Fleetwood TownArsenal

Fleetwood Town v Arsenal result

Full-time · Fleetwood Town 1–1 Arsenal

League Cup · · Highbury Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Arsenal

The model’s pre-match pick

Fleetwood Town 1–1 Arsenal — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fleetwood Town and Arsenal drew 1–1 at Highbury Stadium in the League Cup on Tuesday 27 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Arsenal out-shot Fleetwood Town 26 to 3 and created the better chances, 2.28 xG to 0.34 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Fleetwood Town led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Fleetwood Town: Aaron Loupalo-Bi (21’, assisted by Harrison Neal), Ronan Coughlan (91’ pen), Harrison Neal (93’ pen), Will Davies (94’ pen), Andy Cannon (95’ pen) and Conor Haughey (97’ pen); Arsenal: Viktor Gyökeres (50’, 95’ pen), Martin Ødegaard (92’ pen) and Kai Havertz (93’ pen). Max Dowman (85’) was sent off.

Discipline

M. Salisbury showed three yellow cards and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Fleetwood Town: Crispin McLean (54’), Jake Thomas Batty (74’) and Andy Cannon (86’).

What it changes

Fleetwood Town are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Fleetwood Town have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aaron Loupalo-Bi (Fleetwood Town) 7.9, Jake Thomas Batty (Fleetwood Town) 6.3 and Kai Havertz (Arsenal) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Fleetwood Town next host Rochdale on 7 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fleetwood Town: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fleetwood Town 1–1 Arsenal · League Cup
  • Venue: Highbury Stadium · Fleetwood, Lancashire
  • Referee: M. Salisbury
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Fleetwood Town 1W 1D 3L · Arsenal 4W 1D 0L

Fleetwood Town 1–1 Arsenal (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.25
Corners
against 5.38 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFleetwood Town for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.75our book
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.75 against n 8

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town Goalkeeper

Fleetwood Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Lynch16901440 min352.2 /9090.6 /9000 /90
Fleetwood Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Lynch n 890
2.16/3

Fleetwood Town Defensive

Fleetwood Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Rooney16901440 min352.2 /90161 /9060.4 /901026.4 /90140.9 /9040.3 /90
F. Potter16881409 min201.3 /90181.1 /9050.3 /90795 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
R. Bennett14891246 min70.5 /90100.7 /9060.4 /90574.1 /90141 /9050.4 /90
Conor Haughey350150 min00 /9010.6 /9000 /9053 /9000 /9000 /90
Kayden Hughes16464 min00 /9011.4 /9000 /9034.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Fleetwood Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Neal n 890
0.95/2
15/2
—
S. Rooney n 890
0.84/2
0.84/1
K. Havertz
J. Lynch n 890
0.11/0
0.64/1
—
F. Potter n 886.1
0.94/2
15/2
—
L. McCann n 885.8
1.26/2
1.25/3
—
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Fleetwood Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Rooney n 890
1.94/3
H. Neal n 890
15/2
F. Potter n 886.1
1.27/2
L. McCann n 885.8
2.16/4
M. Helm n 889.3
0.63/2
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Fleetwood Town Attacking

Fleetwood Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Evans16681087 min60.5 /9020.2 /90272.2 /90100.8 /90141.2 /9080.7 /90
Will Davies1352681 min30.4 /9000 /90141.9 /9070.9 /9050.7 /9060.8 /90
R. Coughlan1348627 min50.7 /9010.1 /90152.2 /90131.9 /90111.6 /9081.1 /90
A. Loupalo-Bi1042421 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.9 /9030.6 /9040.9 /9071.5 /90
H. Neal16901440 min00 /9000 /90140.9 /9050.3 /90100.6 /9040.3 /90
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Fleetwood Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Rooney n 890
1.15/2
0.11/0
H. Neal n 890
1.14/3
0.32/0
J. Lynch n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Potter n 886.1
0.32/0
00/0
L. McCann n 885.8
1.67/3
0.74/1
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Fleetwood Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Rooney n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Lynch n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Neal n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Potter n 886.1
00/0
00/0
L. McCann n 885.8
00/0
0.11/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya12901080 min282.3 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.47/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
1.85/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães13871125 min141.1 /90171.4 /9090.7 /90493.9 /90141.1 /9020.2 /90
E. Konsa1086855 min111.2 /90101.1 /9020.2 /90454.7 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori1076762 min121.4 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90313.7 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
Ben White978706 min172.2 /9050.6 /9020.3 /90384.8 /9040.5 /9000 /90
J. Timber654324 min71.9 /9030.8 /9000 /90164.4 /9041.1 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.16/1
0.95/2
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.84/2
—
Declan Rice n 887.6
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
0.42/1
15/2
—
K. Havertz n 855.1
1.66/2
1.24/2
S. Rooney
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.56/3
Declan Rice n 887.6
2.27/5
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
0.43/0
K. Havertz n 855.1
0.21/0
Bruno Guimarães n 855.4
3.56/4
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz1265774 min30.3 /9010.1 /90151.7 /9080.9 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
Viktor Gyökeres945401 min00 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90122.7 /9000 /90
Declan Rice1282989 min10.1 /9040.4 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90181.6 /9040.4 /90
Martin Ødegaard1278935 min40.4 /9010.1 /90141.3 /9080.8 /90272.6 /90111.1 /90
Bruno Guimarães1148532 min20.3 /9000 /90122 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9071.2 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.53/1
0.31/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 887.6
0.64/1
0.11/0
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
1.34/3
0.63/1
K. Havertz n 855.1
25/4
0.63/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 887.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
Martin Ødegaard n 878.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Havertz n 855.1
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fleetwood TownArsenal
48%Possession52%
0.34Expected goals (xG)2.28
3Shots26
2Shots on target7
0Shots off target9
1Blocked shots10
3Shots inside the box24
2Corners5
3Offsides3
14Fouls5
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
5Saves1
177Passes642

Fleetwood Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Lynch9000000007
S. Rooney9000000406.5
Conor Haughey9000000306.3
F. Potter9000000006.6
H. Neal9001001207
R. Bennett9000000006.7
Jake Thomas Batty90000006Y6.8
A. Loupalo-Bi8210110007.9
M. Helm7400000006.2
Crispin McLean66000001Y6
C. Evans6600000005.9
A. Murphy2400001006.4
R. Coughlan2400000006.4
A. Cannon16001000Y6.1
Will Davies800110006.3

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Meslier9000000006.5
Cristhian Mosquera9000100307.1
Piero Hincapié9000103207.3
K. Havertz9000711106.1
Viktor Gyökeres9010320007.9
Max Dowman85003221R6.1
Martín Zubimendi8200000206.7
Myles Lewis-Skelly8200401006.8
C. O’Neill6600103006.4
Martin Ødegaard4500113207.2
Ben White4500110406.8
J. Timber4500200006.3
Marli Salmon4500000006.5
Eberechi Eze2400203007
Bruno Guimarães800000006.2
E. Konsa800001006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fleetwood Town v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fleetwood TownLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ArsenalWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Fleetwood Town scored1.2
Arsenal scored2
Fleetwood Town conceded1.6
Arsenal conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fleetwood Town v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fleetwood Town v Arsenal was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Fleetwood Town and Arsenal?
Recent form — Fleetwood Town 1W 1D 3L; Arsenal 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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