).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Christie’s goal on 7 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bournemouth 0.00, Lincoln 0.00, from 36 shots to 2 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
E. Bell showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bournemouth: Justin Kluivert (41’) and António Silva (61’); Lincoln: Callum Elder (27’), Dominic Jefferies (48’) and Daniel Oyegoke (67’).
What it changes
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Lincoln are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Christie (Bournemouth) 17.4, Ben Doak (Bournemouth) 6.6 and David Brooks (Bournemouth) 5.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Bournemouth or Lincoln (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).
Next up
Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.
Lincoln next travel to QPR on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lincoln: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln · League Cup
- Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth
- Referee: E. Bell
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Bournemouth 0W 4D 1L · Lincoln 2W 2D 1L
Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bournemouth for / against | Line | Lincoln for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.63 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: E. Bell.
Bournemouth
Bournemouth Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Đ. Petrović | 3 | 90270 min | 93 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Bournemouth Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 3 | 90270 min | 41.3 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 113.7 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
| Adrien Truffert | 3 | 90270 min | 72.3 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 134.3 /90 | 72.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| António Silva | 3 | 90270 min | 31 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 31 /90 | 155 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| J. Hill | 3 | 90270 min | 41.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 | 155 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Tavernier | 3 | 90269 min | 72.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 206.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith n 8 | 77 | 1.6 | 1.5 | — |
| J. Hill n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 1.1 | — |
| António Silva n 3 | 90 | 0.7 | 0.3 | — |
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| A. Smith n 8 | 77 | 1.8 |
| J. Hill n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| António Silva n 3 | 90 | 1 |
| M. Tavernier n 8 | 87.8 | 1.5 |
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Bournemouth Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson | 3 | 82246 min | 00 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 10.4 /90 |
| D. Jebbison | 1 | 1515 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 16 /90 | 16 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Tavernier | 3 | 90269 min | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.7 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 31 /90 |
| Rayan | 3 | 89268 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
| Alex Scott | 3 | 89266 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 41.4 /90 | 31 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| António Silva n 3 | 90 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| J. Hill n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Smith n 8 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| A. Smith n 8 | 77 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Hill n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| António Silva n 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Lincoln
Lincoln Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | 6 | 91545 min | 223.6 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Gauci | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens n 8 | 90.6 | 3.4 |
Lincoln Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Elerewe | 6 | 91545 min | 71.2 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 325.3 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Towler | 6 | 80478 min | 50.9 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 234.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. Hamer | 3 | 92275 min | 31 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 237.5 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| C. Elder | 3 | 90270 min | 103.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 144.7 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. Darikwa | 3 | 80239 min | 51.9 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 103.8 /90 | 41.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Draper n 8 | 62.8 | 4.7 | 1.3 | — |
| Ivan Varfolomeev n 8 | 67.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | — |
| R. Street n 8 | 55.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | — |
| R. Hackett n 8 | 53.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Elerewe n 8 | 90.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Varfolomeev n 8 | 67.1 | 2.5 |
| F. Draper n 8 | 62.8 | 0.9 |
| R. Street n 8 | 55.8 | 1.8 |
| R. Hackett n 8 | 53.4 | 1.9 |
| D. Elerewe n 8 | 90.6 | 1 |
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Lincoln Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Draper | 7 | 64447 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| R. Street | 7 | 53371 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.9 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. House | 5 | 77386 min | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 112.6 /90 | 61.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| I. Olaofe | 5 | 35177 min | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 |
| M. Melia | 3 | 34102 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.8 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Draper n 8 | 62.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Ivan Varfolomeev n 8 | 67.1 | 1 | 0.7 |
| R. Street n 8 | 55.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| R. Hackett n 8 | 53.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| D. Elerewe n 8 | 90.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Draper n 8 | 62.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Ivan Varfolomeev n 8 | 67.1 | 0 | 0.2 |
| R. Street n 8 | 55.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| R. Hackett n 8 | 53.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| G. Wickens n 8 | 90.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Bournemouth | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Possession | 40% |
| 36 | Shots | 2 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 15 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 22 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 582 | Passes | 278 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 73% |
Bournemouth Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Di Gregorio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Diakité | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 |
| J. Hill | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 |
| J. Soler | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Christie | 90 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9.7 |
| L. Cook | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| António Silva | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.1 |
| B. Doak | 78 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Á. Rodríguez | 78 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Brooks | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Kluivert | 62 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| A. Tóth | 28 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| D. Jebbison | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Rayan | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| M. Tavernier | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Juanlu Sánchez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Lincoln Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gauci | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| D. Jefferies | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.3 |
| R. Towler | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 |
| C. Ogbene | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.4 |
| T. Bayliss | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 |
| R. Hackett | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Oyegoke | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 5.2 |
| C. Elder | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.4 |
| Y. Konak | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Honohan | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| M. Ladefoged | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Andrei Coubiș | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| R. Street | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| D. Elerewe | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| S. Bradley | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 |
| B. House | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Bournemouth v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Lincoln?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Lincoln was Home or Away (best price 1.14 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Lincoln?
- Recent form — Bournemouth 0W 4D 1L; Lincoln 2W 2D 1L.
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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.