Harrogate Town v Lincoln result

Full-time · Harrogate Town 1–3 Lincoln

League Cup · Tue, 12 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Harrogate Town 1–3 Lincoln — Lincoln won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln won 3–1 at Harrogate Town in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Harrogate Town have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lincoln led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Jack Moylan (29’, assisted by Robert Street), Frederick Draper (60’) and Robert Street (68’, assisted by J. Collins); Harrogate Town: E. Taylor (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Moylan’s goal on 29 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Harrogate Town 0.30, Lincoln 3.06, from 8 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Lincoln: Thomas Bayliss (48’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Robert Street (Lincoln) 8.8, Reece Smith (Harrogate Town) 6.2 and Frederick Draper (Lincoln) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Harrogate Town or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

Harrogate Town next host Bury on 20 October 2026.

Lincoln next host Burnley on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v Bury, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Burnley, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Harrogate Town 1–3 Lincoln · League Cup
Referee: Zac Kennard-Kettle, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Harrogate Town 1 · draws 0 · Lincoln 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Harrogate Town 3W 1D 1L · Lincoln 2W 0D 3L

Harrogate Town 1–3 Lincoln (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.33

Corners

against 7.13 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.38 / 3

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 3.83 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.13 / 1.83

Cards

against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Harrogate Town for / against	Line	Lincoln for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.33 for · 6.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	14.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.17 for · 13.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 3.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14 for · 10.67 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.83 for · 1.5 against n 6 Last 5

Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. McCoulsky n 8	24	2.8 4/1	1.4 3/0	—
J. Falkingham n 8	52	2.6 6/2	0.9 2/1	—
B. Bilongo n 8	55.5	1.8 5/2	0.8 3/1	—
Z. Asare n 8	51.1	1.8 4/3	1.1 3/1	—
J. Muldoon n 8	90	1.6 8/5	0.8 5/1	—

Harrogate Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. March n 8	88.8	3.4 7/7	1.3 6/3
Tom Cursons n 8	52.4	2.4 7/4	0.6 3/0
S. McCoulsky n 8	24	1.9 2/1	0.5 1/0
E. Taylor n 8	90	1.8 7/5	0.9 4/2
J. Daly n 8	61.3	1.3 5/2	0.2 1/0

Harrogate Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. March n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0	0.6 4/1
Tom Cursons n 8	52.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
E. Taylor n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
S. McCoulsky n 8	24	0 0/0	0.5 1/0
S. Duke-McKenna n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Harrogate Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Evans n 6	47.2	2.9 2/2
Stephen Dooley n 8	56.5	2.8 6/3
E. Taylor n 8	90	2.6 8/7
J. Falkingham n 8	52	2.6 5/4
Toby Sims n 8	82.6	2.5 7/4

Lincoln

Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Draper n 8	20.3	6.7 6/4	1.1 2/0	—
B. House n 8	64.4	2.6 7/4	1.6 4/3	—
R. Street n 8	77.1	2.5 6/5	1.6 5/3	—
E. Hamilton n 8	69.3	2.1 6/5	1.8 4/4	—
J. Makama n 8	65	1.9 6/4	1 5/1	—

Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Moylan n 8	41.5	3 6/3	1.1 3/1
J. Collins n 8	73.3	1.7 6/3	0.9 4/2
E. Ring n 8	47.5	1.7 5/1	0.9 4/0
J. Makama n 8	65	1.6 4/2	1.2 4/1
R. Street n 8	77.1	1.5 5/3	0.6 3/1

Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Makama n 8	65	0.7 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Collins n 8	73.3	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
E. Ring n 8	47.5	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
R. Street n 8	77.1	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
R. Hackett n 8	70.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Z. Okoro n 4	14.8	6.1 3/1
B. House n 8	64.4	3.3 7/5
S. Roughan n 8	74.1	2.6 7/6
E. Hamilton n 8	69.3	2.4 6/4
Joseph Charles Gardner n 8	39.3	2.3 5/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Harrogate Town		Lincoln
38%	Possession	62%
0.30	Expected goals (xG)	3.06
8	Shots	21
3	Shots on target	5
1	Shots off target	8
4	Blocked shots	8
3	Shots inside the box	18
2	Corners	10
1	Offsides	1
6	Fouls	11
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
293	Passes	477
66%	Pass accuracy	78%

Harrogate Town player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Oxley	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Faulkner	90	0	0	0	0	4	7.2
L. Gibson	90	0	1	1	0	3	6.5
Z. Asare	90	0	0	0	0	2	6.3
Thomas Daniel Hill	90	0	0	0	2	2	7.7
R. Smith	90	0	0	0	1	5	6.9
L. Cass	67	0	0	0	1	1	6.2
B. Fox	67	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Duke-McKenna	67	0	1	0	1	3	6.3
Tom Cursons	61	0	1	1	1	0	6.3
B. Morris	45	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
J. Evans sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	6.2
S. McCoulsky sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
W. Burrell sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Taylor sub	24	1	1	1	0	0	7.7
C. McAleny sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Lincoln player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Z. Jeacock	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
T. Hamer	90	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	7.9
S. Bradley	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
R. Towler	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Hamilton	90	0	0	1	0	3	4	0	7.3
F. Draper	90	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.3
T. Darikwa	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
J. Moylan	83	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	7.3
T. Bayliss	69	0	0	0	0	5	2	Y	7.3
R. Street	69	1	1	3	1	3	1	0	7.3
E. Ring	59	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.5
J. Collins sub	32	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
C. McGrandles sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Z. Okoro sub	22	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Gbolahan Okewoye sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
N. Simmons sub	8	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Harrogate TownWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

LincolnWLLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Harrogate Town 1 · 0 draws · Lincoln 0 · 3 goals/game

2024-08-13 Lincoln 1–2 Harrogate Town

Goals per game

Harrogate Town scored2

Lincoln scored1.6

Harrogate Town conceded1.6

Lincoln conceded1.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Lincoln?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Lincoln was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Lincoln?: In their last 1 meetings, Harrogate Town won 1, Lincoln won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Lincoln?: Recent form — Harrogate Town 3W 1D 1L; Lincoln 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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