BournemouthLincoln

Bournemouth v Lincoln result

Full-time · Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln

League Cup · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln — Bournemouth won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.14 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bournemouth beat Lincoln 4–0 at Vitality Stadium in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September. Bournemouth have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: Ryan Christie (7’, assisted by Ben Doak; 69’, assisted by David Brooks; 88’, assisted by Bafodé Diakité) and Rayan (90+4’, assisted by Daniel Jebbison).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Christie’s goal on 7 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bournemouth 0.00, Lincoln 0.00, from 36 shots to 2 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Bell showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bournemouth: Justin Kluivert (41’) and António Silva (61’); Lincoln: Callum Elder (27’), Dominic Jefferies (48’) and Daniel Oyegoke (67’).

What it changes

Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Lincoln are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Christie (Bournemouth) 17.4, Ben Doak (Bournemouth) 6.6 and David Brooks (Bournemouth) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bournemouth or Lincoln (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Lincoln next travel to QPR on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lincoln: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln · League Cup
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth
  • Referee: E. Bell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 0W 4D 1L · Lincoln 2W 2D 1L

Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineLincoln for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: E. Bell.

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović390270 min93 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.56/4

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Smith390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90113.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
Adrien Truffert390270 min72.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90134.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
António Silva390270 min31 /9020.7 /9031 /90155 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
J. Hill390270 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90155 /9041.3 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier390269 min72.3 /9000 /9000 /90206.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Smith n 877
1.68/2
1.56/3
—
J. Hill n 890
1.36/3
0.32/0
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.35/2
1.15/2
—
António Silva n 390
0.72/0
0.31/0
—
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
—
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
2.97/7
A. Smith n 877
1.88/3
J. Hill n 890
1.56/3
António Silva n 390
12/1
M. Tavernier n 887.8
1.57/3
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson382246 min00 /9020.7 /9031.1 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
D. Jebbison11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier390269 min20.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9051.7 /9041.3 /9031 /90
Rayan389268 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9031 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
Alex Scott389266 min10.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9031 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
António Silva n 390
0.72/0
0.31/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.42/1
0.42/1
J. Hill n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Smith n 877
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
00/0
0.32/0
A. Smith n 877
00/0
0.11/0
J. Hill n 890
00/0
00/0
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
António Silva n 390
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Wickens691545 min223.6 /9071.2 /9000 /90
J. Gauci19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 890.6
3.47/4

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Elerewe691545 min71.2 /9071.2 /9071.2 /90325.3 /9071.2 /9000 /90
R. Towler680478 min50.9 /9081.5 /9081.5 /90234.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Hamer392275 min31 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90237.5 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
C. Elder390270 min103.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90144.7 /9031 /9000 /90
T. Darikwa380239 min51.9 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90103.8 /9041.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Draper n 862.8
4.76/6
1.33/3
—
Ivan Varfolomeev n 867.1
1.34/2
0.73/1
—
R. Street n 855.8
0.84/0
1.86/3
—
R. Hackett n 853.4
0.42/0
0.63/0
—
D. Elerewe n 890.6
0.93/2
0.63/2
—
See more players · Pro
Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ivan Varfolomeev n 867.1
2.55/4
F. Draper n 862.8
0.93/2
R. Street n 855.8
1.85/2
R. Hackett n 853.4
1.96/3
D. Elerewe n 890.6
14/3
See more players · Pro

Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Draper764447 min00 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9030.6 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90
R. Street753371 min10.2 /9000 /9081.9 /9020.5 /9041 /9000 /90
B. House577386 min20.5 /9000 /90112.6 /9061.4 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
I. Olaofe535177 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /90
M. Melia334102 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Draper n 862.8
1.66/3
0.94/1
Ivan Varfolomeev n 867.1
14/2
0.73/1
R. Street n 855.8
1.85/2
0.63/0
R. Hackett n 853.4
1.54/2
0.21/0
D. Elerewe n 890.6
0.65/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Draper n 862.8
00/0
0.42/0
Ivan Varfolomeev n 867.1
00/0
0.21/0
R. Street n 855.8
0.42/0
00/0
R. Hackett n 853.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Wickens n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthLincoln
60%Possession40%
36Shots2
8Shots on target1
15Shots off target1
13Blocked shots0
22Shots inside the box2
10Corners0
1Offsides0
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves4
582Passes278
89%Pass accuracy73%

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Di Gregorio9000000006.9
B. Diakité9001111007.4
J. Hill9000404107.4
J. Soler9000202307.2
R. Christie9030744209.7
L. Cook9000201307.2
António Silva82001012Y7.1
B. Doak7801403007.7
Á. Rodríguez7800503006.6
D. Brooks7801105207.6
J. Kluivert62003000Y6.5
A. Tóth2800311106.8
D. Jebbison1201101006.9
Rayan1210221007.7
M. Tavernier1200000006.5
Juanlu Sánchez800001006.6

Lincoln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gauci9000000006.4
D. Jefferies90000001Y5.3
R. Towler9000100105.7
C. Ogbene9000000105.4
T. Bayliss9000000105.8
R. Hackett9000000206.5
D. Oyegoke73001102Y5.2
C. Elder73000001Y5.4
Y. Konak7300000306.2
J. Honohan5800000206
M. Ladefoged5800001106.8
Andrei Coubiș3200000105.9
R. Street3200000006.4
D. Elerewe1700000005.8
S. Bradley1700000105.7
B. House1700000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthDDLDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LincolnLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.2
Lincoln scored1.4
Bournemouth conceded1.4
Lincoln conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Lincoln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Lincoln was Home or Away (best price 1.14 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Lincoln?
Recent form — Bournemouth 0W 4D 1L; Lincoln 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+