Burnley v Notts County result
Team pages: Burnley · Notts County
The model’s pre-match pick
Burnley 1–1 Notts County — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Burnley and Notts County drew 1–1 at Turf Moor in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Burnley are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Notts County are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
The goals
Notts County led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Notts County: Callum Roberts (42’, assisted by Nicholas Tsaroulla); Burnley: Zian Flemming (48’, assisted by Marcus Edwards).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zian Flemming’s goal on 48 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Burnley 0.00, Notts County 0.00, from 12 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
T. Parsons showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Notts County: James Gibbons (24’), Darius Lipsiuc (73’) and Jack Evans (90+2’).
What it changes
Burnley sit 25th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2026/27 so far).
Notts County sit 25th on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2026/27 so far).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicholas Tsaroulla (Notts County) 6.7, Bashir Humphreys (Burnley) 5.6 and Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) 5.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Burnley next host Blackburn on 21 November 2026.
Notts County next travel to Bromley on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Burnley: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Notts County: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Burnley 1–1 Notts County · League Cup
- Venue: Turf Moor · Burnley
- Referee: T. Parsons
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Burnley 0W 2D 3L · Notts County 3W 2D 0L
Burnley 1–1 Notts County (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Burnley for / against | Line | Notts County for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.63 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.63 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: T. Parsons.
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Burnley | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| 74% | Possession | 26% |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 659 | Passes | 231 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 73% |
Burnley Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Weiß | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Walker | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Worrall | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Humphreys | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| H. Mejbri | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Z. Flemming | 97 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Bruun Larsen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Marcus Edwards | 81 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Sonne | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| U. Raghouber | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Ramsey | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Connor Roberts sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Laurent sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Zeki Amdouni sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Trésor sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Castell sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Notts County Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Belshaw | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Gibbons | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| L. Ness | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Bedeau | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Lipsiuc | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 5.9 |
| J. Evans | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.5 |
| D. Campbell | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Nicholas Tsaroulla | 80 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Roberts | 80 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Cooper | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Ndlovu | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Grant sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Acquah sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Browne sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Maziar Kouhyar sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Burnley v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Burnley v Notts County?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Notts County was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.20 at Betfair).
- What is the recent form of Burnley and Notts County?
- Recent form — Burnley 0W 2D 3L; Notts County 3W 2D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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