IpswichArsenal

Ipswich v Arsenal result

Full-time · Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal

League Cup · · Portman Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ipswich · Arsenal

The model’s pre-match pick

Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal — Arsenal won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 125 landed (95% range 77.5–90%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arsenal won 4–2 at Portman Road in the League Cup on Tuesday 15 September. Arsenal are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arsenal led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Arsenal: Max Dowman (7’, assisted by Eberechi Eze; 47’, assisted by Martín Zubimendi), Noni Madueke (16’) and Mikel Merino (58’); Ipswich: Anis Mehmeti (62’, assisted by Jack Clarke) and Chuba Akpom (90+1’, assisted by Leif Davis).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Max Dowman’s goal on 7 minutes.

Discipline

S. Barrott showed two yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 29 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Ipswich: Kasey McAteer (34’) and Marcelino Núñez (87’).

What it changes

Arsenal have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Max Dowman (Arsenal) 13.4, Anis Mehmeti (Ipswich) 8.7 and Noni Madueke (Arsenal) 7.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arsenal to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal · League Cup
  • Venue: Portman Road · Ipswich
  • Referee: S. Barrott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Ipswich 0 · draws 0 · Arsenal 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ipswich 3W 0D 2L · Arsenal 5W 0D 0L

Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.43
Corners
against 4.25 / 2.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.88 / 6
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 2.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 1.43
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIpswich for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
13.25 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.14 for · 8.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.71 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7

Referee: S. Barrott.

Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Scherpen490360 min153.8 /90102.5 /9000 /90
Christian Walton19090 min77 /9011 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Scherpen n 490
3.84/2
Christian Walton n 890
3.97/5

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dara O'Shea590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9051 /90255 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Leif Davis577387 min20.5 /9020.5 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90
I. Diop490360 min41 /9082 /9051.3 /9092.3 /9041 /9000 /90
Jacob Greaves490358 min51.3 /9020.5 /9051.3 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Darnell Furlong254107 min00 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.63/1
0.95/2
—
Leif Davis n 882.1
0.42/1
0.85/1
—
I. Diop n 490
13/1
00/0
—
K. Scherpen n 490
00/0
0.31/0
—
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
0.95/2
15/3
Gabriel Magalhães
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
1.14/4
Leif Davis n 882.1
13/3
I. Diop n 490
13/1
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
1.87/4
J. Enciso n 882.8
0.54/0
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emersonn460240 min20.8 /9010.4 /9062.3 /9031.1 /9041.5 /9031.1 /90
Chuba Akpom353159 min10.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Z. Flemming22651 min11.8 /9000 /9047.1 /9035.3 /9000 /9011.8 /90
Jaden Philogene-Bidace12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Enciso485341 min00 /9020.5 /90102.6 /9030.8 /9051.3 /9061.6 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Leif Davis n 882.1
0.84/2
0.53/1
I. Diop n 490
00/0
00/0
K. Scherpen n 490
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
00/0
00/0
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Leif Davis n 882.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
I. Diop n 490
00/0
00/0
K. Scherpen n 490
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
00/0
00/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya690540 min142.3 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.15/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães690540 min40.7 /9091.5 /9040.7 /90233.8 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
Ben White681487 min132.4 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90264.8 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Riccardo Calafiori578388 min40.9 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
E. Konsa390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90186 /9031 /9000 /90
Cristhian Mosquera386259 min20.7 /9020.7 /9000 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.37/3
1.26/3
Jacob Greaves
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
Ben White n 875.6
0.74/1
0.74/1
—
Martin Ødegaard n 874.4
0.21/0
1.56/3
—
Declan Rice n 879.9
0.73/2
0.32/0
—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.74/1
Ben White n 875.6
2.17/4
Martin Ødegaard n 874.4
1.25/2
Declan Rice n 879.9
1.75/3
Bukayo Saka n 876.3
1.55/2
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz673440 min30.6 /9000 /9081.6 /9061.2 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Noni Madueke33399 min00 /9000 /9032.7 /9021.8 /9054.5 /9021.8 /90
Viktor Gyökeres24488 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9044.1 /9000 /90
Martin Ødegaard681483 min40.7 /9000 /9081.5 /9050.9 /90203.7 /9081.5 /90
Declan Rice677459 min00 /9020.4 /9040.8 /9000 /9071.4 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.96/1
0.31/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Ben White n 875.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Martin Ødegaard n 874.4
1.25/2
0.84/1
Declan Rice n 879.9
0.62/2
00/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Ben White n 875.6
00/0
0.11/0
Martin Ødegaard n 874.4
0.64/0
0.21/0
Declan Rice n 879.9
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
IpswichArsenal
42%Possession58%
8Shots12
3Shots on target6
5Shots off target0
0Blocked shots6
6Shots inside the box9
3Corners2
3Offsides1
11Fouls13
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves1
400Passes583

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Darnell Furlong9000000006.1
Jacob Greaves9000100306.5
Cédric Kipré9000100206.5
Anis Mehmeti9010211507.8
Marcelino Núñez90000022Y6.4
Christian Walton9000000005.7
Florentino8100210406.1
Kasey McAteer69000002Y6
A. Ouattara6800000106.2
Z. Flemming6100101406.4
Jaden Philogene-Bidace6100000005.2
Jack Clarke2901001106.8
Chuba Akpom2910110007.2
Leif Davis2201001005.8
S. Egeli2100000206.3
S. Lukić900000005.8

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Marli Salmon9000000306.5
Mikel Merino9010114007.8
Myles Lewis-Skelly9000000106.1
Viktor Gyökeres9000110006.4
Max Dowman9020321308.9
Kepa Arrizabalaga9000000005.9
Martín Zubimendi8501001407
Noni Madueke7610311008.2
Eberechi Eze7601101007
Bruno Guimarães6400100406.2
E. Konsa4500000106.3
Gabriel Magalhães4500000006.5
T. Julienne2600000106.1
C. Tzolis1400210006.7
Martin Ødegaard1400000006
I. Ibrahim500000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IpswichWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ArsenalWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Ipswich 0 · 0 draws · Arsenal 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-04-20 Ipswich 0–4 Arsenal
  • 2024-12-27 Arsenal 1–0 Ipswich
Goals per game
Ipswich scored2
Arsenal scored1.8
Ipswich conceded2.2
Arsenal conceded0.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ipswich v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v Arsenal was Away win (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Arsenal?
In their last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 0, Arsenal won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Arsenal?
Recent form — Ipswich 3W 0D 2L; Arsenal 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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