Burton AlbionBlackburn

Burton Albion v Blackburn result

Full-time · Burton Albion 1–2 Blackburn

League Cup · · Pirelli Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Burton Albion 1–2 Blackburn — Blackburn won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Blackburn won 2–1 at Pirelli Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Burton Albion have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Blackburn came from behind: Burton Albion led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Burton Albion: Zac Scutt (14’); Blackburn: Andri Guðjohnsen (81’, assisted by Todd Cantwell) and Jayden Fevrier (88’, assisted by Ryan Alebiosu).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Fevrier’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Burton Albion 0.00, Blackburn 0.00, from 16 shots to 27 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Humphries showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Burton Albion: Finn Delap (28’) and Matthew Dennis (55’); Blackburn: Todd Cantwell (32’).

What it changes

Burton Albion are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Curtis Tilt (Burton Albion) 6.4, Ryan Alebiosu (Blackburn) 6.1 and Zac Scutt (Burton Albion) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Burton Albion or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Burton Albion next host AFC Rushden & Diamonds on 7 November 2026.

Blackburn next host West Ham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burton Albion: Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Burton Albion 1–2 Blackburn · League Cup
  • Venue: Pirelli Stadium · Burton upon Trent
  • Referee: A. Humphries
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Burton Albion 1W 4D 0L · Blackburn 1W 2D 2L

Burton Albion 1–2 Blackburn (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Corners
against 3.63 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 3 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBurton Albion for / againstLineBlackburn for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
9.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
7.75 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: A. Humphries.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Burton AlbionBlackburn
36%Possession64%
16Shots27
6Shots on target7
5Shots off target7
5Blocked shots13
12Shots inside the box20
6Corners9
1Offsides2
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves5
280Passes493
75%Pass accuracy85%

Burton Albion Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Addai9000000007.3
T. Sibbick9000000307.3
F. Delap90001002Y7.2
K. Lofthouse9000101106.9
G. Evans9000003006.9
J. Armer9000112307
K. Chauke9000001106.9
M. Dennis90002101Y6.6
Zac Scutt8910422007.2
Sulyman Krubally7600000306.9
C. Tilt6800110307.9
Jack Willow sub2200001006.2
M. Matthews Lewis sub1400110106.3
Miles Henry sub10000010–

Blackburn Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Tóth9000000006.7
R. Alebiosu9001005206.9
Tom Atcheson9000200407.3
S. McLoughlin9000000207.6
H. Pickering9000000106.9
R. Morishita9000212106.9
T. Cantwell90014261Y8
A. Forshaw7400000206.9
J. Garrett6200000106
O. Afolayan6200102207.3
Y. Ohashi6200211006.3
Kristi Montgomery sub2800000106.7
A. Guðjohnsen sub2810111007
J. Fevrier sub2810221007.3
Sidnei Tavares sub1600000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Burton AlbionDWDDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BlackburnDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Burton Albion scored1
Blackburn scored1
Burton Albion conceded0.8
Blackburn conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Burton Albion v Blackburn?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v Blackburn was Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Blackburn?
Recent form — Burton Albion 1W 4D 0L; Blackburn 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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