NorwichSouthampton

Norwich v Southampton result

Full-time · Norwich 0–3 Southampton

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Norwich · Southampton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Norwich 0–3 Southampton — Southampton won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton won 3–0 at Norwich in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August. Southampton have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Cameron Archer (42’, assisted by Ross Stewart), Ryan Fraser (62’, assisted by Ryan Manning) and Kuryu Matsuki (81’, assisted by M. Roerslev).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cameron Archer’s goal on 42 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Norwich 0.00, Southampton 0.00, from 10 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tom Nield, England showed one yellow card — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Southampton: Joshua Quarshie (48’).

What it changes

Norwich sit 32nd on three points from two games with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far).

Southampton sit fifth on six points from two games with a goal difference of +4 (2025/26 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cameron Archer (Southampton) 5.4, Liam Gibbs (Norwich) 5.2 and Benjamin Chrisene (Norwich) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Southampton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Norwich.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Norwich next host Cardiff on 21 November 2026.

Southampton next host Derby on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Norwich: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Norwich 0–3 Southampton · League Cup
  • Referee: Tom Nield, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 1 · draws 2 · Southampton 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Norwich 3W 0D 2L · Southampton 2W 1D 2L

Norwich 0–3 Southampton (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.75
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.14 / 5.63
Corners
against 7 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.71 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.57 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorwich for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 7 against n 7
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13.43 for · 16 against n 7
19.5standard
11.5 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.29 for · 11.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12 for · 9.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Norwich

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Darling n 490
0.51/1
1.32/2
—
J. Medić n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
—
Josh Sargent n 879
15/2
0.74/1
—
M. Topić n 473.5
0.92/1
0.62/0
F. Downes
Jacob Wright n 872.8
1.98/2
0.84/1
—
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Darling n 490
0.82/1
J. Medić n 490
0.31/0
Josh Sargent n 879
0.94/1
M. Topić n 473.5
2.44/3
Jacob Wright n 872.8
3.28/5
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Darling n 490
1.83/3
0.82/1
J. Medić n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
Josh Sargent n 879
2.18/5
16/1
M. Topić n 473.5
1.24/0
0.31/0
Jacob Wright n 872.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Darling n 490
0.31/0
00/0
J. Medić n 490
00/0
00/0
Josh Sargent n 879
0.75/0
00/0
M. Topić n 473.5
00/0
00/0
Jacob Wright n 872.8
00/0
0.63/1
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Southampton

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Shea Charles n 874.6
1.25/1
2.66/5
—
Ryan Fraser n 860.4
0.42/0
0.94/1
—
F. Downes n 880
27/4
1.47/3
M. Topić
Mateus Fernandes n 873.3
1.86/4
1.24/3
—
Ryan Manning n 870
0.83/1
1.45/4
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Shea Charles n 874.6
2.67/6
Ryan Fraser n 860.4
0.63/0
F. Downes n 880
1.37/2
Mateus Fernandes n 873.3
1.86/3
Ryan Manning n 870
14/2
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Shea Charles n 874.6
0.84/1
0.21/0
Ryan Fraser n 860.4
0.41/1
0.21/0
F. Downes n 880
0.32/0
00/0
Mateus Fernandes n 873.3
0.85/0
0.32/0
Ryan Manning n 870
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Shea Charles n 874.6
00/0
00/0
Ryan Fraser n 860.4
00/0
0.21/0
F. Downes n 880
00/0
00/0
Mateus Fernandes n 873.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
Ryan Manning n 870
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorwichSouthampton
49%Possession51%
10Shots9
4Shots on target5
3Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
3Shots inside the box7
5Corners5
1Offsides2
6Fouls17
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves5
491Passes512
85%Pass accuracy85%

Norwich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Grimshaw9000000006.5
Ruairi McConville9000000106.3
H. Darling9000100106.9
B. Chrisene9000000306.3
K. Fisher9000000006.5
J. Schlupp9000110106.2
L. Gibbs8200003306.9
O. Schwartau7300000106.5
M. Topić6400001206.6
M. Jurásek6400220007
M. Kvistgaarden4500110006.2
J. Makama sub4500101106.2
K. McLean sub2600001106.9
A. Crnac sub2600100006.3
P. Diallo sub1700000006.3
A. Ben Slimane sub800000006.5

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. McCarthy9000000008.6
R. Edwards9000100407.2
Nathan Wood9000000107.2
Joshua Quarshie90000002Y7.5
M. Roerslev9001002206.5
Shea Charles9000210107
F. Downes8400000306.6
Ross Stewart7201111006.7
Cameron Archer7210111107.3
Ryan Fraser6310111007.3
Ryan Manning6301001107.3
C. Taylor sub2700000006.9
K. Matsuki sub2710110007.6
D. Downs sub1800001106.9
B. Brereton sub1800000006.2
M. Sesay sub1100000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwichWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SouthamptonLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Norwich 1 · 2 draws · Southampton 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2024-01-01 Norwich 1–1 Southampton
  • 2023-08-12 Southampton 4–4 Norwich
  • 2022-02-25 Southampton 2–0 Norwich
  • 2021-11-20 Norwich 2–1 Southampton
  • 2020-06-19 Norwich 0–3 Southampton
  • 2019-12-04 Southampton 2–1 Norwich
Goals per game
Norwich scored2
Southampton scored1.2
Norwich conceded1.6
Southampton conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Norwich v Southampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Southampton was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Southampton?
In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 1, Southampton won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Southampton?
Recent form — Norwich 3W 0D 2L; Southampton 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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