Crewe v Accrington ST result
Team pages: Crewe · Accrington ST · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Crewe 2–1 Accrington ST — Crewe won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
The result
Crewe beat Accrington ST 2–1 at Alexandra Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Accrington ST are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.
The goals
Crewe led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Crewe: Jack Lankester (7’ pen) and Luca Moore (85’, assisted by Lewis Billington); Accrington ST: Farrend Rawson (65’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luca Moore’s goal on 85 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Crewe 0.00, Accrington ST 0.00, from 15 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
R. Martin showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Accrington ST: Farrend Rawson (45+5’), Joseph Anderson (74’) and Donald Love (90+2’).
What it changes
Crewe sit eighth on three points from one game with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).
Accrington ST sit 24th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Gibson (Crewe) 6.6, Jack Lankester (Crewe) 5.4 and Lewis Billington (Crewe) 4.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Crewe or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).
Next up
Crewe next host Newport County on 14 November 2026.
Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Crewe: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Crewe 2–1 Accrington ST · League Cup
- Venue: Alexandra Stadium · Crewe
- Referee: R. Martin
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Crewe 2 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Crewe 1W 1D 3L · Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L
Crewe 2–1 Accrington ST (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Crewe for / against | Line | Accrington ST for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.63 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.38 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: R. Martin.
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Match Statistics & Details
| Crewe | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 9 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 357 | Passes | 354 |
| 68% | Pass accuracy | 69% |
Crewe Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Booth | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Billington | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Offord | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Demetriou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| R. Hutchinson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Holíček | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Calum Agius | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. March | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Gibson | 82 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| J. White | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Lankester | 62 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Tabiner sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Thibaut sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Moore sub | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
Accrington ST Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moulden | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| C. O'Brien | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Rawson | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.7 |
| Joseph Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| D. Love | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| J. Woods | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| S. Conneely | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Tutonda | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Alex Henderson | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Stockton | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Devon Matthews | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Moore sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Stefan Mols sub | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Caton sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| F. Sass sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Brown sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Crewe v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-03 Accrington ST 2–0 Crewe
- 2025-08-09 Crewe 2–0 Accrington ST
- 2025-01-25 Crewe 0–1 Accrington ST
- 2024-09-14 Accrington ST 0–1 Crewe
- 2024-04-06 Accrington ST 0–0 Crewe
- 2023-12-16 Crewe 3–3 Accrington ST
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Crewe v Accrington ST?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v Accrington ST was Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Accrington ST?
- In their last 6 meetings, Crewe won 2, Accrington ST won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Crewe and Accrington ST?
- Recent form — Crewe 1W 1D 3L; Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L.
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