LeicesterNorthampton

Leicester v Northampton result

Full-time · Leicester 1–0 Northampton

League Cup · · King Power Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 1–0 Northampton — Leicester won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Leicester beat Northampton 1–0 at King Power Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Leicester are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Northampton are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Leicester led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Leicester: C. Okoli (15’, assisted by Luke Thomas).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Okoli’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Leicester 0.00, Northampton 0.00, from 8 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Yates showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Leicester: Bobby De Cordova-Reid (37’), Samuel Braybrooke (42’), Wes Burns (82’) and Thomas Watson (90+8’); Northampton: Harvey Saunders (90+3’).

What it changes

Leicester sit 13th on three points from one game with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).

Northampton sit 29th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Okoli (Leicester) 8.9, Luke Thomas (Leicester) 6.6 and Janoi Donacien (Northampton) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Leicester to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).

Next up

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Northampton next travel to York on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Northampton: York v Northampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leicester 1–0 Northampton · League Cup
  • Venue: King Power Stadium · Leicester
  • Referee: O. Yates
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Leicester 1W 2D 2L · Northampton 0W 0D 5L

Leicester 1–0 Northampton (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
7.75 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 6.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeicester for / againstLineNorthampton for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
0.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
19 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 18.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 6.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: O. Yates.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeicesterNorthampton
77%Possession23%
8Shots4
3Shots on target2
3Shots off target1
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box3
7Corners5
2Offsides1
11Fouls12
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
808Passes230
93%Pass accuracy74%

Leicester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Stolarczyk9900000007
H. Souttar9900000007.6
C. Okoli9910320108.6
L. Thomas9901001307.2
O. Skipp9900001106.9
S. Braybrooke99001011Y6.3
L. Cullen8700001006.6
Jayden Joseph8600001107.3
B. De Cordova-Reid79001100Y6
W. Alves6100000206.6
S. Mavididi6100001106.7
Wes Burns sub38000010Y6.5
T. Watson sub38000000Y6.7
L. Page sub2000000006.7
O. Aluko sub1300100107
H. Choudhury sub1200000106.3

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Jeacock9900000006.3
E. Moore9900000006.3
J. Guthrie9900100006.2
J. Maxwell9900001206.7
T. Fornah9900110106.3
H. Saunders99001101Y6.5
Jack Perkins8300000106.9
K. Simon-Swyer7000000106.6
C. Lemonheigh-Evans7000000206.7
E. List6400001106.6
J. Donacien6300000606.9
J. Wormleighton sub3600000106.3
Matthew Warhurst sub3500001206.9
M. Dyche sub2900000006.9
S. Hoskins sub2900000106.7
L. Evans sub1600000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeicesterLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
NorthamptonLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Leicester scored0.8
Northampton scored1
Leicester conceded1
Northampton conceded2.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Northampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Northampton was Home win (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Leicester and Northampton?
Recent form — Leicester 1W 2D 2L; Northampton 0W 0D 5L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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